SE Palmeiras vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026

SE Palmeiras

2 – 1

Full Time

Fluminense FC

Thu 26 Feb 2026 · 00:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SE Palmeiras vs Fluminense FC — Serie A .

SE Palmeiras 34 games · 73 pts (2026/26)
Fluminense FC 34 games · 57 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Felipe Fernandes de Lima

8 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 7.6 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	CR Flamengo	34	76
2	SE Palmeiras	34	73
3	Cruzeiro EC	34	60
4	Fluminense FC	34	57
5	CA Paranaense	34	54
6	EC Bahia	34	53
7	CA Mineiro	34	50
8	RB Bragantino	34	47
9	Santos FC	34	47
10	São Paulo FC	34	44
11	Botafogo FR	34	42
12	Coritiba FBC	34	42
13	CR Vasco da Gama	33	41
14	Mirassol FC	34	40
15	SC Internacional	34	38
16	EC Vitoria	34	38
17	SC Corinthians Paulista	34	37
18	Gremio FBPA	34	37
19	Clube do Remo	34	29
20	Chapecoense AF	33	21

Head-to-Head

SE Palmeiras 20 games · Avg 2.1 goals Fluminense FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-26 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Fluminense FC 2025-11-23 SE Palmeiras 0–0 Fluminense FC 2025-07-23 Fluminense FC 1–2 SE Palmeiras 2024-12-08 SE Palmeiras 0–1 Fluminense FC 2024-07-25 Fluminense FC 1–0 SE Palmeiras

Recent Form

SE Palmeiras

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Feb	Fluminense FC	H	2–1	W
13 Feb	SC Internacional	A	3–1	W
05 Feb	EC Vitoria	H	5–1	W
28 Jan	CA Mineiro	A	2–2	D
07 Dec	Ceará SC	A	3–1	W
04 Dec	CA Mineiro	A	3–0	W

Fluminense FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Feb	SE Palmeiras	A	1–2	L
12 Feb	Botafogo FR	H	1–0	W
05 Feb	EC Bahia	A	1–1	D
28 Jan	Gremio FBPA	H	2–1	W
07 Dec	EC Bahia	H	2–0	W
03 Dec	Gremio FBPA	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

SE Palmeiras		Fluminense FC
#2	Position	#4
73	Points	57
34	Played	34
21 / 10 / 3	W / D / L	16 / 9 / 9
62	Scored	55
23	Conceded	42
+39	GD	+13
2.15	PPG	1.68
62%	Win %	47%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

47% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

24% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

SE Palmeiras are 2nd (73 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (57 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras

0-15

8/2

16-30

6/1

31-45

7/2

46-60

7/4

61-75

6/1

76+

6/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Fluminense FC

0-15

2/4

16-30

6/1

31-45

6/5

46-60

4/9

61-75

5/6

76+

18/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras

Jose Manuel Lopez	10 G	7 A
Mauricio	10 G	1 A
Jhon Arias	6 G	3 A
Vitor Roque	5 G	1 A
Allan	4 G	3 A

Fluminense FC

John Kennedy	9 G	1 A
Hulk	7 G	6 A
Jefferson Savarino	7 G	2 A
Luciano Acosta	6 G	5 A
Agustin Canobbio	6 G	4 A

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at . SE Palmeiras are looking to make home advantage count against Fluminense FC.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Fluminense FC.

Lineups

SE Palmeiras Lineups

Fluminense FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Luiz Adriano	4
German Cano	3
Jhon Arias	2
Gustavo Gomez	2
Breno Lopes	2
Raphael Veiga	2
Kevin Serna	2
Yago Felipe	2

Head to Head

SE Palmeiras Form

2026-02-26 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Fluminense FC W 2026-02-13 SC Internacional 1–3 SE Palmeiras W 2026-02-05 SE Palmeiras 5–1 EC Vitoria W 2026-01-28 CA Mineiro 2–2 SE Palmeiras D 2025-12-07 Ceará SC 1–3 SE Palmeiras W 2025-12-04 CA Mineiro 0–3 SE Palmeiras W

Fluminense FC Form

2026-02-26 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Fluminense FC L 2026-02-12 Fluminense FC 1–0 Botafogo FR W 2026-02-05 EC Bahia 1–1 Fluminense FC D 2026-01-28 Fluminense FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA W 2025-12-07 Fluminense FC 2–0 EC Bahia W 2025-12-03 Gremio FBPA 1–2 Fluminense FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.89 SE Palmeiras xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.91 Fluminense FC xG

I would bet for: SE Palmeiras to win 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

SE Palmeiras58% Draw24% Fluminense FC18%

Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.8

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	77%	23%
± 2.5	52%	48%
± 3.5	31%	69%
± 4.5	16%	84%

Double Chance

SE Palmeiras or Draw

82%

Draw or Fluminense FC

42%

SE Palmeiras or Fluminense FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

SE Palmeiras42% Draw44% Fluminense FC14%

Actual: SE Palmeiras win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.3%

1 – 0

10.8%

2 – 0

10.7%

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

7.9%

3 – 0

6.6%

3 – 1

0 – 1

4.7%

1 – 2

4.6%

2 – 2

4.3%

4 – 0

3.1%

4 – 1

2.9%

Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras

Handicap	SE Palmeiras covers	Push	Fluminense FC covers
-2.5	17%	—	83%
-2	17%	18%	65%
-1.5	35%	—	65%
-1	35%	24%	41%
-0.5	59%	—	41%
+0.5	83%	—	17%
+1	83%	11%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	4%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet

41% ✓

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.