Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

2 – 0

Full Time

Cerezo Osaka FC

Sun 11 Aug 2024 · 09:30 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'

Makoto Mitsuta 55' Y

Yotaro Nakajima 76' Y

Y 90' Leo Ceara

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 20 games · Avg 2.0 goals Cerezo Osaka FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-08-11 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Cerezo Osaka FC 2024-05-26 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2023-10-21 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–0 Cerezo Osaka FC 2023-04-29 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-08-27 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Aug	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	2–0	W
07 Aug	Tokyo Verdy	A	1–0	W
21 Jul	Sagan Tosu FC	A	4–1	W
14 Jul	Avispa Fukuoka	H	1–0	W
05 Jul	Vissel Kobe	H	1–3	L
29 Jun	Kawasaki Frontale	A	1–1	D

Cerezo Osaka FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Aug	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–2	L
07 Aug	FC Machida Zelvia	H	0–0	D
20 Jul	Albirex Niigata	H	1–2	L
14 Jul	Kawasaki Frontale	A	1–1	D
06 Jul	Tokyo Verdy	A	1–1	D
30 Jun	Nagoya Grampus	H	2–1	W

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Cerezo Osaka FC
#4	Position	#2
30	Points	31
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	11 / 0 / 7
41	Scored	48
33	Conceded	38
+8	GD	+10
1.67	PPG	1.72
56%	Win %	61%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

28% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

3/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/1

46-60

5/–

61-75

3/4

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Cerezo Osaka FC

0-15

3/1

16-30

4/1

31-45

3/1

46-60

2/2

61-75

2/3

76+

6/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka FC — let the football do the talking.
5' The 31-year-old Leo Ceara has been sensational this season — 6 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
10' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Cerezo Osaka FC's shape.
15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
25' It looks like no one’s ball. Cerezo Osaka FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
30' Sota Kitano is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sanfrecce Hiroshima so far.
35' Cerezo Osaka FC have won 396 goals from 369 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
40' Naoto Arai has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
45' Jin-hyeon Kim, a South Korea , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
46' Time for substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Tsukasa Shiotani is replaced by Douglas Vieira.
51' Sanfrecce Hiroshima has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
55' Sanfrecce Hiroshima receives a card for a hard tackle on 55.
60' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
63' Time for substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Naoto Arai is replaced by Sota Koshimichi.
66' Cerezo Osaka FC make a change. Masaya Shibayama trudges off to be replaced by Sota Kitano on 66 minutes.
67' Yotaro Nakajima is replacing Makoto Mitsuta for the Sanfrecce Hiroshima side.
72' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Sanfrecce Hiroshima winning 100% of all matches.
73' Another substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to replace Douglas Vieira by Alen Inoue on 73 minute.
76' That is a card for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Yotaro Nakajima will be fuming at that decision.
76' Time for substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC. Hirotaka Tameda is replaced by Ryogo Yamasaki.
77' Another change for Cerezo Osaka FC made on 77 minute. Hiroaki Okuno leaves to be changed by Yuichi Hirano.
78' A stunning finish from Tolgay Arslan — that came from absolutely nowhere!
82' The supporters are chanting for Reiya Sakata. He replaces Ryuya Nishio on 82 minute.
83' Cerezo Osaka FC ring the changes. Kyohei Noborizato has done his job and it is now time for Vitor Bueno to step up.
85' Tolgay Arslan with the second goal in the match!
90' Cerezo Osaka FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
Full Time. Sanfrecce Hiroshima beats Cerezo Osaka FC

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

19
Sho Sasaki
1
Keisuke Osako
14
Taishi Matsumoto
66
Hayao Kawabe ↓ Tolgay Arslan 63'
24
Shunki Higashi
33
Tsukasa Shiotani ↓ Douglas Vieira 46'
4
Hayato Araki
13
Naoto Arai ↓ Sota Koshimichi 63'
11
Makoto Mitsuta ↓ Yotaro Nakajima 67'
15
Shuto Nakano
51
Mutsuki Kato

Bench

Coach Michael Skibbe

Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

29
Ryogo Yamasaki ↑ 76'
55
Vitor Bueno ↑ 83'
4
Yuichi Hirano ↑ 77'
1
Han-Been Yang
17
Reiya Sakata ↑ 82'
38
Sota Kitano ↑ 66'
16
Hayato Okuda

Coach Akio Kogiku

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Douglas Vieira	3
Tolgay Arslan	2
Lucas Fernandes	2
Kosuke Kinoshita	2
Toshiyuki Takagi	2
Toshiyuki Takagi	2
Hayato Araki	2
Hiroaki Okuno	1

Head to Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2024-08-11 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2024-08-07 Tokyo Verdy 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2024-07-21 Sagan Tosu FC 1–4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2024-07-14 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka W 2024-07-05 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–3 Vissel Kobe L 2024-06-29 Kawasaki Frontale 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D

Cerezo Osaka FC Form

2024-08-11 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2024-08-07 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–0 FC Machida Zelvia D 2024-07-20 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–2 Albirex Niigata L 2024-07-14 Kawasaki Frontale 1–1 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2024-07-06 Tokyo Verdy 1–1 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2024-06-30 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Nagoya Grampus W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.02 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.32 Cerezo Osaka FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima56% Draw22% Cerezo Osaka FC22%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.34

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	64%	36%
± 3.5	42%	58%
± 4.5	25%	75%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw

78%

Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC

44%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Cerezo Osaka FC

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima39% Draw41% Cerezo Osaka FC20%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.3%

2 – 1

9.2%

2 – 0

Actual

1 – 0

6.5%

3 – 1

6.1%

1 – 2

6.1%

2 – 2

0 – 0

3 – 0

4.7%

3 – 2

4.1%

0 – 1

4 – 1

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers	Push	Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5	15%	—	85%
-2	15%	16%	69%
-1.5	31%	—	69%
-1	31%	21%	48%
-0.5	52%	—	48%
+0.5	76%	—	24%
+1	76%	14%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	7%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

27% ✗

Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.