AC Milan vs Torino FC, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Serie A · 2025-26

AC Milan

3 – 2

Full Time

Torino FC

Sat 21 Mar 2026 · 17:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Torino FC — Serie A .

AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
Torino FC 38 games · 45 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Francesco Fourneau

4 games this season 🟨 0.0/game ⚽ 3.0 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Internazionale Milano	38	87
2	SSC Napoli	38	76
3	AS Roma	38	73
4	Como 1907	38	71
5	AC Milan	38	70
6	Juventus FC	38	69
7	Atalanta BC	38	59
8	Bologna FC 1909	38	56
9	SS Lazio	38	54
10	Udinese Calcio	38	50
11	US Sassuolo Calcio	38	49
12	Parma Calcio 1913	38	45
13	Torino FC	38	45
14	Cagliari Calcio	38	43
15	ACF Fiorentina	38	42
16	Genoa CFC	38	41
17	US Lecce	38	38
18	US Cremonese	38	34
19	Hellas Verona FC	38	21
20	AC Pisa 1909	38	18

Head-to-Head

AC Milan 20 games · Avg 2.9 goals Torino FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-21 AC Milan 3–2 Torino FC 2025-12-08 Torino FC 2–3 AC Milan 2025-02-22 Torino FC 2–1 AC Milan 2024-08-17 AC Milan 2–2 Torino FC 2024-05-18 Torino FC 3–1 AC Milan

Recent Form

AC Milan

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Mar	Torino FC	H	3–2	W
15 Mar	SS Lazio	A	0–1	L
08 Mar	FC Internazionale Milano	H	1–0	W
01 Mar	US Cremonese	A	2–0	W
22 Feb	Parma Calcio 1913	H	0–1	L
18 Feb	Como 1907	H	1–1	D

Torino FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Mar	AC Milan	A	2–3	L
13 Mar	Parma Calcio 1913	H	4–1	W
06 Mar	SSC Napoli	A	1–2	L
01 Mar	SS Lazio	H	2–0	W
22 Feb	Genoa CFC	A	0–3	L
15 Feb	Bologna FC 1909	H	1–2	L

Season Stats

AC Milan		Torino FC
#5	Position	#13
70	Points	45
38	Played	38
20 / 10 / 8	W / D / L	12 / 9 / 17
53	Scored	44
35	Conceded	63
+18	GD	-19
1.84	PPG	1.18
53%	Win %	32%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). Torino FC are 13th (45 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for AC Milan to score. At the same time, Torino FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
Another three points for AC Milan.

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

Torino FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Olivier Giroud	5
Ante Rebic	4
Theo Hernandez	3
Andrea Belotti	3
Duvan Zapata	2
Franck Kessie	2
Alvaro Morata	1
Noah Okafor	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.17 AC Milan xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.23 Torino FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct

AC Milan57% Draw22% Torino FC21%

Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes63% 0% No37%

Avg goals/match: 3.4

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	65%	35%
± 3.5	44%	56%
± 4.5	26%	74%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw

79%

Draw or Torino FC

43%

AC Milan or Torino FC

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

AC Milan42% Draw40% Torino FC18%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.7%

2 – 1

9.3%

2 – 0

7.9%

1 – 0

6.7%

3 – 1

6.7%

2 – 2

5.7%

3 – 0

5.5%

1 – 2

5.3%

0 – 0

4.8%

3 – 2

Actual

4 – 1

3.7%

0 – 1

3.5%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap	AC Milan covers	Push	Torino FC covers
-2.5	19%	—	81%
-2	19%	17%	64%
-1.5	36%	—	64%
-1	36%	21%	43%
-0.5	57%	—	43%
+0.5	80%	—	20%
+1	80%	12%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Torino FC keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.