Thursday , 2 July 2026

SS Lazio vs AC Milan, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
1 0
Full Time
Sun 15 Mar 2026 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SS Lazio vs AC MilanSerie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Guida
13 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 3.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar AC Milan H 1–0 W
09 Mar US Sassuolo Calcio H 2–1 W
01 Mar Torino FC A 0–2 L
21 Feb Cagliari Calcio A 0–0 D
14 Feb Atalanta BC H 0–2 L
08 Feb Juventus FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar SS Lazio A 0–1 L
08 Mar FC Internazionale Milano H 1–0 W
01 Mar US Cremonese A 2–0 W
22 Feb Parma Calcio 1913 H 0–1 L
18 Feb Como 1907 H 1–1 D
13 Feb AC Pisa 1909 A 2–1 W

Season Stats

SS Lazio AC Milan
#9 Position #5
54 Points 70
38 Played 38
14 / 12 / 12 W / D / L 20 / 10 / 8
41 Scored 53
40 Conceded 35
+1 GD +18
1.42 PPG 1.84
37% Win % 53%

Key Stats

46% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

SS Lazio are 9th (54 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

SS Lazio Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.96 SS Lazio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: SS Lazio or AC Milan 69% + Under 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SS Lazio36% Draw31% AC Milan33%
Actual: SS Lazio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.05
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

SS Lazio or Draw
67%
Draw or AC Milan
64%
SS Lazio or AC Milan
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SS Lazio21% Draw54% AC Milan25%
Actual: SS Lazio win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.3%
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
7.3%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
3.6%
1 – 3
2.6%
0 – 3
2.6%
3 – 1
2%

Asian Handicap — SS Lazio

Handicap SS Lazio covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 19% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 21% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

SS Lazio keeps clean sheet
34%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.