Saturday , 26 September 2026

EC Vitoria vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 7 Dec 2025 · 19:00 UTC Barradao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

EC Vitoria vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Barradao.

Match Details

  • Referee Wilton Pereira Sampaio
16 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 10.1 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec São Paulo FC H 1–0 W
03 Dec RB Bragantino A 0–4 L
29 Nov Mirassol FC H 2–0 W
23 Nov SC Recife A 3–1 W
19 Nov SE Palmeiras A 0–0 D
09 Nov Botafogo FR H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec EC Vitoria A 0–1 L
03 Dec SC Internacional H 3–0 W
27 Nov Fluminense FC A 0–6 L
23 Nov EC Juventude H 2–1 W
20 Nov SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–3 L
09 Nov RB Bragantino H 0–1 L

Season Stats

EC Vitoria São Paulo FC
#13 Position #11
33 Points 36
28 Played 27
9 / 6 / 13 W / D / L 10 / 6 / 11
28 Scored 32
42 Conceded 30
-14 GD +2
1.18 PPG 1.33
32% Win % 37%

Key Stats

30% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

EC Vitoria are 13th (33 pts). São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
2/9
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/5
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 8 G 1 A
Matheuzinho 4 G 2 A
Renato Kayzer 4 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A
São Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! EC Vitoria vs Sao Paulo FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Marcos Antonio, as he is very good at scoring at Barradao with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. EC Vitoria must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 20' Camutanga picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 25' Lucca Marques is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Vitoria tonight.
  • 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 35' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Vitoria and Sao Paulo FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 40' The 34-year-old Neris has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 42' It’s a booking for Sao Paulo FC player. Ferreira gets a card.
  • 46' EC Vitoria make a change. Aitor Cantalapiedra trudges off to be replaced by Matheuzinho on 46 minutes.
  • 51' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 56' EC Vitoria is showing some good football. However, EC Vitoria are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 58' Emiliano Rigoni has so much to prove this time. He replaces Luciano on 58 minute.
  • 63' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 64' EC Vitoria make a change. Raul Caceres trudges off to be replaced by Fabricio on 64 minutes.
  • 68' Brilliant from the ! Gabriel Baralhas makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 68.
  • 70' That is a card for EC Vitoria. Gabriel Baralhas will be fuming at that decision.
  • 73' Renzo Lopez is ready to make an impact after coming on for Renato Kayzer at the 73 minute mark.
  • 75' Another change for Sao Paulo FC made on 75 minute. Luiz Gustavo leaves to be changed by Pedrinho.
  • 80' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 81' The Sao Paulo FC bench stirs into life. Cedric is withdrawn and Paulo Sergio gets his opportunity.
  • 82' A change in the EC Vitoria ranks — Gabriel Baralhas exits the field as Ronald enters on 82.
  • 86' The referee calls foul for Willian Oliveira. He receives a card.
  • 90' Matheuzinho picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.27 EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: EC Vitoria or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Vitoria44% Draw29% São Paulo FC27%
Actual: EC Vitoria win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

EC Vitoria or Draw
73%
Draw or São Paulo FC
56%
EC Vitoria or São Paulo FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
EC Vitoria29% Draw51% São Paulo FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
12.6%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria

Handicap EC Vitoria covers Push São Paulo FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 22% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 17% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
37% ✗
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.