EC Vitoria vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitoria vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitoria 28 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- São Paulo FC 27 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Wilton Pereira Sampaio
16 games this season
🟨 3.0/game
⚽ 10.1 goals/game
🟥 3 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec | São Paulo FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Dec | RB Bragantino | A | 0–4 | L |
| 29 Nov | Mirassol FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Nov | SC Recife | A | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Nov | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–0 | D |
| 09 Nov | Botafogo FR | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec | EC Vitoria | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Dec | SC Internacional | H | 3–0 | W |
| 27 Nov | Fluminense FC | A | 0–6 | L |
| 23 Nov | EC Juventude | H | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 1–3 | L |
| 09 Nov | RB Bragantino | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| EC Vitoria | São Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #11 |
| 33 | Points | 36 |
| 28 | Played | 27 |
| 9 / 6 / 13 | W / D / L | 10 / 6 / 11 |
| 28 | Scored | 32 |
| 42 | Conceded | 30 |
| -14 | GD | +2 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 32% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
30%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
EC Vitoria are 13th (33 pts). São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
2/9
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/5
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 8 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 4 G | 2 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
São Paulo FC
| Luciano | 8 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 8 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! EC Vitoria vs Sao Paulo FC — let the football do the talking.
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Marcos Antonio, as he is very good at scoring at Barradao with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. EC Vitoria must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 20' Camutanga picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 25' Lucca Marques is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Vitoria tonight.
- 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 35' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Vitoria and Sao Paulo FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 40' The 34-year-old Neris has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 42' It’s a booking for Sao Paulo FC player. Ferreira gets a card.
- 46' EC Vitoria make a change. Aitor Cantalapiedra trudges off to be replaced by Matheuzinho on 46 minutes.
- 51' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 56' EC Vitoria is showing some good football. However, EC Vitoria are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 58' Emiliano Rigoni has so much to prove this time. He replaces Luciano on 58 minute.
- 63' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 64' EC Vitoria make a change. Raul Caceres trudges off to be replaced by Fabricio on 64 minutes.
- 68' Brilliant from the ! Gabriel Baralhas makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 68.
- 70' That is a card for EC Vitoria. Gabriel Baralhas will be fuming at that decision.
- 73' Renzo Lopez is ready to make an impact after coming on for Renato Kayzer at the 73 minute mark.
- 75' Another change for Sao Paulo FC made on 75 minute. Luiz Gustavo leaves to be changed by Pedrinho.
- 80' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 81' The Sao Paulo FC bench stirs into life. Cedric is withdrawn and Paulo Sergio gets his opportunity.
- 82' A change in the EC Vitoria ranks — Gabriel Baralhas exits the field as Ronald enters on 82.
- 86' The referee calls foul for Willian Oliveira. He receives a card.
- 90' Matheuzinho picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- Game over. The scoreline of 1-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
- 17
- 77
- 79
- 27
- 13
- 3
- 29
- 44
- 12
- 4
Bench
- 23
- 6
- 11
- 71
- 31
- 8
- 22
- 21
- 10
- 18
- 99
- 66
Coach
Jair Ventura
São Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
25
Alisson ↓ Pablo Maia 46'
-
10
Luciano ↓ Emiliano Rigoni 58'
- 5
-
6
Cedric ↓ Paulo Sergio 81'
-
16
Luiz Gustavo ↓ Pedrinho 75'
- 2
- 20
- 35
-
11
Ferreira ↓ Lucca Marques 46'
- 23
- 14
Bench
-
77
Emiliano Rigoni ↑ 58'
- 28
- 32
- 36
- 22
-
29
Pablo Maia ↑ 46'
- 50
- 43
- 52
-
46
Pedrinho ↑ 75'
-
45
Lucca Marques ↑ 46'
-
39
Paulo Sergio ↑ 81'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano | 2 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Bruno Alves | 1 |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 1 |
| Willian Oliveira | 1 |
| Nahuel Ferraresi | 1 |
| Alerrandro | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Vitoria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.27
EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1
São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
EC Vitoria or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Vitoria win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
EC Vitoria or Draw
73%
Draw or São Paulo FC
56%
EC Vitoria or São Paulo FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
12.6%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.1%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria
| Handicap | EC Vitoria covers | Push | São Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 22% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 17% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
37%
✗
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

