SE Palmeiras vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026

SE Palmeiras

2 – 1

Full Time

Fluminense FC

Thu 26 Feb 2026 · 00:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SE Palmeiras vs Fluminense FC — Serie A .

SE Palmeiras 23 games · 48 pts (2026/26)
Fluminense FC 23 games · 38 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Felipe Fernandes de Lima

8 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 7.6 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	SE Palmeiras	23	48
2	CR Flamengo	21	42
3	CA Paranaense	23	41
4	Fluminense FC	23	38
5	EC Bahia	23	34
6	Cruzeiro EC	22	33
7	RB Bragantino	22	32
8	SC Corinthians Paulista	22	32
9	Coritiba FBC	23	31
10	Botafogo FR	21	30
11	CA Mineiro	21	29
12	Sao Paulo FC	22	27
13	EC Vitoria	22	26
14	Gremio FBPA	21	25
15	SC Internacional	22	23
16	Mirassol FC	21	23
17	Santos FC	21	22
18	CR Vasco da Gama	21	22
19	Clube do Remo	22	22
20	Chapecoense AF	22	11

Head-to-Head

SE Palmeiras 20 games · Avg 2.1 goals Fluminense FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-26 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Fluminense FC 2025-11-23 SE Palmeiras 0–0 Fluminense FC 2025-07-23 Fluminense FC 1–2 SE Palmeiras 2024-12-08 SE Palmeiras 0–1 Fluminense FC 2024-07-25 Fluminense FC 1–0 SE Palmeiras

Recent Form

SE Palmeiras

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Feb	Fluminense FC	H	2–1	W
13 Feb	SC Internacional	A	3–1	W
05 Feb	EC Vitoria	H	5–1	W
28 Jan	CA Mineiro	A	2–2	D
07 Dec	Ceará SC	A	3–1	W
04 Dec	CA Mineiro	A	3–0	W

Fluminense FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Feb	SE Palmeiras	A	1–2	L
12 Feb	Botafogo FR	H	1–0	W
05 Feb	EC Bahia	A	1–1	D
28 Jan	Gremio FBPA	H	2–1	W
07 Dec	EC Bahia	H	2–0	W
03 Dec	Gremio FBPA	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

SE Palmeiras		Fluminense FC
#1	Position	#4
48	Points	38
23	Played	23
14 / 6 / 3	W / D / L	10 / 8 / 5
40	Scored	34
19	Conceded	28
+21	GD	+6
2.09	PPG	1.65
61%	Win %	43%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

39% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

SE Palmeiras are 1st (48 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (38 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras

0-15

3/2

16-30

4/1

31-45

4/1

46-60

1/3

61-75

5/1

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Fluminense FC

0-15

–/3

16-30

3/1

31-45

4/3

46-60

3/3

61-75

1/3

76+

9/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras

Jose Manuel Lopez	6 G	3 A
Ramon Sosa	4 G	2 A
Allan	4 G	2 A
Mauricio	4 G	1 A
Jhon Arias	4 G	1 A

Fluminense FC

John Kennedy	9 G	1 A
Agustin Canobbio	4 G	2 A
Luciano Acosta	3 G	4 A
Jefferson Savarino	3 G	2 A
Rodrigo Castillo	3 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! SE Palmeiras vs Fluminense FC — let the football do the talking.
The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

SE Palmeiras Lineups

Fluminense FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Luiz Adriano	4
German Cano	3
Dudu	2
Manoel Messias	2
Jhon Arias	2
Gustavo Gomez	2
Breno Lopes	2
Raphael Veiga	2

Head to Head

SE Palmeiras Form

2026-02-26 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Fluminense FC W 2026-02-13 SC Internacional 1–3 SE Palmeiras W 2026-02-05 SE Palmeiras 5–1 EC Vitoria W 2026-01-28 CA Mineiro 2–2 SE Palmeiras D 2025-12-07 Ceará SC 1–3 SE Palmeiras W 2025-12-04 CA Mineiro 0–3 SE Palmeiras W

Fluminense FC Form

2026-02-26 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Fluminense FC L 2026-02-12 Fluminense FC 1–0 Botafogo FR W 2026-02-05 EC Bahia 1–1 Fluminense FC D 2026-01-28 Fluminense FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA W 2025-12-07 Fluminense FC 2–0 EC Bahia W 2025-12-03 Gremio FBPA 1–2 Fluminense FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.86 SE Palmeiras xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.97 Fluminense FC xG

I would bet for: SE Palmeiras to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

SE Palmeiras57% Draw24% Fluminense FC19%

Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes53% 0% No47%

Avg goals/match: 2.83

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	77%	23%
± 2.5	53%	47%
± 3.5	32%	68%
± 4.5	16%	84%

Double Chance

SE Palmeiras or Draw

81%

Draw or Fluminense FC

43%

SE Palmeiras or Fluminense FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

SE Palmeiras40% Draw44% Fluminense FC16%

Actual: SE Palmeiras win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.5%

1 – 0

10.2%

2 – 0

10%

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

7.7%

3 – 0

6.1%

3 – 1

5.9%

1 – 2

4.9%

0 – 1

4.8%

2 – 2

4.6%

3 – 2

4 – 0

2.9%

Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras

Handicap	SE Palmeiras covers	Push	Fluminense FC covers
-2.5	16%	—	84%
-2	16%	18%	66%
-1.5	34%	—	66%
-1	34%	23%	43%
-0.5	57%	—	43%
+0.5	82%	—	18%
+1	82%	12%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet

38% ✓

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.