Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

2 – 0

Full Time

Cerezo Osaka FC

Sun 11 Aug 2024 · 09:30 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'

Makoto Mitsuta 55' Y

Yotaro Nakajima 76' Y

Y 90' Leo Ceara

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 21 games · Avg 2.2 goals Cerezo Osaka FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-08-11 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Cerezo Osaka FC 2024-05-26 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2023-10-21 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–0 Cerezo Osaka FC 2023-04-29 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-08-27 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Aug	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	2–0	W
07 Aug	Tōkyō Verdy	A	1–0	W
21 Jul	Sagan Tosu FC	A	4–1	W
14 Jul	Avispa Fukuoka	H	1–0	W
05 Jul	Vissel Kobe	H	1–3	L
29 Jun	Kawasaki Frontale	A	1–1	D

Cerezo Osaka FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Aug	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–2	L
07 Aug	FC Machida Zelvia	H	0–0	D
20 Jul	Albirex Niigata	H	1–2	L
14 Jul	Kawasaki Frontale	A	1–1	D
06 Jul	Tōkyō Verdy	A	1–1	D
30 Jun	Nagoya Grampus	H	2–1	W

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Cerezo Osaka FC
#4	Position	#2
30	Points	31
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	11 / 0 / 7
41	Scored	48
33	Conceded	38
+8	GD	+10
1.67	PPG	1.72
56%	Win %	61%

Key Stats

52% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)

43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

62% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

31% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

1/1

16-30

4/2

31-45

4/2

46-60

7/2

61-75

7/1

76+

6/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Cerezo Osaka FC

0-15

1/4

16-30

2/3

31-45

1/6

46-60

2/5

61-75

5/4

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Akito Suzuki	10 G	4 A
Mutsuki Kato	3 G	3 A
Shuto Nakano	3 G	2 A
Shun Ayukawa	3 G	1 A
Sebastien Haller	3 G	1 A

Cerezo Osaka FC

Solomon Sakuragawa	4 G
Pablo Sabbag	3 G
Yumeki Yokoyama	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to score. At the same time, Cerezo Osaka FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
5' Cerezo Osaka FC have won 410 goals from 382 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
15' The travelling Cerezo Osaka FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
20' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Cerezo Osaka FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
30' Koji Toriumi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
35' Cerezo Osaka FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
40' Japan international Ryuya Nishio has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
45' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
46' Sanfrecce Hiroshima make a change. Tsukasa Shiotani trudges off to be replaced by Douglas Vieira on 46 minutes.
51' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Cerezo Osaka FC's shape.
55' That looks like a foul for a card for Makoto Mitsuta.
60' Cerezo Osaka FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
63' Sota Koshimichi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Naoto Arai on 63 minute.
66' The Cerezo Osaka FC manager makes a substitution. Masaya Shibayama departs to be replaced by Sota Kitano.
67' The supporters are chanting for Yotaro Nakajima. He replaces Makoto Mitsuta on 67 minute.
72' Supporters expect more eagerness from Shuto Nakano, as he is very good at scoring at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima with 6 goals in the last 6 games.
73' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima bench stirs into life. Douglas Vieira is withdrawn and Alen Inoue gets his opportunity.
76' It’s a booking for Sanfrecce Hiroshima player. Yotaro Nakajima gets a card.
76' A tactical swap from Cerezo Osaka FC — Ryogo Yamasaki on, Hirotaka Tameda off on 76 minutes.
77' The Cerezo Osaka FC bench stirs into life. Hiroaki Okuno is withdrawn and Yuichi Hirano gets his opportunity.
78' What a strike from Tolgay Arslan! The score is 1-0.
82' Fresh legs for Cerezo Osaka FC! Reiya Sakata comes on to replace Ryuya Nishio.
83' Time for substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC. Kyohei Noborizato is replaced by Vitor Bueno.
85' Assisted by Alen Inoue with the perfectly-timed delivery and Tolgay Arslan makes no mistake. 2-0!
90' A moment of madness from Leo Ceara on 90 minutes earns him a card. Cerezo Osaka FC will be frustrated.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Sanfrecce Hiroshima to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

19
Sho Sasaki
1
Keisuke Osako
14
Taishi Matsumoto
66
Hayao Kawabe ↓ Tolgay Arslan 63'
24
Shunki Higashi
33
Tsukasa Shiotani ↓ Douglas Vieira 46'
4
Hayato Araki
13
Naoto Arai ↓ Sota Koshimichi 63'
11
Makoto Mitsuta ↓ Yotaro Nakajima 67'
15
Shuto Nakano
51
Mutsuki Kato

Bench

Coach Michael Skibbe

Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

29
Ryogo Yamasaki ↑ 76'
55
Vitor Bueno ↑ 83'
4
Yuichi Hirano ↑ 77'
1
Han-Been Yang
17
Reiya Sakata ↑ 82'
38
Sota Kitano ↑ 66'
16
Hayato Okuda

Coach Akio Kogiku

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Shun Ayukawa	3
Douglas Vieira	3
Toshiyuki Takagi	2
Hayato Araki	2
Tolgay Arslan	2
Lucas Fernandes	2
Akito Suzuki	2
Kosuke Kinoshita	2

Head to Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2024-08-11 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2024-08-07 Tōkyō Verdy 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2024-07-21 Sagan Tosu FC 1–4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2024-07-14 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka W 2024-07-05 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–3 Vissel Kobe L 2024-06-29 Kawasaki Frontale 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D

Cerezo Osaka FC Form

2024-08-11 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2024-08-07 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–0 FC Machida Zelvia D 2024-07-20 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–2 Albirex Niigata L 2024-07-14 Kawasaki Frontale 1–1 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2024-07-06 Tōkyō Verdy 1–1 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2024-06-30 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Nagoya Grampus W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.02 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.32 Cerezo Osaka FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima56% Draw22% Cerezo Osaka FC22%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.34

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	64%	36%
± 3.5	42%	58%
± 4.5	25%	75%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw

78%

Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC

44%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Cerezo Osaka FC

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima39% Draw41% Cerezo Osaka FC20%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.3%

2 – 1

9.2%

2 – 0

Actual

1 – 0

6.5%

3 – 1

6.1%

1 – 2

6.1%

2 – 2

0 – 0

3 – 0

4.7%

3 – 2

4.1%

0 – 1

4 – 1

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers	Push	Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5	15%	—	85%
-2	15%	16%	69%
-1.5	31%	—	69%
-1	31%	21%	48%
-0.5	52%	—	48%
+0.5	76%	—	24%
+1	76%	14%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	7%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

27% ✗

Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.