Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AC Milan vs SSC Napoli, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2023-24
1 – 0
Full Time
Sun 11 Feb 2024 · 19:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza HT 45' · FT 45'
Theo Hernandez 25' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs SSC Napoli — Serie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniele Doveri
  • Assistant 1 Daniele Bindoni
  • Assistant 2 Giovanni Baccini
3 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 4.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Feb SSC Napoli H 1–0 W
03 Feb Frosinone Calcio A 3–2 W
27 Jan Bologna FC 1909 H 2–2 D
20 Jan Udinese Calcio A 3–2 W
14 Jan AS Roma H 3–1 W
07 Jan Empoli FC A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Feb AC Milan A 0–1 L
04 Feb Hellas Verona FC H 2–1 W
28 Jan SS Lazio A 0–0 D
13 Jan US Salernitana 1919 H 2–1 W
07 Jan Torino FC A 0–3 L
29 Dec AC Monza H 0–0 D

Season Stats

AC Milan SSC Napoli
#5 Position #9
11 Points 7
5 Played 5
3 / 2 / 0 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 2
10 Scored 7
4 Conceded 6
+6 GD +1
2.20 PPG 1.40
60% Win % 40%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
25% Clean Sheets
SSC Napoli this season

AC Milan are 5th (11 pts). SSC Napoli are 9th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SSC Napoli
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.79 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.63 SSC Napoli xG
I would bet for: AC Milan to win 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan64% Draw23% SSC Napoli13%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
87%
Draw or SSC Napoli
36%
AC Milan or SSC Napoli
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan44% Draw46% SSC Napoli10%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
13.8%
0 – 0
10.9%
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
8.7%
3 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
5.3%
0 – 1
4.7%
4 – 0
3.6%
1 – 2
3%
2 – 2
2.8%
4 – 1
2.4%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push SSC Napoli covers
-2.5 18% — 82%
-2 18% 20% 62%
-1.5 38% — 62%
-1 38% 26% 36%
-0.5 64% — 36%
+0.5 89% — 11%
+1 89% 8% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
53% ✓
SSC Napoli keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.