SE Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2023

SE Palmeiras

5 – 0

Full Time

Sao Paulo FC

Wed 25 Oct 2023 · 23:00 UTC Allianz Parque HT 45' · FT 45'

Ze Rafael 21' Y

Y 25' Lucas Beraldo

Endrick 44' Y

Y 45' Rafinha

Raphael Veiga 45' Y

R 61' Rafinha

Y 79' Wellington Rato

Overview

Match Preview

SE Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Allianz Parque.

SE Palmeiras 23 games · 48 pts (2026/26)
Sao Paulo FC 22 games · 27 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	SE Palmeiras	23	48
2	CR Flamengo	21	42
3	CA Paranaense	23	41
4	Fluminense FC	23	38
5	EC Bahia	22	33
6	Cruzeiro EC	22	33
7	RB Bragantino	22	32
8	SC Corinthians Paulista	22	32
9	Coritiba FBC	23	31
10	Botafogo FR	21	30
11	CA Mineiro	21	29
12	Sao Paulo FC	22	27
13	EC Vitoria	22	26
14	Gremio FBPA	21	25
15	SC Internacional	22	23
16	Mirassol FC	21	23
17	Santos FC	21	22
18	CR Vasco da Gama	21	22
19	Clube do Remo	22	22
20	Chapecoense AF	21	10

Head-to-Head

SE Palmeiras 20 games · Avg 2.5 goals Sao Paulo FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-10-25 SE Palmeiras 5–0 Sao Paulo FC 2023-06-11 Sao Paulo FC 0–2 SE Palmeiras 2022-10-16 SE Palmeiras 0–0 Sao Paulo FC 2022-06-20 Sao Paulo FC 1–2 SE Palmeiras 2021-11-17 SE Palmeiras 0–2 Sao Paulo FC

Recent Form

SE Palmeiras

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Oct	Sao Paulo FC	H	5–0	W
22 Oct	Coritiba FBC	A	2–0	W
19 Oct	CA Mineiro	H	0–2	L
08 Oct	Santos FC	H	1–2	L
06 Oct	CA Boca Juniors	H	3–5	L
01 Oct	RB Bragantino	A	1–2	L

Sao Paulo FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Oct	SE Palmeiras	A	0–5	L
21 Oct	Gremio FBPA	H	3–0	W
19 Oct	Goiás EC	A	0–2	L
07 Oct	CR Vasco da Gama	A	0–0	D
30 Sep	SC Corinthians Paulista	H	2–1	W
27 Sep	Coritiba FBC	H	2–1	W

Season Stats

SE Palmeiras		Sao Paulo FC
#1	Position	#12
48	Points	27
23	Played	22
14 / 6 / 3	W / D / L	7 / 6 / 9
40	Scored	27
19	Conceded	26
+21	GD	+1
2.09	PPG	1.23
61%	Win %	32%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

39% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

23% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

SE Palmeiras are 1st (48 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 12th (27 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras

0-15

3/2

16-30

4/1

31-45

4/1

46-60

1/3

61-75

5/1

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Sao Paulo FC

0-15

3/–

16-30

3/3

31-45

3/2

46-60

–/8

61-75

3/2

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras

Jose Manuel Lopez	6 G	3 A
Ramon Sosa	4 G	2 A
Allan	4 G	2 A
Mauricio	4 G	1 A
Jhon Arias	4 G	1 A

Sao Paulo FC

Jonathan Calleri	7 G	1 A
Luciano	6 G	1 A
Ferreira	4 G
Artur Guimaraes	3 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at Allianz Parque. SE Palmeiras are looking to make home advantage count against Sao Paulo FC.
5' Richard Rios adds to his 0 season tally! SE Palmeiras lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
10' Rafinha, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
15' It looks surprising Sao Paulo FC does not make any changes. Alisson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
16' Breno Lopes doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
21' Poor challenge from Ze Rafael. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
25' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Lucas Beraldo.
26' A stunning finish from Breno Lopes — that came from absolutely nowhere!
27' The Brazil Breno Lopes breaks the deadlock on 27 minutes. 4-0!
32' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
36' Gabriel Neves makes way for Rodrigo Nestor at the 36 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sao Paulo FC.
40' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. Lucas Moura is replaced by Wellington Rato on 40 minute.
44' It’s a booking for SE Palmeiras player. Endrick gets a Yellow card.
45' The referee calls foul for Rafinha. He receives a Yellow card.
46' Sao Paulo FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jhegson Mendez is hanging James Rodriguez on the field on 46 minute.
51' The travelling Sao Paulo FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
52' A stunning finish from Joaquin Piquerez — that came from absolutely nowhere!
57' The energy levels are beginning to show. Dorival Júnior might look to freshen things up shortly.
61' The referee calls foul for Rafinha. He receives a Red card.
63' The Sao Paulo FC bench stirs into life. David is withdrawn and Luciano gets his opportunity.
64' The crowd applauds Alisson as he leaves the pitch. Nathan steps in for Sao Paulo FC.
68' The crowd applauds Mayke as he leaves the pitch. Marcos Rocha steps in for SE Palmeiras.
73' A tactical swap from SE Palmeiras — Artur Guimaraes on, Raphael Veiga off on 73 minutes.
78' Over 78 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
79' Wellington Rato is having his name booked by the referee on 79.
79' The crowd applauds Breno Lopes as he leaves the pitch. Luis Guilherme steps in for SE Palmeiras.
84' The Brazil Marcos Rocha breaks the deadlock on 84 minutes. 6-0!
87' Joaquin Piquerez does the damage! The net is bulging and SE Palmeiras surge ahead!
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — SE Palmeiras 5-0 Sao Paulo FC.

Lineups

SE Palmeiras Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

30
Jailson
10
Rony ↑ 73'
2
Marcos Rocha ↑ 68'
14
Artur Guimaraes ↑ 73'
42
Marcelo Lomba
6
Vanderlan
18
Jose Manuel Lopez
34
Kaiky Marques
40
Jhonatan
35
Fabinho ↑ 68'
37
Kevin Santos
31
Luis Guilherme ↑ 79'

Coach Abel Ferreira

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

10
Luciano ↑ 63'
93
Jandrei
28
Alan Franco
21
Jhegson Mendez ↑ 46'
3
Nahuel Ferraresi
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↑ 36'
6
Welington
27
Wellington Rato ↑ 40'
49
Erison
18
Rodrigo Huendra
45
Nathan ↑ 64'
31
Juan Santos

Coach Dorival Júnior

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Breno Lopes	3
Luciano	3
Jose Manuel Lopez	3
Joaquin Piquerez	2
Willian	2
Gustavo Gomez	2
Gabriel Sara	2
Vitor Roque	2

Head to Head

SE Palmeiras Form

2023-10-25 SE Palmeiras 5–0 Sao Paulo FC W 2023-10-22 Coritiba FBC 0–2 SE Palmeiras W 2023-10-19 SE Palmeiras 0–2 CA Mineiro L 2023-10-08 SE Palmeiras 1–2 Santos FC L 2023-10-06 SE Palmeiras 3–5 CA Boca Juniors L 2023-10-01 RB Bragantino 2–1 SE Palmeiras L

Sao Paulo FC Form

2023-10-25 SE Palmeiras 5–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2023-10-21 Sao Paulo FC 3–0 Gremio FBPA W 2023-10-19 Goiás EC 2–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2023-10-07 CR Vasco da Gama 0–0 Sao Paulo FC D 2023-09-30 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 SC Corinthians Paulista W 2023-09-27 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Coritiba FBC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.11 SE Palmeiras xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.8 Sao Paulo FC xG

I would bet for: SE Palmeiras to win 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

SE Palmeiras62% Draw22% Sao Paulo FC16%

Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes49% 0% No51%

Avg goals/match: 2.91

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	55%	45%
± 3.5	33%	67%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

SE Palmeiras or Draw

84%

Draw or Sao Paulo FC

38%

SE Palmeiras or Sao Paulo FC

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

SE Palmeiras47% Draw42% Sao Paulo FC11%

Actual: SE Palmeiras win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–0 not predicted

5 – 0

Actual

2 – 0

12%

1 – 0

11%

1 – 1

9.9%

2 – 1

9.3%

3 – 0

8.2%

0 – 0

7.1%

3 – 1

6.6%

4 – 0

4.3%

2 – 2

3.7%

0 – 1

3.6%

4 – 1

3.6%

1 – 2

3.5%

Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras

Handicap	SE Palmeiras covers	Push	Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5	22%	—	78%
-2	22%	20%	57%
-1.5	43%	—	57%
-1	43%	24%	34%
-0.5	66%	—	34%
+0.5	88%	—	12%
+1	88%	8%	4%
+1.5	96%	—	4%
+2	96%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet

45% ✗

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.