Yokohama F·Marinos vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Yokohama F·Marinos vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Nippatsu Mitsuzawa Stadium.
- Yokohama F·Marinos 18 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Yuichi Nishimura
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Jun | Tokyo Verdy | H | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Jun | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Jun | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Jun | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Jun | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Jun | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–4 | L |
| 26 Jun | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Jun | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Jun | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–2 | L |
| 31 May | FC Tōkyō | H | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
Yokohama F·Marinos this season
Yokohama F·Marinos this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Yokohama F·Marinos
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
3/2
46-60
5/1
61-75
3/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Nippatsu Mitsuzawa Stadium that hosts another battle between Yokohama F·Marinos and Sagan Tosu FC.
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jun Amano, as he is very good at scoring at Nippatsu Mitsuzawa Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' Yokohama F·Marinos is showing some good football. However, Yokohama F·Marinos are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Marcelo Ryan suffering a number of foals already.
- 25' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Taisei Inoue is replaced by Yoichi Naganuma.
- 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 35' It looks surprising Yokohama F·Marinos does not make any changes. Hikaru Nakahara has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 40' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 45' Yokohama F·Marinos is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 50' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yoichi Naganuma made 335 appearances and scored 16 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 53' What a strike from Ayumu Yokoyama! The score is 0-1.
- 58' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 60' Time for substitution for Yokohama F.Marinos. Hijiri Kato is replaced by Ren Kato.
- 65' Hijiri Kato needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 67' Another change for Yokohama F.Marinos made on 67 minute. Jun Amano leaves to be changed by Riku Yamane.
- 71' Taichi Kikuchi was booked on 71.
- 75' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Taichi Kikuchi departs to be replaced by Kohei Tezuka.
- 79' The supporters are chanting for Tae-Hee Nam. He replaces Ken Matsubara on 79 minute.
- 84' Yokohama F·Marinos seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 89' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-1.
Lineups
Yokohama F·Marinos Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 11
- 1
- 5
- 20
- 27
- 8
- 15
- 6
- 10
- 24
Bench
- 23
- 21
- 17
- 14
- 28
- 29
- 16
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 22
- 99
- 71
-
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↓ Kohei Tezuka 75'
- 42
- 2
-
5
So Kawahara ↓ Akito Fukuta 60'
- 13
-
18
Shota Hino ↓ Hikaru Nakahara 75'
-
29
Taisei Inoue ↓ Yoichi Naganuma 25'
Bench
-
6
Akito Fukuta ↑ 60'
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↑ 75'
-
16
Katsunori Ueebisu ↑ 75'
-
88
Yoichi Naganuma ↑ 25'
-
8
Hikaru Nakahara ↑ 75'
- 21
- 1
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Erik | 3 |
| Yan Santos | 2 |
| Leo Ceara | 2 |
| Kota Mizunuma | 2 |
| Daizen Maeda | 2 |
| Marcos Junior | 2 |
| Victor Ibarbo | 1 |
| Ryoya Morishita | 1 |
Head to Head
Yokohama F·Marinos Form
2024-07-03
Yokohama F·Marinos
0–1
Sagan Tosu FC
L
2024-06-29
Yokohama F·Marinos
1–2
Tokyo Verdy
L
2024-06-26
Avispa Fukuoka
2–1
Yokohama F·Marinos
L
2024-06-23
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
0–1
Yokohama F·Marinos
W
2024-06-19
Yokohama F·Marinos
3–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2024-06-15
Yokohama F·Marinos
1–3
FC Machida Zelvia
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.18
Yokohama F·Marinos xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Yokohama F·Marinos or Sagan Tosu FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Sagan Tosu FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Yokohama F·Marinos or Draw
68%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
63%
Yokohama F·Marinos or Sagan Tosu FC
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.6%
1 – 0
11%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
3%
3 – 0
2.7%
1 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Yokohama F·Marinos
| Handicap | Yokohama F·Marinos covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 11% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 21% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 19% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Yokohama F·Marinos keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

