Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Milan vs SSC Napoli, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2023-24
AC Milan
1 – 0
Full Time
SSC Napoli
Sun 11 Feb 2024 · 19:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza HT 45' · FT 45'
Theo Hernandez 25' 1–0
Y 85' Juan Jesus
Theo Hernandez 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs SSC Napoli — Serie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniele Doveri
  • Assistant 1 Daniele Bindoni
  • Assistant 2 Giovanni Baccini
3 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 3.7 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Internazionale Milano 38 87
2 SSC Napoli 38 76
3 AS Roma 38 73
4 Como 1907 38 71
5 AC Milan 38 70
6 Juventus FC 38 69
7 Atalanta BC 38 59
8 Bologna FC 1909 38 56
9 SS Lazio 38 54
10 Udinese Calcio 38 50
11 US Sassuolo Calcio 38 49
12 Parma Calcio 1913 38 45
13 Torino FC 38 45
14 Cagliari Calcio 38 43
15 ACF Fiorentina 38 42
16 Genoa CFC 38 41
17 US Lecce 38 38
18 US Cremonese 38 34
19 Hellas Verona FC 38 21
20 AC Pisa 1909 38 18

Head-to-Head

6
5
7
AC Milan 18 games · Avg 2.3 goals SSC Napoli
Last 5 meetings
2024-02-11 AC Milan 1–0 SSC Napoli 2023-10-29 SSC Napoli 2–2 AC Milan 2023-04-18 SSC Napoli 1–1 AC Milan 2023-04-12 AC Milan 1–0 SSC Napoli 2023-04-02 SSC Napoli 0–4 AC Milan

Recent Form

AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Feb SSC Napoli H 1–0 W
03 Feb Frosinone Calcio A 3–2 W
27 Jan Bologna FC 1909 H 2–2 D
20 Jan Udinese Calcio A 3–2 W
14 Jan AS Roma H 3–1 W
07 Jan Empoli FC A 3–0 W
SSC Napoli
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Feb AC Milan A 0–1 L
04 Feb Hellas Verona FC H 2–1 W
28 Jan SS Lazio A 0–0 D
13 Jan US Salernitana 1919 H 2–1 W
07 Jan Torino FC A 0–3 L
29 Dec AC Monza H 0–0 D

Season Stats

AC Milan SSC Napoli
#5 Position #2
70 Points 76
38 Played 38
20 / 10 / 8 W / D / L 23 / 7 / 8
53 Scored 58
35 Conceded 36
+18 GD +22
1.84 PPG 2.00
53% Win % 61%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). SSC Napoli are 2nd (76 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! AC Milan vs SSC Napoli — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' AC Milan are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against SSC Napoli's 3-5-1-1 shape.
  • 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Stefano Pioli will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Walter Mazzarri might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 25' A stunning finish from Theo Hernandez — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 35' Giovanni Di Lorenzo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 28 goals in his last 380 appearances.
  • 37' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Davide Calabria is replaced by Alessandro Florenzi.
  • 42' It’s high time Stefano Pioli made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 46' A tactical swap from SSC Napoli — Matteo Politano on, Leo Ostigard off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 55' A change in the SSC Napoli ranks — Giovanni Simeone exits the field as Giacomo Raspadori enters on 55.
  • 60' Amir Rrahmani has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 65' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 66' The whistle greets Ismael Bennacer as he departs to be replaced by Yunus Musah.
  • 71' The home supporters are growing impatient. AC Milan must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 76' Time for substitution for SSC Napoli. Piotr Zielinski is replaced by Jesper Lindstrom.
  • 81' Luka Jovic is ready to make an impact after coming on for Olivier Giroud at the 81 minute mark.
  • 85' SSC Napoli player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 90' AC Milan player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 90' Cyril Ngonge has so much to prove this time. He replaces Juan Jesus on 90 minute.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from AC Milan to claim maximum points.

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Stefano Pioli

SSC Napoli Lineups

3-5-1-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Walter Mazzarri

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Matteo Politano 5
Olivier Giroud 5
Dries Mertens 3
Giacomo Bonaventura 2
Rafael Leao 2
Theo Hernandez 2
Piotr Zielinski 2
Franck Kessie 2

Head to Head

2024-02-11 AC Milan 1–0 SSC Napoli 2023-10-29 SSC Napoli 2–2 AC Milan 2023-04-18 SSC Napoli 1–1 AC Milan 2023-04-12 AC Milan 1–0 SSC Napoli 2023-04-02 SSC Napoli 0–4 AC Milan

AC Milan Form

2024-02-11 AC Milan 1–0 SSC Napoli W 2024-02-03 Frosinone Calcio 2–3 AC Milan W 2024-01-27 AC Milan 2–2 Bologna FC 1909 D 2024-01-20 Udinese Calcio 2–3 AC Milan W 2024-01-14 AC Milan 3–1 AS Roma W 2024-01-07 Empoli FC 0–3 AC Milan W

SSC Napoli Form

2024-02-11 AC Milan 1–0 SSC Napoli L 2024-02-04 SSC Napoli 2–1 Hellas Verona FC W 2024-01-28 SS Lazio 0–0 SSC Napoli D 2024-01-13 SSC Napoli 2–1 US Salernitana 1919 W 2024-01-07 Torino FC 3–0 SSC Napoli L 2023-12-29 SSC Napoli 0–0 AC Monza D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.46 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82 SSC Napoli xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan55% Draw27% SSC Napoli18%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
82%
Draw or SSC Napoli
45%
AC Milan or SSC Napoli
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan35% Draw50% SSC Napoli15%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 0
12.4%
2 – 0
10.6%
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
7.2%
3 – 0
5.1%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.3%
4 – 0
1.9%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push SSC Napoli covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 16% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 25% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
45% ✗
SSC Napoli keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.