Sunday , 16 August 2026

SSC Napoli vs AC Milan, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
1 0
Full Time
Mon 6 Apr 2026 · 18:45 UTC Diego Armando Maradona 50,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Matteo Politano 79' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

SSC Napoli vs AC MilanSerie A at Diego Armando Maradona.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniele Doveri
  • Assistant 1 Giovanni Baccini
  • Assistant 2 Valerio Colarossi

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Apr AC Milan H 1–0 W
20 Mar Cagliari Calcio A 1–0 W
14 Mar US Lecce H 2–1 W
06 Mar Torino FC H 2–1 W
28 Feb Hellas Verona FC A 2–1 W
22 Feb Atalanta BC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Apr SSC Napoli A 0–1 L
21 Mar Torino FC H 3–2 W
15 Mar SS Lazio A 0–1 L
08 Mar FC Internazionale Milano H 1–0 W
01 Mar US Cremonese A 2–0 W
22 Feb Parma Calcio 1913 H 0–1 L

Season Stats

SSC Napoli AC Milan
#5 Position #8
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

SSC Napoli are 5th (0 pts). AC Milan are 8th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between SSC Napoli and AC Milan is underway.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Santiago Gimenez suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 12' It’s a booking for SSC Napoli player. Alessandro Buongiorno gets a card.
  • 17' It looks surprising AC Milan does not make any changes. Youssouf Fofana has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 22' Kevin De Bruyne needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 27' AC Milan are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 32' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 37' It looks like no one’s ball. AC Milan is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 42' Both keepers have barely been tested. SSC Napoli and AC Milan are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 47' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SSC Napoli and AC Milan are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 52' AC Milan come into this ranked 2 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 57' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 62' Zachary Athekame is ready to make an impact after coming on for Alexis Saelemaekers at the 62 minute mark.
  • 63' A change in the AC Milan ranks — Niclas Fullkrug exits the field as Santiago Gimenez enters on 63.
  • 68' Over 68 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 70' SSC Napoli ring the changes. Giovane Nascimento has done his job and it is now time for Alisson Santos to step up.
  • 74' The AC Milan bench stirs into life. Christopher Nkunku is withdrawn and Christian Pulisic gets his opportunity.
  • 79' Matteo Politano puts SSC Napoli on the lead.
  • 81' The referee shows SSC Napoli player a card on 81.
  • 82' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Fikayo Tomori is replaced by Ruben Loftus-Cheek on 82 minute.
  • 85' Fresh legs for SSC Napoli! Eljif Elmas comes on to replace Kevin De Bruyne.
  • 90' Adrien Rabiot is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AC Milan tonight.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. SSC Napoli take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.61 SSC Napoli xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.33 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 92% + Under — clean sheet likely 85%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SSC Napoli42% Draw42% AC Milan16%
Actual: SSC Napoli win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes15% 0% No85%
Avg goals/match: 0.94
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 58%
42%
± 1.5 25%
75%
± 2.5 8%
92%
± 3.5 2%
98%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

SSC Napoli or Draw
84%
Draw or AC Milan
58%
SSC Napoli or AC Milan
58%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SSC Napoli18% Draw74% AC Milan8%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
41.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.8%
1 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
6.6%
2 – 1
2.9%
0 – 2
1.7%
1 – 2
1.4%
3 – 0
1.3%
3 – 1
0.6%
2 – 2
0.6%
4 – 0
0.2%

Asian Handicap — SSC Napoli

Handicap SSC Napoli covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 25% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 86% 14%
+1 86% 12% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

SSC Napoli keeps clean sheet
72%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
54%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.