SE Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SE Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Allianz Parque.
- SE Palmeiras 18 games · 41 pts (2026/26)
- Sao Paulo FC 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | Sao Paulo FC | H | 5–0 | W |
| 22 Oct | Coritiba FBC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | CA Mineiro | H | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Oct | Santos FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Oct | CA Boca Juniors | H | 3–5 | L |
| 01 Oct | RB Bragantino | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–5 | L |
| 21 Oct | Grêmio FBPA | H | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | Goiás EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 07 Oct | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Sep | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | Coritiba FBC | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| SE Palmeiras | Sao Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #8 |
| 41 | Points | 25 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 12 / 5 / 1 | W / D / L | 7 / 4 / 7 |
| 30 | Scored | 23 |
| 13 | Conceded | 20 |
| +17 | GD | +3 |
| 2.28 | PPG | 1.39 |
| 67% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
SE Palmeiras are 1st (41 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 8th (25 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 6 G | 3 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 2 A |
| Gustavo Gomez | 3 G | |
| Jhon Arias | 3 G | |
| Vitor Roque | 3 G |
Sao Paulo FC
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for SE Palmeiras to score. At the same time, Sao Paulo FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' GOAL! Richard Rios scores on 5. Assisted by Mayke
- 10' Luciano is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sao Paulo FC tonight.
- 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. SE Palmeiras and Sao Paulo FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 16' Breno Lopes doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 21' Ze Rafael picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 25' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Lucas Beraldo.
- 26' What composure from Breno Lopes! The Brazil international strokes it home. 3-0.
- 27' Breno Lopes does the damage! The net is bulging and SE Palmeiras surge ahead!
- 32' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Endrick suffering a number of foals already.
- 36' A tactical swap from Sao Paulo FC — Rodrigo Nestor on, Gabriel Neves off on 36 minutes.
- 40' Wellington Rato has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lucas Moura on 40 minute.
- 44' That is a Yellow card for SE Palmeiras. Endrick will be fuming at that decision.
- 45' The referee calls foul for Rafinha. He receives a Yellow card.
- 46' The Sao Paulo FC bench stirs into life. James Rodriguez is withdrawn and Jhegson Mendez gets his opportunity.
- 51' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 52' A goal from the Uruguay international Joaquin Piquerez! He fires home on 45 to make it 5-0!
- 57' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 61' Rafinha catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Red card on 61.
- 63' The crowd applauds David as he leaves the pitch. Luciano steps in for Sao Paulo FC.
- 64' Sao Paulo FC make a change. Alisson trudges off to be replaced by Nathan on 64 minutes.
- 68' The SE Palmeiras bench stirs into life. Mayke is withdrawn and Marcos Rocha gets his opportunity.
- 73' Artur Guimaraes is ready to make an impact after coming on for Raphael Veiga at the 73 minute mark.
- 78' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 79' A moment of madness from Wellington Rato on 79 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Sao Paulo FC will be frustrated.
- 79' Breno Lopes makes way for Luis Guilherme at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from SE Palmeiras.
- 84' What a moment for Marcos Rocha! That strike on 84 puts his side firmly in control.
- 87' A goal from the Uruguay international Joaquin Piquerez! He fires home on 87 to make it 7-0!
- SE Palmeiras celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
-
23
Raphael Veiga ↓ Artur Guimaraes 73'
- 21
-
12
Mayke ↓ Marcos Rocha 68'
- 15
-
19
Breno Lopes ↓ Luis Guilherme 79'
- 13
- 26
- 22
- 9
-
27
Richard Rios ↓ Fabinho 68'
Bench
- 30
-
10
Rony ↑ 73'
-
2
Marcos Rocha ↑ 68'
-
14
Artur Guimaraes ↑ 73'
- 42
- 6
- 18
- 34
- 40
-
35
Fabinho ↑ 68'
- 37
-
31
Luis Guilherme ↑ 79'
Coach
Abel Ferreira
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 25
- 38
-
7
Lucas Moura ↓ Wellington Rato 40'
- 13
- 19
- 15
- 4
- 35
-
20
Gabriel Neves ↓ Rodrigo Nestor 36'
- 23
Bench
-
10
Luciano ↑ 63'
- 93
- 28
-
21
Jhegson Mendez ↑ 46'
- 3
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↑ 36'
- 6
-
27
Wellington Rato ↑ 40'
- 49
- 18
-
45
Nathan ↑ 64'
- 31
Coach
Dorival Júnior
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Breno Lopes | 3 |
| Luciano | 3 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 3 |
| Gabriel Menino | 2 |
| Dudu | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Joaquin Piquerez | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
Head to Head
SE Palmeiras Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2
SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.75
Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
SE Palmeiras to win 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
SE Palmeiras or Draw
84%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
39%
SE Palmeiras or Sao Paulo FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–0 not predicted5 – 0Actual
2 – 0
12.5%
1 – 0
12.2%
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 0
8.2%
3 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
6.2%
4 – 0
4.1%
0 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.5%
1 – 2
3.5%
4 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras
| Handicap | SE Palmeiras covers | Push | Sao Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -2 | 21% | 20% | 59% |
| -1.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| -1 | 41% | 24% | 35% |
| -0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 9% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
47%
✗
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

