Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SE Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Wed 25 Oct 2023 · 23:00 UTC Allianz Parque HT 45' · FT 45'
Ze Rafael 21' Y
Endrick 44' Y
Y 45' Rafinha
R 61' Rafinha

Overview

Match Preview

SE Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Allianz Parque.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct Sao Paulo FC H 5–0 W
22 Oct Coritiba FBC A 2–0 W
19 Oct CA Mineiro H 0–2 L
08 Oct Santos FC H 1–2 L
06 Oct CA Boca Juniors H 3–5 L
01 Oct RB Bragantino A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct SE Palmeiras A 0–5 L
21 Oct Gremio FBPA H 3–0 W
19 Oct Goiás EC A 0–2 L
07 Oct CR Vasco da Gama A 0–0 D
30 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 2–1 W
27 Sep Coritiba FBC H 2–1 W

Season Stats

SE Palmeiras Sao Paulo FC
#2 Position #11
57 Points 36
28 Played 27
16 / 9 / 3 W / D / L 10 / 6 / 11
47 Scored 32
21 Conceded 30
+26 GD +2
2.04 PPG 1.33
57% Win % 37%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
26% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

SE Palmeiras are 2nd (57 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 8 G 4 A
Mauricio 7 G 1 A
Vitor Roque 5 G
Allan 4 G 3 A
Gustavo Gomez 4 G 2 A
Sao Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2 SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.74 Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: SE Palmeiras to win 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SE Palmeiras61% Draw23% Sao Paulo FC16%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

SE Palmeiras or Draw
84%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
39%
SE Palmeiras or Sao Paulo FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SE Palmeiras46% Draw43% Sao Paulo FC11%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–0 not predicted
5 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
12.7%
1 – 0
12.3%
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
9.2%
3 – 0
8.2%
0 – 0
8.2%
3 – 1
6.2%
4 – 0
4.1%
0 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.4%
1 – 2
3.4%
4 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras

Handicap SE Palmeiras covers Push Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5 21% — 79%
-2 21% 20% 59%
-1.5 41% — 59%
-1 41% 24% 34%
-0.5 66% — 34%
+0.5 88% — 12%
+1 88% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
48% ✗
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.