Club Atletico de Madrid vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2024-25 LAST 16

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UEFA Champions League · 2024-25

Club Atletico de Madrid

3 – 4

2 – 4 pen

Full Time

Real Madrid CF

Wed 12 Mar 2025 · 20:00 UTC Estadio Civitas Metropolitano 69,304 HT 45' · FT 45'

Conor Gallagher 1' 1–0

Y 39' Aurelien Tchouameni

Y 59' Vinicius Junior

Giuliano Simeone 66' Y

Clement Lenglet 68' Y

Azpilicueta 114' Y

Y 115' Lucas Vazquez

Marcos Llorente 115' Y

Y 120' Kylian Mbappe

Overview

Match Preview

Club Atlético de Madrid vs Real Madrid CF — Champions League at Estadio Civitas Metropolitano.

Club Atlético de Madrid 8 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Szymon Marciniak
Assistant 1 Tomasz Listkiewicz
Assistant 2

10 games this season 🟨 2.8/game ⚽ 7.9 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Arsenal FC	8	24
2	FC Bayern Munchen	8	21
3	Liverpool FC	8	18
4	Tottenham Hotspur FC	8	17
5	FC Barcelona	8	16
6	Chelsea FC	8	16
7	Sporting Clube de Portugal	8	16
8	Manchester City FC	8	16
9	Real Madrid CF	8	15
10	FC Internazionale Milano	8	15
11	Paris Saint-Germain FC	8	14
12	Newcastle United FC	8	14
13	Juventus FC	8	13
14	Club Atlético de Madrid	8	13
15	Atalanta BC	8	13
16	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	8	12
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11
18	PAE Olympiakos SFP	8	11
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10
20	Galatasaray SK	8	10
21	AS Monaco FC	8	10
22	Qarabag Agdam FK	8	10
23	FK Bodø/Glimt	8	9
24	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	8	9
25	Olympique de Marseille	8	9
26	Paphos FC	8	9
27	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	8	9
28	PSV	8	8
29	Athletic Club	8	8
30	SSC Napoli	8	8
31	FC København	8	8
32	AFC Ajax	8	6
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4
34	SK Slavia Praha	8	3
35	Villarreal CF	8	1
36	FK Kairat	8	1

Head-to-Head

Club Atletico de Madrid 23 games · Avg 2.6 goals Real Madrid CF

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-12 Club Atletico de Madrid 3–4 Real Madrid CF 2025-03-04 Real Madrid CF 2–1 Club Atletico de Madrid 2025-02-08 Real Madrid CF 1–1 Club Atletico de Madrid 2024-09-29 Club Atletico de Madrid 1–1 Real Madrid CF 2024-02-04 Real Madrid CF 1–1 Club Atletico de Madrid

Recent Form

Club Atletico de Madrid

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Mar	Real Madrid CF	H	3–4	L
09 Mar	Getafe CF	A	1–2	L
04 Mar	Real Madrid CF	A	1–2	L
01 Mar	Athletic Club	H	1–0	W
22 Feb	Valencia CF	A	3–0	W
15 Feb	RC Celta de Vigo	H	1–1	D

Real Madrid CF

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Mar	Club Atletico de Madrid	A	4–3	W
09 Mar	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	H	2–1	W
04 Mar	Club Atletico de Madrid	H	2–1	W
01 Mar	Real Betis Balompie	A	1–2	L
23 Feb	Girona FC	H	2–0	W
19 Feb	Manchester City FC	H	3–1	W

Season Stats

Club Atletico de Madrid		Real Madrid CF
#14	Position	#9
13	Points	15
8	Played	8
4 / 1 / 3	W / D / L	5 / 0 / 3
17	Scored	21
15	Conceded	12
+2	GD	+9
1.63	PPG	1.88
50%	Win %	63%

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)

43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

25% Clean Sheets
Club Atletico de Madrid this season

0% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Club Atletico de Madrid are 14th (13 pts). Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Club Atletico de Madrid

0-15

1/–

16-30

1/–

31-45

–/2

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/1

76+

1/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Real Madrid CF

0-15

1/1

16-30

2/1

31-45

2/–

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/1

76+

7/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Club Atletico de Madrid

Marcos Llorente

1 G

Real Madrid CF

Kylian Mbappe	4 G	1 A
Federico Valverde	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Club Atletico de Madrid and Real Madrid CF has kicked off!
1' Brilliant from the ! Conor Gallagher makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 1.
6' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Club Atletico de Madrid and Real Madrid CF are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
11' Vinicius Junior has been relatively quiet despite scoring 119 goals in his last 560 appearances.
16' Reinildo has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
21' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
26' With 0 assists to his name this season, Endrick is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Club Atletico de Madrid.
31' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Club Atletico de Madrid side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
36' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Real Madrid CF that had 560 games and scored 814 goals.
39' Real Madrid CF player sees a card in front of him.
44' Both keepers have barely been tested. Club Atletico de Madrid and Real Madrid CF are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
49' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
54' It looks like no one’s ball. Real Madrid CF is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
59' Real Madrid CF receives a card for a hard tackle on 59.
64' Giuliano Simeone needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 11 Yellow cards this season.
65' Aurelien Tchouameni makes way for Eduardo Camavinga at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from Real Madrid CF.
66' Poor challenge from Giuliano Simeone. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
68' Poor challenge from Clement Lenglet. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
73' Club Atletico de Madrid has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
78' Real Madrid CF seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
79' A tactical swap from Real Madrid CF — Brahim Diaz on, Rodrygo off on 79 minutes.
83' A change in the Real Madrid CF ranks — Ferland Mendy exits the field as Fran Garcia enters on 83.
85' Club Atletico de Madrid manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Samuel Lino is hanging Conor Gallagher on the field on 85 minute.
89' The Club Atletico de Madrid bench stirs into life. Antoine Griezmann is withdrawn and Alexander Sorloth gets his opportunity.
90' Nahuel Molina has so much to prove this time. He replaces Rodrigo de Paul on 90 minute.
Club Atletico de Madrid will have plenty to reflect on. Real Madrid CF were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Club Atlético de Madrid Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Diego Simeone

Real Madrid CF Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

22
Antonio Rudiger
9
Kylian Mbappe
23
Ferland Mendy ↓ Fran Garcia 83'
14
Aurelien Tchouameni ↓ Eduardo Camavinga 65'
10
Luka Modric ↓ Lucas Vazquez 65'
8
Federico Valverde
7
Vinicius Junior ↓ Endrick 115'
1
Thibaut Courtois
11
Rodrygo ↓ Brahim Diaz 79'
5
Jude Bellingham
35
Raul

Bench

21
Brahim Diaz ↑ 79'
4
David Alaba
13
Andriy Lunin
17
Lucas Vazquez ↑ 65'
6
Eduardo Camavinga ↑ 65'
15
Arda Guler
16
Endrick ↑ 115'
20
Fran Garcia ↑ 83'
26
Fran Gonzalez
30
Gonzalo Garcia
31
Jacobo Ramon
36
Chema Andres

Coach Carlo Ancelotti

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Karim Benzema	3
Brahim Diaz	2
Marco Asensio	2
Julian Alvarez	2
Antoine Griezmann	2
Rodrygo	2
Casemiro	2
Alvaro Morata	2

Head to Head

Club Atlético de Madrid Form

2025-03-12 Club Atletico de Madrid 3–4 Real Madrid CF W 2025-03-09 Getafe CF 2–1 Club Atletico de Madrid L 2025-03-04 Real Madrid CF 2–1 Club Atletico de Madrid L 2025-03-01 Club Atletico de Madrid 1–0 Athletic Club L 2025-02-22 Valencia CF 0–3 Club Atletico de Madrid W 2025-02-15 Club Atletico de Madrid 1–1 RC Celta de Vigo D

Real Madrid CF Form

2025-03-12 Club Atletico de Madrid 3–4 Real Madrid CF W 2025-03-09 Real Madrid CF 2–1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid W 2025-03-04 Real Madrid CF 2–1 Club Atletico de Madrid W 2025-03-01 Real Betis Balompie 2–1 Real Madrid CF L 2025-02-23 Real Madrid CF 2–0 Girona FC W 2025-02-19 Real Madrid CF 3–1 Manchester City FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.1 Club Atlético de Madrid xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.55 Real Madrid CF xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Club Atlético de Madrid32% Draw22% Real Madrid CF46%

Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes80% 0% No20%

Avg goals/match: 4.65

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	94%	6%
± 2.5	83%	17%
± 3.5	67%	33%
± 4.5	49%	51%

Double Chance

Club Atlético de Madrid or Draw

54%

Draw or Real Madrid CF

68%

Club Atlético de Madrid or Real Madrid CF

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Club Atlético de Madrid27% Draw35% Real Madrid CF38%

Actual: Club Atlético de Madrid win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted

3 – 4

Actual

2 – 2

6.6%

1 – 2

6.5%

1 – 1

5.9%

2 – 3

5.5%

1 – 3

5.4%

2 – 1

5.4%

3 – 2

4.6%

3 – 3

3.9%

3 – 1

3.7%

2 – 4

3.6%

1 – 4

3.4%

0 – 2

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Club Atlético de Madrid

Handicap	Club Atlético de Madrid covers	Push	Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	10%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	15%	68%
-0.5	32%	—	68%
+0.5	52%	—	48%
+1	52%	18%	30%
+1.5	70%	—	30%
+2	70%	14%	16%
+2.5	84%	—	16%

Clean Sheet

Club Atlético de Madrid keeps clean sheet

9% ✓

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.