Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SSC Napoli vs AC Milan, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
1 – 0
Full Time
Mon 6 Apr 2026 · 18:45 UTC Diego Armando Maradona 50,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Matteo Politano 79' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

SSC Napoli vs AC Milan — Serie A at Diego Armando Maradona.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniele Doveri
  • Assistant 1 Giovanni Baccini
  • Assistant 2 Valerio Colarossi
3 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 4.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Apr AC Milan H 1–0 W
20 Mar Cagliari Calcio A 1–0 W
14 Mar US Lecce H 2–1 W
06 Mar Torino FC H 2–1 W
28 Feb Hellas Verona FC A 2–1 W
22 Feb Atalanta BC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Apr SSC Napoli A 0–1 L
21 Mar Torino FC H 3–2 W
15 Mar SS Lazio A 0–1 L
08 Mar FC Internazionale Milano H 1–0 W
01 Mar US Cremonese A 2–0 W
22 Feb Parma Calcio 1913 H 0–1 L

Season Stats

SSC Napoli AC Milan
#9 Position #5
7 Points 11
5 Played 5
2 / 1 / 2 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 0
7 Scored 10
6 Conceded 4
+1 GD +6
1.40 PPG 2.20
40% Win % 60%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
SSC Napoli this season
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

SSC Napoli are 9th (7 pts). AC Milan are 5th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SSC Napoli
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' SSC Napoli have kicked off against AC Milan. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Antonio Conte might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 10' With 3 assists to his name this season, Miguel Gutierrez is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AC Milan.
  • 12' A moment of madness from Alessandro Buongiorno on 12 minutes earns him a card. SSC Napoli will be frustrated.
  • 17' The home supporters are growing impatient. SSC Napoli must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 22' SSC Napoli are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against AC Milan's 3-5-2 shape.
  • 27' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 32' AC Milan have won 609 goals from 521 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 37' The travelling AC Milan supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 42' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SSC Napoli and AC Milan are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 47' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 52' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Leonardo Spinazzola suffering a number of foals already.
  • 57' SSC Napoli started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 57.
  • 62' The AC Milan bench stirs into life. Alexis Saelemaekers is withdrawn and Zachary Athekame gets his opportunity.
  • 63' A change in the AC Milan ranks — Niclas Fullkrug exits the field as Santiago Gimenez enters on 63.
  • 68' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Antonio Conte will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 70' SSC Napoli make a change. Giovane Nascimento trudges off to be replaced by Alisson Santos on 70 minutes.
  • 74' The AC Milan bench stirs into life. Christopher Nkunku is withdrawn and Christian Pulisic gets his opportunity.
  • 79' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Matteo Politano makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 81' SSC Napoli player sees a card in front of him.
  • 82' Fikayo Tomori makes way for Ruben Loftus-Cheek at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
  • 85' Eljif Elmas is replacing Kevin De Bruyne for the SSC Napoli side.
  • 90' A quiet spell here at Diego Armando Maradona. SSC Napoli seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. SSC Napoli take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.06 SSC Napoli xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: SSC Napoli or AC Milan 71% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SSC Napoli41% Draw29% AC Milan30%
Actual: SSC Napoli win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.18
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

SSC Napoli or Draw
70%
Draw or AC Milan
59%
SSC Napoli or AC Milan
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SSC Napoli23% Draw52% AC Milan25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 0
13.6%
0 – 1
11.4%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
6.9%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
4%
1 – 3
2.8%
0 – 3
2.5%
3 – 1
2.5%

Asian Handicap — SSC Napoli

Handicap SSC Napoli covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 19% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 20% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

SSC Napoli keeps clean sheet
33% ✗
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
35% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.