Sagan Tosu FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
Standings
# Team P Pts 1 Kashima Antlers 18 45 2 FC Tokyo 18 37 3 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37 4 Vissel Kobe 18 35 5 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31 6 Nagoya Grampus 18 31 7 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30 8 Gamba Osaka 18 28 9 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28 10 Tokyo Verdy 18 28 11 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26 12 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25 13 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24 14 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23 15 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21 16 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21 17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20 18 Yokohama F.Marinos 18 20 19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18 20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 21 Jul Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–4 L 14 Jul Gamba Osaka H 0–2 L 06 Jul Albirex Niigata A 4–3 W 03 Jul Yokohama F.Marinos A 1–0 W 30 Jun Kashiwa Reysol H 1–4 L 26 Jun Cerezo Osaka FC A 0–1 L Date Opponent H/A Score Result 21 Jul Sagan Tosu FC A 4–1 W 14 Jul Avispa Fukuoka H 1–0 W 05 Jul Vissel Kobe H 1–3 L 29 Jun Kawasaki Frontale A 1–1 D 26 Jun Albirex Niigata H 1–1 D 22 Jun Kashiwa Reysol A 1–0 W Key Stats
25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history22% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this seasonGoal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0-153/116-301/231-453/146-605/–61-753/476+1/2■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Sagan Tosu FC to score. At the same time, Sanfrecce Hiroshima does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Sanfrecce Hiroshima started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 6' Sagan Tosu FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 11' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Keisuke Osako made 331 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 16' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 21' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is taking the lead after the goal scored by Marcos Junior on 21.
- 26' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 31' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 36' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 41' Sagan Tosu FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 41.
- 46' What an equalizer from Marcelo Ryan!
- 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Naoto Arai suffering a number of foals already.
- 56' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 61' Another substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to replace Douglas Vieira by Makoto Mitsuta on 61 minute.
- 64' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Vykintas Slivka is replaced by Cayman Togashi.
- 69' The travelling Sanfrecce Hiroshima supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 71' Taishi Matsumoto puts Sanfrecce Hiroshima on the lead.
- 76' Sagan Tosu FC is showing some good football. However, Sagan Tosu FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 78' Katsunori Ueebisu has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tae-hyeon Kim on 78 minute.
- 82' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Hikaru Nakahara is replaced by Yuki Horigome on 82 minute.
- 86' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kohei Tezuka is hanging Ayumu Yokoyama on the field on 86 minute.
- 87' GOAL! Yuki Ohashi scores on 87.
- 90' Time for substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Shunki Higashi is replaced by Takaaki Shichi.
- The final score is 1-4.
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Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
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6
Akito Fukuta ↓ Hiroshi Kiyotake 86'
- 77
- 99
- 88
- 71
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8
Hikaru Nakahara ↓ Yuki Horigome 82'
- 42
- 2
- 5
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13
Ayumu Yokoyama ↓ Kohei Tezuka 86'
- 20
Bench
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22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 64'
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7
Kohei Tezuka ↑ 86'
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55
Hiroshi Kiyotake ↑ 86'
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16
Katsunori Ueebisu ↑ 78'
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21
Yuki Horigome ↑ 82'
- 32
- 1
Coach Kenta KawaiSanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
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10
Marcos Junior ↓ Mutsuki Kato 61'
- 1
- 14
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24
Shunki Higashi ↓ Takaaki Shichi 90'
- 77
- 33
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9
Douglas Vieira ↓ Makoto Mitsuta 61'
- 4
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13
Naoto Arai ↓ Yusuke Chajima 90'
- 15
- 27
Bench
- 22
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6
Toshihiro Aoyama ↑ 90'
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16
Takaaki Shichi ↑ 90'
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25
Yusuke Chajima ↑ 90'
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11
Makoto Mitsuta ↑ 61'
- 35
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51
Mutsuki Kato ↑ 61'
Coach Michael Skibbe -
6
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Makoto Mitsuta 2 Douglas Vieira 2 Pieros Sotiriou 2 Rhayner 1 Hayato Araki 1 Takumu Kawamura 1 Toshihiro Aoyama 1 Shunki Higashi 1 Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2024-07-21 Sagan Tosu FC 1–4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2024-07-14 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka W 2024-07-05 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–3 Vissel Kobe L 2024-06-29 Kawasaki Frontale 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2024-06-26 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Albirex Niigata D 2024-06-22 Kashiwa Reysol 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W -
Predictions
Prediction accuracy3 / 41 Sagan Tosu FC xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.96 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xGI would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 56%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 2.96Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 93% 7% ± 1.5 79% 21% ± 2.5 56% 44% ± 3.5 34% 66% ± 4.5 18% 82% Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw 45%Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 79%Sagan Tosu FC or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 75%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 11%0 – 2 9.9%1 – 2 9.6%0 – 1 9.5%0 – 0 6.9%0 – 3 6.3%1 – 3 6.3%2 – 1 4.9%2 – 2 4.8%1 – 0 4.4%2 – 3 3.2%1 – 4 ActualAsian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers -2.5 2% — 98% -2 2% 5% 94% -1.5 6% — 94% -1 6% 11% 82% -0.5 18% — 82% +0.5 42% — 58% +1 42% 23% 35% +1.5 65% — 35% +2 65% 18% 17% +2.5 83% — 17% Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet 15% ✓Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet 38% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

