Club Atlético de Madrid vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2024-25 LAST 16
Overview
Match Preview
Club Atlético de Madrid vs Real Madrid CF — Champions League at Estadio Civitas Metropolitano.
- Club Atlético de Madrid 8 games · 13 pts (2025/26)
- Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Szymon Marciniak
- Assistant 1 Tomasz Listkiewicz
- Assistant 2
13 games this season
🟨 1.4/game
⚽ 5.1 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atlético de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC Kobenhavn | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar | Real Madrid CF | H | 3–4 | L |
| 09 Mar | Getafe CF | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Mar | Real Madrid CF | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Mar | Athletic Club | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Feb | Valencia CF | A | 3–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | RC Celta de Vigo | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar | Club Atlético de Madrid | A | 4–3 | W |
| 09 Mar | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Mar | Club Atlético de Madrid | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Mar | Real Betis Balompié | A | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Feb | Girona FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Feb | Manchester City FC | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Club Atlético de Madrid | Real Madrid CF | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #9 |
| 13 | Points | 15 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 4 / 1 / 3 | W / D / L | 5 / 0 / 3 |
| 17 | Scored | 21 |
| 15 | Conceded | 12 |
| +2 | GD | +9 |
| 1.63 | PPG | 1.88 |
| 50% | Win % | 63% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
6%
Clean Sheets
Club Atlético de Madrid this season
Club Atlético de Madrid this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
Club Atlético de Madrid are 14th (13 pts). Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Club Atlético de Madrid
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Club Atlético de Madrid
| Julian Alvarez | 10 G | 3 A |
| Alexander Sorloth | 6 G | 1 A |
| Marcos Llorente | 4 G | 1 A |
Real Madrid CF
| Kylian Mbappe | 15 G | 1 A |
| Vinicius Junior | 5 G | 6 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Club Atletico de Madrid and Real Madrid CF get this one started.
- 1' Goal! Conor Gallagher scores his 32 goal in 409 matches.
- 6' It’s high time Diego Simeone made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 11' It looks surprising Club Atletico de Madrid does not make any changes. Luka Modric has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 16' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 21' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 26' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 26 minutes.
- 31' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 36' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Club Atletico de Madrid side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 39' That looks like a foul for a card for Aurelien Tchouameni.
- 44' The travelling Real Madrid CF supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 49' Brahim Diaz is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Club Atletico de Madrid tonight.
- 54' It looks like no one’s ball. Real Madrid CF is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 59' It’s gonna be a card for Vinicius Junior.
- 64' Club Atletico de Madrid are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 65' Fresh legs for Real Madrid CF! Eduardo Camavinga comes on to replace Aurelien Tchouameni.
- 66' Giuliano Simeone picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 68' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Clement Lenglet on 68 minutes.
- 73' Real Madrid CF is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 78' Aurelien Tchouameni is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Club Atletico de Madrid so far.
- 79' Time for substitution for Real Madrid CF. Rodrygo is replaced by Brahim Diaz.
- 83' A change in the Real Madrid CF ranks — Ferland Mendy exits the field as Fran Garcia enters on 83.
- 85' Club Atletico de Madrid manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Samuel Lino is hanging Conor Gallagher on the field on 85 minute.
- 89' The whistle greets Antoine Griezmann as he departs to be replaced by Alexander Sorloth.
- 90' It is a substitution in Club Atletico de Madrid team. Rodrigo de Paul is replaced by Nahuel Molina on 90 minute.
- Another three points for Real Madrid CF.
Lineups
Club Atlético de Madrid Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 7
- 13
- 15
- 14
- 5
- 23
- 19
- 4
- 22
- 8
- 2
Bench
- 9
- 3
- 20
- 10
- 11
- 1
- 16
- 24
- 17
- 12
- 21
- 27
Coach
Diego Simeone
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 22
- 9
-
23
Ferland Mendy ↓ Fran Garcia 83'
- 14
-
10
Luka Modric ↓ Lucas Vazquez 65'
- 8
-
7
Vinicius Junior ↓ Endrick 115'
- 1
-
11
Rodrygo ↓ Brahim Diaz 79'
- 5
- 35
Bench
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↑ 79'
- 4
- 13
-
17
Lucas Vazquez ↑ 65'
-
6
Eduardo Camavinga ↑ 65'
- 15
-
16
Endrick ↑ 115'
-
20
Fran Garcia ↑ 83'
- 26
- 30
- 31
- 36
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Karim Benzema | 3 |
| Brahim Diaz | 2 |
| Marco Asensio | 2 |
| Julian Alvarez | 2 |
| Antoine Griezmann | 2 |
| Rodrygo | 2 |
| Casemiro | 2 |
| Alvaro Morata | 2 |
Head to Head
Club Atlético de Madrid Form
2025-03-12
Club Atlético de Madrid
3–4
Real Madrid CF
L
2025-03-09
Getafe CF
2–1
Club Atlético de Madrid
L
2025-03-04
Real Madrid CF
2–1
Club Atlético de Madrid
L
2025-03-01
Club Atlético de Madrid
1–0
Athletic Club
W
2025-02-22
Valencia CF
0–3
Club Atlético de Madrid
W
2025-02-15
Club Atlético de Madrid
1–1
RC Celta de Vigo
D
Real Madrid CF Form
2025-03-12
Club Atlético de Madrid
3–4
Real Madrid CF
W
2025-03-09
Real Madrid CF
2–1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
W
2025-03-04
Real Madrid CF
2–1
Club Atlético de Madrid
W
2025-03-01
Real Betis Balompié
2–1
Real Madrid CF
L
2025-02-23
Real Madrid CF
2–0
Girona FC
W
2025-02-19
Real Madrid CF
3–1
Manchester City FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.1
Club Atlético de Madrid xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.55
Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.65
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 3.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 4.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
Double Chance
Club Atlético de Madrid or Draw
54%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
68%
Club Atlético de Madrid or Real Madrid CF
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Club Atlético de Madrid win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–4 not predicted3 – 4Actual
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 2
6.5%
1 – 1
5.9%
2 – 3
5.5%
1 – 3
5.4%
2 – 1
5.4%
3 – 2
4.6%
3 – 3
3.9%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 4
3.6%
1 – 4
3.4%
0 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Club Atlético de Madrid
| Handicap | Club Atlético de Madrid covers | Push | Real Madrid CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 10% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 15% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +1 | 52% | 18% | 30% |
| +1.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +2 | 70% | 14% | 16% |
| +2.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
Clean Sheet
Club Atlético de Madrid keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.