Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SS Lazio vs AC Milan, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
1 – 0
Full Time
Sun 15 Mar 2026 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SS Lazio vs AC Milan — Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Guida
5 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 11.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar AC Milan H 1–0 W
09 Mar US Sassuolo Calcio H 2–1 W
01 Mar Torino FC A 0–2 L
21 Feb Cagliari Calcio A 0–0 D
14 Feb Atalanta BC H 0–2 L
08 Feb Juventus FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar SS Lazio A 0–1 L
08 Mar FC Internazionale Milano H 1–0 W
01 Mar US Cremonese A 2–0 W
22 Feb Parma Calcio 1913 H 0–1 L
18 Feb Como 1907 H 1–1 D
13 Feb AC Pisa 1909 A 2–1 W

Season Stats

SS Lazio AC Milan
#3 Position #5
13 Points 11
5 Played 5
4 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 0
8 Scored 10
3 Conceded 4
+5 GD +6
2.60 PPG 2.20
80% Win % 60%

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
60% Clean Sheets
SS Lazio this season
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

SS Lazio are 3rd (13 pts). AC Milan are 5th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SS Lazio
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/2
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SS Lazio
Davide Frattesi 3 G
Tijjani Noslin 2 G
AC Milan
Diego Moreira 3 G
Adrien Rabiot 2 G 2 A
Alphadjo Cisse 2 G
Goncalo Ramos 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

SS Lazio Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1 SS Lazio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: SS Lazio or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SS Lazio40% Draw32% AC Milan28%
Actual: SS Lazio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 1.9
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

SS Lazio or Draw
72%
Draw or AC Milan
60%
SS Lazio or AC Milan
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SS Lazio23% Draw56% AC Milan21%
Actual: SS Lazio win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.5%
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
12.1%
2 – 0
7%
2 – 1
6.6%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
3.1%
3 – 0
2.3%
3 – 1
2.2%
1 – 3
1.8%

Asian Handicap — SS Lazio

Handicap SS Lazio covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 10% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 21% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 19% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

SS Lazio keeps clean sheet
41% ✗
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
38% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.