Wednesday , 11 November 2026

EC Vitoria vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
EC Vitoria
1 – 0
Full Time
São Paulo FC
Sun 7 Dec 2025 · 19:00 UTC Barradao HT 45' · FT 45'
Camutanga 20' Y
Y 42' Ferreira
Gabriel Baralhas 70' Y
Willian Oliveira 86' Y
Matheuzinho 90' Y
Ronald 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

EC Vitoria vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Barradao.

Match Details

  • Referee Wilton Pereira Sampaio
19 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 12.0 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 34 76
2 SE Palmeiras 34 73
3 Cruzeiro EC 34 60
4 Fluminense FC 34 57
5 CA Paranaense 34 54
6 EC Bahia 34 53
7 CA Mineiro 34 50
8 RB Bragantino 34 47
9 Santos FC 34 47
10 São Paulo FC 34 44
11 Botafogo FR 34 42
12 Coritiba FBC 34 42
13 CR Vasco da Gama 33 41
14 Mirassol FC 34 40
15 SC Internacional 34 38
16 EC Vitoria 34 38
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 34 37
18 Gremio FBPA 34 37
19 Clube do Remo 34 29
20 Chapecoense AF 33 21

Head-to-Head

2
9
EC Vitoria 11 games · Avg 2.5 goals São Paulo FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-12-07 EC Vitoria 1–0 São Paulo FC 2025-08-09 São Paulo FC 2–0 EC Vitoria 2024-08-25 São Paulo FC 2–1 EC Vitoria 2024-05-05 EC Vitoria 1–3 São Paulo FC 2018-10-26 EC Vitoria 0–1 São Paulo FC

Recent Form

EC Vitoria
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec São Paulo FC H 1–0 W
03 Dec RB Bragantino A 0–4 L
29 Nov Mirassol FC H 2–0 W
23 Nov SC Recife A 3–1 W
19 Nov SE Palmeiras A 0–0 D
09 Nov Botafogo FR H 0–0 D
São Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec EC Vitoria A 0–1 L
03 Dec SC Internacional H 3–0 W
27 Nov Fluminense FC A 0–6 L
23 Nov EC Juventude H 2–1 W
20 Nov SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–3 L
09 Nov RB Bragantino H 0–1 L

Season Stats

EC Vitoria São Paulo FC
#16 Position #10
38 Points 44
34 Played 34
10 / 8 / 16 W / D / L 12 / 8 / 14
35 Scored 39
51 Conceded 39
-16 GD +0
1.12 PPG 1.29
29% Win % 35%

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
35% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

EC Vitoria are 16th (38 pts). São Paulo FC are 10th (44 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Vitoria
0-15
3/2
16-30
6/2
31-45
4/10
46-60
2/3
61-75
7/8
76+
4/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 9 G 1 A
Matheuzinho 6 G 4 A
Erick 5 G 6 A
Renato Kayzer 5 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A
São Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 10 G 2 A
Luciano 9 G 1 A
Artur Guimaraes 4 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — EC Vitoria and Sao Paulo FC get this one started.
  • 5' EC Vitoria is showing some good football. However, EC Vitoria are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' Sao Paulo FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 20' Camutanga picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Vitoria that had 187 games and scored 143 goals.
  • 30' EC Vitoria have won 143 goals from 187 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 35' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 35 minutes.
  • 40' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 42' The referee calls foul for Ferreira. He receives a card.
  • 46' Matheuzinho has so much to prove this time. He replaces Aitor Cantalapiedra on 46 minute.
  • 51' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 56' Sao Paulo FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 56.
  • 58' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. Luciano is replaced by Emiliano Rigoni on 58 minute.
  • 63' Sao Paulo FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 64' Fabricio is replacing Raul Caceres for the EC Vitoria side.
  • 68' The deadlock is broken! Gabriel Baralhas gets on the scoresheet on 68 minutes.
  • 70' EC Vitoria player sees a card in front of him.
  • 73' It is a substitution in EC Vitoria team. Renato Kayzer is replaced by Renzo Lopez on 73 minute.
  • 75' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. Luiz Gustavo is replaced by Pedrinho on 75 minute.
  • 80' EC Vitoria are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sao Paulo FC's shape.
  • 81' Sao Paulo FC make a change. Cedric trudges off to be replaced by Paulo Sergio on 81 minutes.
  • 82' The whistle greets Gabriel Baralhas as he departs to be replaced by Ronald.
  • 86' Willian Oliveira was booked on 86.
  • 90' That is a card for EC Vitoria. Matheuzinho will be fuming at that decision.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Sao Paulo FC.

Lineups

EC Vitoria Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jair Ventura

São Paulo FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Nene 2
Nene 2
Jonathan Calleri 2
Luciano 2
Erick 1
William da Silva 1
Caca 1
Everton 1

Head to Head

2025-12-07 EC Vitoria 1–0 São Paulo FC 2025-08-09 São Paulo FC 2–0 EC Vitoria 2024-08-25 São Paulo FC 2–1 EC Vitoria 2024-05-05 EC Vitoria 1–3 São Paulo FC 2018-10-26 EC Vitoria 0–1 São Paulo FC

EC Vitoria Form

2025-12-07 EC Vitoria 1–0 São Paulo FC W 2025-12-03 RB Bragantino 4–0 EC Vitoria L 2025-11-29 EC Vitoria 2–0 Mirassol FC W 2025-11-23 SC Recife 1–3 EC Vitoria W 2025-11-19 SE Palmeiras 0–0 EC Vitoria D 2025-11-09 EC Vitoria 0–0 Botafogo FR D

São Paulo FC Form

2025-12-07 EC Vitoria 1–0 São Paulo FC L 2025-12-03 São Paulo FC 3–0 SC Internacional W 2025-11-27 Fluminense FC 6–0 São Paulo FC L 2025-11-23 São Paulo FC 2–1 EC Juventude W 2025-11-20 SC Corinthians Paulista 3–1 São Paulo FC L 2025-11-09 São Paulo FC 0–1 RB Bragantino L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.3 EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: EC Vitoria or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Vitoria45% Draw29% São Paulo FC26%
Actual: EC Vitoria win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

EC Vitoria or Draw
74%
Draw or São Paulo FC
55%
EC Vitoria or São Paulo FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
EC Vitoria29% Draw51% São Paulo FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
12.5%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
2%

Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria

Handicap EC Vitoria covers Push São Paulo FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 23% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 16% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
38% ✗
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.