SC Paderborn 07 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SC Paderborn 07 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.
- SC Paderborn 07 8 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 8 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Daniel Schlager
- Assistant 1 Sven Waschitzki
- Assistant 2 Tobias Fritsch
4 games this season
🟨 3.0/game
⚽ 5.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern Munchen | 8 | 18 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 16 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 8 | 15 |
| 5 | SV Werder Bremen | 8 | 15 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 11 |
| 9 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 10 |
| 10 | FC Augsburg | 8 | 9 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 9 |
| 12 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 9 |
| 13 | 1. FC Koln | 8 | 9 |
| 14 | SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 9 |
| 15 | Hamburger SV | 8 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 8 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | Borussia Dortmund | A | 0–3 | L |
| 05 Sep | SC Freiburg | H | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Aug | 1. FC Phönix Lübeck | A | 4–2 | W |
| 17 May | SV Darmstadt 98 | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | SC Paderborn 07 | A | 1–3 | L |
| 17 Sep | OFI Crete F.C. | A | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | VfB Stuttgart | H | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Sep | Borussia Dortmund | H | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | 1. FC Koln | A | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | FC Erzgebirge Aue | A | 4–0 | W |
Season Stats
| SC Paderborn 07 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #12 |
| 9 | Points | 9 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 2 / 3 / 3 | W / D / L | 3 / 0 / 5 |
| 6 | Scored | 14 |
| 9 | Conceded | 16 |
| -3 | GD | -2 |
| 1.13 | PPG | 1.13 |
| 25% | Win % | 38% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
38%
Clean Sheets
SC Paderborn 07 this season
SC Paderborn 07 this season
13%
Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
SC Paderborn 07 are 14th (9 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 12th (9 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SC Paderborn 07
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/4
61-75
2/4
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SC Paderborn 07
| Steffen Tigges | 2 G | 1 A |
| Stefano Marino | 2 G |
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
| Adam Daghim | 2 G | 2 A |
| Bambase Conte | 2 G | 2 A |
| Adam Hlozek | 2 G | 1 A |
| Ozan Kabak | 1 G | |
| Tim Lemperle | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' SC Paderborn 07 have kicked off against TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Max Moerstedt has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 416 appearances.
- 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SC Paderborn 07 that had 323 games and scored 237 goals.
- 15' Mattes Hansen has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 20' Oliver Baumann needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 25' It looks like no one’s ball. SC Paderborn 07 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 29' What a moment for Santiago Castaneda! That strike on 29 puts his side firmly in control.
- 34' Both keepers have barely been tested. SC Paderborn 07 and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 39' SC Paderborn 07 are deployed in a 3-5-2 today, looking to exploit space against TSG 1899 Hoffenheim's 4-4-2 shape.
- 42' GOAL! Stefano Marino scores on 42. Assisted by Laurin Curda
- 45' Wouter Burger picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 46' Steffen Tigges has so much to prove this time. He replaces Marvin Pieringer on 46 minute.
- 50' Adam Daghim doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 55' A quiet spell here at Home Deluxe Arena. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 60' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 62' The whistle greets Max Moerstedt as he departs to be replaced by Tim Lemperle.
- 63' Jonah Sticker is replacing Raphael Obermair for the SC Paderborn 07 side.
- 68' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Koki Machida made 457 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 69' The deadlock is broken! Steffen Tigges gets on the scoresheet on 69 minutes.
- 73' SC Paderborn 07 ring the changes. Stefano Marino has done his job and it is now time for Rayan Philippe to step up.
- 75' Felix Gotze gets the nod from SC Paderborn 07. He replaces Mattes Hansen and will look to change the dynamic.
- 80' The TSG 1899 Hoffenheim manager makes a substitution. Adam Daghim departs to be replaced by Andrej Kramaric.
- 85' Over 85 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 90' Laurin Curda is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim tonight.
- Another three points for SC Paderborn 07.
Lineups
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 23
- 18
- 15
-
40
Gabriel Vidovic ↓ Tom Baack 73'
-
30
Stefano Marino ↓ Rayan Philippe 73'
- 28
- 21
- 5
- 17
-
22
Mattes Hansen ↓ Felix Gotze 75'
- 25
Bench
-
20
Felix Gotze ↑ 75'
-
6
Tom Baack ↑ 73'
- 1
- 11
-
27
Steffen Tigges ↑ 46'
-
9
Rayan Philippe ↑ 73'
-
3
Jonah Sticker ↑ 63'
- 38
- 2
Coach
Ralf Kettemann
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 18
- 1
- 5
- 28
- 34
-
10
Adam Hlozek ↓ Patrick Wimmer 62'
-
14
Adam Daghim ↓ Andrej Kramaric 80'
-
39
Mats Rots ↓ Albian Hajdari 46'
-
7
Leon Avdullahu ↓ Fisnik Asllani 80'
- 20
-
9
Max Moerstedt ↓ Tim Lemperle 62'
Bench
-
27
Andrej Kramaric ↑ 80'
- 15
-
8
Patrick Wimmer ↑ 62'
-
19
Tim Lemperle ↑ 62'
- 37
-
21
Albian Hajdari ↑ 46'
-
11
Fisnik Asllani ↑ 80'
- 2
- 17
Coach
Christian Ilzer
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Robert Skov | 2 |
| Jurgen Locadia | 1 |
| Pavel Kaderabek | 1 |
| Dennis Srbeny | 1 |
| Adam Daghim | 1 |
| Steffen Tigges | 1 |
| Stefano Marino | 1 |
| Santiago Castaneda | 1 |
Head to Head
SC Paderborn 07 Form
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form
2026-09-20
SC Paderborn 07
3–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
2026-09-17
OFI Crete F.C.
2–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
2026-09-12
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2–1
VfB Stuttgart
W
2026-09-05
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2–3
Borussia Dortmund
L
2026-08-29
1. FC Koln
3–2
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
2026-08-22
FC Erzgebirge Aue
0–4
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.39
SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for:
SC Paderborn 07 or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Paderborn 07 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.64
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
71%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
56%
SC Paderborn 07 or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SC Paderborn 07 win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 0
9.1%
1 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07
| Handicap | SC Paderborn 07 covers | Push | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 20% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 18% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.