Saturday , 26 September 2026

Club Atlético de Madrid vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2024-25 LAST 16

3 – 4
2 – 4 pen
Full Time
Wed 12 Mar 2025 · 20:00 UTC Estadio Civitas Metropolitano 69,304 HT 45' · FT 45'
Conor Gallagher 1' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Club Atlético de Madrid vs Real Madrid CF — Champions League at Estadio Civitas Metropolitano.

Match Details

  • Referee Szymon Marciniak
  • Assistant 1 Tomasz Listkiewicz
  • Assistant 2
9 games this season 🟨 2.9/game ⚽ 7.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar Real Madrid CF H 3–4 L
09 Mar Getafe CF A 1–2 L
04 Mar Real Madrid CF A 1–2 L
01 Mar Athletic Club H 1–0 W
22 Feb Valencia CF A 3–0 W
15 Feb RC Celta de Vigo H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Club Atlético de Madrid Real Madrid CF
#14 Position #9
13 Points 15
8 Played 8
4 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 5 / 0 / 3
17 Scored 21
15 Conceded 12
+2 GD +9
1.63 PPG 1.88
50% Win % 63%

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Club Atlético de Madrid this season
0% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Club Atlético de Madrid are 14th (13 pts). Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Club Atlético de Madrid
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Club Atlético de Madrid
Marcos Llorente 1 G
Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 1 G
Federico Valverde 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Estadio Civitas Metropolitano that hosts another battle between Club Atlético de Madrid and Real Madrid CF.
  • 1' The deadlock is broken! Conor Gallagher gets on the scoresheet on 1 minutes.
  • 6' Real Madrid CF seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 11' Spain international Lucas Vazquez has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 16' Club Atlético de Madrid currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 21' Rodrigo de Paul needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 54 Yellow cards this season.
  • 26' Jude Bellingham, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 31' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 36' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 39' Aurelien Tchouameni catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 39.
  • 44' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 49' Fran Garcia is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Real Madrid CF so far.
  • 54' Club Atlético de Madrid are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Real Madrid CF backline.
  • 59' It’s gonna be a card for Vinicius Junior.
  • 64' Brahim Diaz has been relatively quiet despite scoring 38 goals in his last 438 appearances.
  • 65' The whistle greets Aurelien Tchouameni as he departs to be replaced by Eduardo Camavinga.
  • 66' The referee has no hesitation. Giuliano Simeone is booked for Club Atletico de Madrid — card on 66.
  • 68' That is a card for Club Atletico de Madrid. Clement Lenglet will be fuming at that decision.
  • 73' Club Atlético de Madrid started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 73.
  • 78' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 79' Time for substitution for Real Madrid CF. Rodrygo is replaced by Brahim Diaz.
  • 83' Fresh legs for Real Madrid CF! Fran Garcia comes on to replace Ferland Mendy.
  • 85' Samuel Lino gets the nod from Club Atletico de Madrid. He replaces Conor Gallagher and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 89' Club Atletico de Madrid ring the changes. Antoine Griezmann has done his job and it is now time for Alexander Sorloth to step up.
  • 90' Rodrigo de Paul makes way for Nahuel Molina at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Club Atletico de Madrid.
  • Another three points for Real Madrid CF.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.1 Club Atlético de Madrid xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.55 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Club Atlético de Madrid32% Draw22% Real Madrid CF46%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes80% 0% No20%
Avg goals/match: 4.65
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 83%
17%
± 3.5 67%
33%
± 4.5 49%
51%

Double Chance

Club Atlético de Madrid or Draw
54%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
68%
Club Atlético de Madrid or Real Madrid CF
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Club Atlético de Madrid27% Draw35% Real Madrid CF38%
Actual: Club Atlético de Madrid win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted
3 – 4
Actual
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 2
6.5%
1 – 1
5.9%
2 – 3
5.5%
1 – 3
5.4%
2 – 1
5.4%
3 – 2
4.6%
3 – 3
3.9%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 4
3.6%
1 – 4
3.4%
0 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Club Atlético de Madrid

Handicap Club Atlético de Madrid covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 10% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 15% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 52% — 48%
+1 52% 18% 30%
+1.5 70% — 30%
+2 70% 14% 16%
+2.5 84% — 16%

Clean Sheet

Club Atlético de Madrid keeps clean sheet
9% ✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.