Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 07 Aug | Tokyo Verdy | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Jul | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 14 Jul | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Jul | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Jun | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–2 | L |
| 07 Aug | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Jul | Albirex Niigata | H | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Jul | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Jul | Tokyo Verdy | A | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Jun | Nagoya Grampus | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #2 |
| 30 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 41 | Scored | 48 |
| 33 | Conceded | 38 |
| +8 | GD | +10 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 56% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
2/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Cerezo Osaka FC get this one started.
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Naoto Arai, as he is very good at scoring at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima with 5 goals in the last 5 games.
- 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Cerezo Osaka FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 15' Sanfrecce Hiroshima seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sanfrecce Hiroshima that had 335 games and scored 427 goals.
- 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
- 30' Cerezo Osaka FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 35' Shuto Nakano has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 335 appearances.
- 40' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Sanfrecce Hiroshima winning 100% of all matches.
- 45' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 46' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima bench stirs into life. Tsukasa Shiotani is withdrawn and Douglas Vieira gets his opportunity.
- 51' Cerezo Osaka FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 55' Poor challenge from Makoto Mitsuta. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 60' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 63' The whistle greets Naoto Arai as he departs to be replaced by Sota Koshimichi.
- 66' Another change for Cerezo Osaka FC made on 66 minute. Masaya Shibayama leaves to be changed by Sota Kitano.
- 67' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes a substitution. Makoto Mitsuta departs to be replaced by Yotaro Nakajima.
- 72' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 73' Alen Inoue is ready to make an impact after coming on for Douglas Vieira at the 73 minute mark.
- 76' Controversy at the stadium! Yotaro Nakajima argues furiously but the card stands.
- 76' Fresh legs for Cerezo Osaka FC! Ryogo Yamasaki comes on to replace Hirotaka Tameda.
- 77' Fresh legs for Cerezo Osaka FC! Yuichi Hirano comes on to replace Hiroaki Okuno.
- 78' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is taking the lead after the goal scored by Tolgay Arslan on 78.
- 82' The whistle greets Ryuya Nishio as he departs to be replaced by Reiya Sakata.
- 83' Another change for Cerezo Osaka FC made on 83 minute. Kyohei Noborizato leaves to be changed by Vitor Bueno.
- 85' Tolgay Arslan is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 90' Leo Ceara was booked on 90.
- The points are shared — Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 Cerezo Osaka FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 1
- 14
-
66
Hayao Kawabe ↓ Tolgay Arslan 63'
- 24
- 33
- 4
-
13
Naoto Arai ↓ Sota Koshimichi 63'
- 11
- 15
- 51
Bench
- 22
-
9
Douglas Vieira ↑ 46'
-
30
Tolgay Arslan ↑ 63'
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↑ 63'
- 27
-
35
Yotaro Nakajima ↑ 67'
- 36
Coach
Michael Skibbe
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 77
- 9
-
25
Hiroaki Okuno ↓ Yuichi Hirano 77'
-
6
Kyohei Noborizato ↓ Vitor Bueno 83'
- 14
- 10
-
33
Ryuya Nishio ↓ Reiya Sakata 82'
- 19
- 24
- 21
-
48
Masaya Shibayama ↓ Sota Kitano 66'
Bench
-
29
Ryogo Yamasaki ↑ 76'
-
55
Vitor Bueno ↑ 83'
-
4
Yuichi Hirano ↑ 77'
- 1
-
17
Reiya Sakata ↑ 82'
-
38
Sota Kitano ↑ 66'
- 16
Coach
Akio Kogiku
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Douglas Vieira | 3 |
| Kosuke Kinoshita | 2 |
| Toshiyuki Takagi | 2 |
| Toshiyuki Takagi | 2 |
| Hayato Araki | 2 |
| Tolgay Arslan | 2 |
| Lucas Fernandes | 2 |
| Taishi Matsumoto | 1 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2024-08-11
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
Cerezo Osaka FC
W
2024-08-07
Tokyo Verdy
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2024-07-21
Sagan Tosu FC
1–4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2024-07-14
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Avispa Fukuoka
W
2024-07-05
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–3
Vissel Kobe
L
2024-06-29
Kawasaki Frontale
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.02
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.34
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
78%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
44%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Cerezo Osaka FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
6.5%
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 0
5%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 1
4%
4 – 1
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 16% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 21% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 14% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
27%
✗
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

