SC Heerenveen vs 1. FC Lok Stendal, 2016

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2. Bundesliga 2016/17 · 2016

SC Heerenveen

0 – 1

Full Time

1. FC Lok Stendal

Sun 16 Apr 2017 · 11:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Heerenveen vs 1. FC Lok Stendal — 2. Bundesliga .

SC Heerenveen 0 games · 0 pts
1. FC Lok Stendal 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

SC Heerenveen 2.40

Draw 3.25

1. FC Lok Stendal 2.90

Head-to-Head

SC Heerenveen 6 games · Avg 1.5 goals 1. FC Lok Stendal

Last 5 meetings

2017-04-16 SC Heerenveen 0–1 1. FC Lok Stendal 2016-11-04 1. FC Lok Stendal 2–1 SC Heerenveen 2016-03-13 SC Heerenveen 0–0 1. FC Lok Stendal 2015-09-27 1. FC Lok Stendal 1–1 SC Heerenveen 2015-02-13 1. FC Lok Stendal 0–1 SC Heerenveen

Recent Form

SC Heerenveen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Apr	1. FC Lok Stendal	H	0–1	L
09 Apr	FC Erzgebirge Aue	A	0–2	L
04 Apr	FC Groningen	H	1–1	D
31 Mar	FC Augsburg	A	1–2	L
19 Mar	Arminia Bielefeld	H	0–3	L
10 Mar	North Shields FC	A	0–1	L

1. FC Lok Stendal

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Apr	SC Heerenveen	A	1–0	W
08 Apr	Hannover 96	H	0–0	D
05 Apr	FC Rot-Weiss Koblenz	A	1–2	L
02 Apr	SC Weiche Flensburg 08	H	0–2	L
12 Mar	BSG Chemie Leipzig	A	1–1	D
05 Mar	SSV Jahn Regensburg	H	2–2	D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

17% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: SC Heerenveen gets underway.
1. FC Lok Stendal celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

SC Heerenveen Lineups

1. FC Lok Stendal Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

SC Heerenveen Form

2017-04-16 SC Heerenveen 0–1 1. FC Lok Stendal L 2017-04-09 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2–0 SC Heerenveen L 2017-04-04 SC Heerenveen 1–1 FC Groningen D 2017-03-31 FC Augsburg 2–1 SC Heerenveen L 2017-03-19 SC Heerenveen 0–3 Arminia Bielefeld L 2017-03-10 North Shields FC 1–0 SC Heerenveen L

1. FC Lok Stendal Form

2017-04-16 SC Heerenveen 0–1 1. FC Lok Stendal W 2017-04-08 1. FC Lok Stendal 0–0 Hannover 96 D 2017-04-05 FC Rot-Weiss Koblenz 2–1 1. FC Lok Stendal L 2017-04-02 1. FC Lok Stendal 0–2 SC Weiche Flensburg 08 L 2017-03-12 BSG Chemie Leipzig 1–1 1. FC Lok Stendal D 2017-03-05 1. FC Lok Stendal 2–2 SSV Jahn Regensburg D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

0.96 SC Heerenveen xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.08 1. FC Lok Stendal xG

I would bet for: 1. FC Lok Stendal or Draw 69% + Under 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct

SC Heerenveen31% Draw32% 1. FC Lok Stendal37%

Actual: 1. FC Lok Stendal win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes42% 0% No58%

Avg goals/match: 2.04

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	85%	15%
± 1.5	61%	39%
± 2.5	34%	66%
± 3.5	16%	84%
± 4.5	6%	94%

Double Chance

SC Heerenveen or Draw

63%

Draw or 1. FC Lok Stendal

69%

SC Heerenveen or 1. FC Lok Stendal

68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

SC Heerenveen21% Draw54% 1. FC Lok Stendal25%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

15.3%

1 – 1

14.4%

0 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

11.1%

0 – 2

7.3%

1 – 2

7.1%

2 – 1

6.3%

2 – 0

5.7%

2 – 2

3.6%

1 – 3

2.6%

0 – 3

2.6%

3 – 1

2.1%

Asian Handicap — SC Heerenveen

Handicap	SC Heerenveen covers	Push	1. FC Lok Stendal covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	8%	89%
-1.5	11%	—	89%
-1	11%	19%	70%
-0.5	30%	—	70%
+0.5	64%	—	36%
+1	64%	21%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	10%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

SC Heerenveen keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

1. FC Lok Stendal keeps clean sheet

39% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.