Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 07 Aug | Tōkyō Verdy | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Jul | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 14 Jul | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Jul | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Jun | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–2 | L |
| 07 Aug | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Jul | Albirex Niigata | H | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Jul | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Jul | Tōkyō Verdy | A | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Jun | Nagoya Grampus | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #2 |
| 30 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 41 | Scored | 48 |
| 33 | Conceded | 38 |
| +8 | GD | +10 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 56% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
52%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
43%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/4
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 6 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 G | 1 A |
Cerezo Osaka FC
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 3 G |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to score. At the same time, Cerezo Osaka FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Sota Kitano has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 10' Sanfrecce Hiroshima seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 15' Cerezo Osaka FC have won 399 goals from 373 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 20' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 25' Cerezo Osaka FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 30' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Cerezo Osaka FC backline.
- 35' Cerezo Osaka FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 40' It’s high time Akio Kogiku made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 45' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Cerezo Osaka FC's shape.
- 46' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima bench stirs into life. Tsukasa Shiotani is withdrawn and Douglas Vieira gets his opportunity.
- 51' Shunki Higashi is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Cerezo Osaka FC so far.
- 55' Sanfrecce Hiroshima player sees a card in front of him.
- 60' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 63' Sota Koshimichi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Naoto Arai on 63 minute.
- 66' Time for substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC. Masaya Shibayama is replaced by Sota Kitano.
- 67' Yotaro Nakajima gets the nod from Sanfrecce Hiroshima. He replaces Makoto Mitsuta and will look to change the dynamic.
- 72' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 73' Alen Inoue has so much to prove this time. He replaces Douglas Vieira on 73 minute.
- 76' The referee shows Sanfrecce Hiroshima player a card on 76.
- 76' It is a substitution in Cerezo Osaka FC team. Hirotaka Tameda is replaced by Ryogo Yamasaki on 76 minute.
- 77' A tactical swap from Cerezo Osaka FC — Yuichi Hirano on, Hiroaki Okuno off on 77 minutes.
- 78' Magnificent from Tolgay Arslan! That is 25 goals in 458 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 82' A change in the Cerezo Osaka FC ranks — Ryuya Nishio exits the field as Reiya Sakata enters on 82.
- 83' The Cerezo Osaka FC bench stirs into life. Kyohei Noborizato is withdrawn and Vitor Bueno gets his opportunity.
- 85' The Germany midfielder Tolgay Arslan breaks the deadlock on 85 minutes. 2-0!
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Leo Ceara.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Cerezo Osaka FC.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 1
- 14
-
66
Hayao Kawabe ↓ Tolgay Arslan 63'
- 24
- 33
- 4
-
13
Naoto Arai ↓ Sota Koshimichi 63'
- 11
- 15
- 51
Bench
- 22
-
9
Douglas Vieira ↑ 46'
-
30
Tolgay Arslan ↑ 63'
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↑ 63'
- 27
-
35
Yotaro Nakajima ↑ 67'
- 36
Coach
Michael Skibbe
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 77
- 9
-
25
Hiroaki Okuno ↓ Yuichi Hirano 77'
-
6
Kyohei Noborizato ↓ Vitor Bueno 83'
- 14
- 10
-
33
Ryuya Nishio ↓ Reiya Sakata 82'
- 19
- 24
- 21
-
48
Masaya Shibayama ↓ Sota Kitano 66'
Bench
-
29
Ryogo Yamasaki ↑ 76'
-
55
Vitor Bueno ↑ 83'
-
4
Yuichi Hirano ↑ 77'
- 1
-
17
Reiya Sakata ↑ 82'
-
38
Sota Kitano ↑ 66'
- 16
Coach
Akio Kogiku
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 |
| Douglas Vieira | 3 |
| Lucas Fernandes | 2 |
| Akito Suzuki | 2 |
| Kosuke Kinoshita | 2 |
| Toshiyuki Takagi | 2 |
| Toshiyuki Takagi | 2 |
| Hayato Araki | 2 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2024-08-11
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
Cerezo Osaka FC
W
2024-08-07
Tōkyō Verdy
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2024-07-21
Sagan Tosu FC
1–4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2024-07-14
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Avispa Fukuoka
W
2024-07-05
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–3
Vissel Kobe
L
2024-06-29
Kawasaki Frontale
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.02
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.34
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
78%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
44%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Cerezo Osaka FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
6.5%
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 0
5%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 1
4%
4 – 1
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 16% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 21% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 14% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
27%
✗
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

