Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at EDION Stadium Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | H | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Sep | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Sep | Vissel Kobe | H | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Sep | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Aug | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Sep | Shonan Bellmare | H | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Sep | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Sep | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Sep | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Aug | Nagoya Grampus | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #2 |
| 30 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 41 | Scored | 48 |
| 33 | Conceded | 38 |
| +8 | GD | +10 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 56% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
52%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
43%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/4
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 6 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 G | 1 A |
Cerezo Osaka FC
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 3 G |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds EDION Stadium Hiroshima will turn into a battlefield for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Cerezo Osaka FC.
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 10' Cerezo Osaka FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 15' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against Cerezo Osaka FC's 4-4-2 shape.
- 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Shinji Kagawa, as he is very good at scoring at EDION Stadium Hiroshima with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 25' It looks surprising Sanfrecce Hiroshima does not make any changes. Tsukasa Shiotani has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 30' Cerezo Osaka FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 35' Haruki Arai needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 40' Over 40 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 45' It’s high time Michael Skibbe made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 46' A tactical swap from Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Shunki Higashi on, Gakuto Notsuda off on 46 minutes.
- 50' Matej Jonjic is having his name booked by the referee on 50.
- 55' Takaaki Shichi is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Cerezo Osaka FC tonight.
- 60' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Hiroaki Okuno made 275 appearances and scored 27 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 65' The travelling Cerezo Osaka FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 70' Fresh legs for Sanfrecce Hiroshima! Ezequiel comes on to replace Takaaki Shichi.
- 71' The referee shows Cerezo Osaka FC player a card on 71.
- 71' It is a substitution in Cerezo Osaka FC team. Satoki Uejo is replaced by Masaya Shibayama on 71 minute.
- 75' Cerezo Osaka FC ring the changes. Jordy Croux has done his job and it is now time for Haruki Arai to step up.
- 80' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima bench stirs into life. Douglas Vieira is withdrawn and Nassim Ben Khalifa gets his opportunity.
- 85' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 90' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
7
Gakuto Notsuda ↓ Shunki Higashi 46'
- 19
- 38
- 8
- 33
- 9
- 4
-
16
Takaaki Shichi ↓ Ezequiel 70'
- 11
- 15
- 51
Bench
-
14
Ezequiel ↑ 70'
- 3
- 17
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↑ 46'
-
13
Nassim Ben Khalifa ↑ 80'
- 21
- 35
Coach
Michael Skibbe
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 9
- 27
-
11
Jordy Croux ↓ Haruki Arai 75'
- 8
- 25
- 22
- 29
- 16
- 24
-
7
Satoki Uejo ↓ Masaya Shibayama 71'
- 21
Bench
- 3
- 5
- 17
-
26
Haruki Arai ↑ 75'
- 31
- 30
-
48
Masaya Shibayama ↑ 71'
Coach
Akio Kogiku
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 |
| Douglas Vieira | 3 |
| Lucas Fernandes | 2 |
| Akito Suzuki | 2 |
| Kosuke Kinoshita | 2 |
| Toshiyuki Takagi | 2 |
| Toshiyuki Takagi | 2 |
| Hayato Araki | 2 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2023-10-21
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–0
Cerezo Osaka FC
D
2023-09-30
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3–1
Nagoya Grampus
W
2023-09-23
Kyōto Sanga FC
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2023-09-16
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
Vissel Kobe
W
2023-09-02
Sagan Tosu FC
0–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2023-08-26
Kashiwa Reysol
0–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.85
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.06
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
77%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
48%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Cerezo Osaka FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
7.9%
2 – 0
7.9%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 1
4.9%
3 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 16% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 22% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
30%
✗
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

