Shimizu S-Pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
- Shimizu S-Pulse 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Feb | Albirex Niigata | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Feb | Tokyo Verdy | A | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Nov | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 3–4 | L |
| 29 Oct | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Oct | Jubilo Iwata | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Feb | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Feb | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Dec | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–3 | L |
| 01 Dec | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 5–1 | W |
| 10 Nov | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Shimizu S-Pulse | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #4 |
| 24 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 8 / 0 / 10 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 40 | Scored | 41 |
| 42 | Conceded | 33 |
| -2 | GD | +8 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 44% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Shimizu S-Pulse
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Shimizu S-Pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — let the football do the talking.
- 5' The travelling Sanfrecce Hiroshima supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yuya Oki made 447 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 12' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Hayato Araki makes no mistake. 0-1!
- 13' It’s a booking for Sanfrecce Hiroshima player. Sho Sasaki gets a card.
- 18' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Shimizu S-Pulse and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 23' It’s high time Michael Skibbe made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 28' Shimizu S-Pulse have won 286 goals from 367 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 33' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 38' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Sen Takagi on 38 minutes.
- 43' It looks surprising Sanfrecce Hiroshima does not make any changes. Kengo Kitazume has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 46' Another substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to replace Naoto Arai by Tsukasa Shiotani on 46 minute.
- 50' The referee calls foul for Tolgay Arslan. He receives a card.
- 55' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 60' The home supporters are growing impatient. Shimizu S-Pulse must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 61' Sota Nakamura gets the nod from Sanfrecce Hiroshima. He replaces Tolgay Arslan and will look to change the dynamic.
- 65' The Japan Tsukasa Shiotani breaks the deadlock on 65 minutes. 0-2!
- 68' The whistle greets Koya Kitagawa as he departs to be replaced by Ahmed Ahmedov.
- 73' Shimizu S-Pulse are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sanfrecce Hiroshima's shape.
- 78' It’s gonna be a card for Ryo Germain.
- 81' It is a substitution in Shimizu S-Pulse team. Zento Uno is replaced by Kazuki Kozuka on 81 minute.
- 86' Kai Matsuzaki has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 4 cards already picked up this season.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.
Lineups
Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
- 1
-
23
Koya Kitagawa ↓ Ahmed Ahmedov 68'
- 5
- 98
- 4
- 14
- 66
-
19
Kai Matsuzaki ↓ Hikaru Nakahara 68'
-
36
Zento Uno ↓ Kazuki Kozuka 81'
- 70
Bench
- 99
- 28
- 3
-
8
Kazuki Kozuka ↑ 81'
- 6
-
29
Ahmed Ahmedov ↑ 68'
-
11
Hikaru Nakahara ↑ 68'
- 71
Coach
Tadahiro Akiba
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 19
- 1
- 6
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↓ Daiki Suga 61'
- 4
- 14
-
13
Naoto Arai ↓ Tsukasa Shiotani 46'
-
30
Tolgay Arslan ↓ Sota Nakamura 61'
- 15
- 51
Bench
-
18
Daiki Suga ↑ 61'
- 3
- 5
-
33
Tsukasa Shiotani ↑ 46'
- 20
- 32
- 40
-
39
Sota Nakamura ↑ 61'
- 26
Coach
Michael Skibbe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Thiago Santana | 3 |
| Yoshifumi Kashiwa | 3 |
| Hayato Araki | 2 |
| Hayao Kawabe | 2 |
| Takumu Kawamura | 2 |
| Douglas Vieira | 2 |
| Leandro Pereira | 2 |
| Tsukasa Morishima | 2 |
Head to Head
Shimizu S-Pulse Form
2025-02-26
Shimizu S-Pulse
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2025-02-22
Shimizu S-Pulse
2–0
Albirex Niigata
W
2025-02-16
Tokyo Verdy
0–1
Shimizu S-Pulse
W
2022-11-05
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
4–3
Shimizu S-Pulse
L
2022-10-29
Shimizu S-Pulse
0–1
Kashima Antlers
L
2022-10-22
Shimizu S-Pulse
1–1
Jubilo Iwata
D
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2025-02-26
Shimizu S-Pulse
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2025-02-23
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Yokohama F·Marinos
W
2025-02-16
FC Machida Zelvia
1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2024-12-08
Gamba Osaka
3–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2024-12-01
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
5–1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
W
2024-11-10
Urawa Red Diamonds
3–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.7
Shimizu S-Pulse xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Shimizu S-Pulse or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 74% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.4
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw
64%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
62%
Shimizu S-Pulse or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Shimizu S-Pulse win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 0
5%
0 – 1
5%
2 – 0
4.8%
0 – 2
4.8%
0 – 0
4.8%
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 3
4.5%
3 – 2
3.8%
Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse
| Handicap | Shimizu S-Pulse covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 11% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 18% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 18% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 11% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

