Real Madrid CF vs Club Atlético de Madrid, Champions League 2024-25 LAST 16
Overview
Match Preview
Real Madrid CF vs Club Atlético de Madrid — Champions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.
- Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- Club Atlético de Madrid 8 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Clement Turpin
- Assistant 1 Nicolas Danos
- Assistant 2 Benjamin Pages
16 games this season
🟨 3.1/game
⚽ 10.7 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atlético de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodø/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar | Club Atlético de Madrid | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Mar | Real Betis Balompié | A | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Feb | Girona FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Feb | Manchester City FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Feb | CA Osasuna | A | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Feb | Manchester City FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar | Real Madrid CF | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Mar | Athletic Club | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Feb | Valencia CF | A | 3–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | RC Celta de Vigo | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Feb | Real Madrid CF | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Feb | RCD Mallorca | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Real Madrid CF | Club Atlético de Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #14 |
| 15 | Points | 13 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 5 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 4 / 1 / 3 |
| 21 | Scored | 17 |
| 12 | Conceded | 15 |
| +9 | GD | +2 |
| 1.88 | PPG | 1.63 |
| 63% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
61%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
H2H (23 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
25%
Clean Sheets
Club Atlético de Madrid this season
Club Atlético de Madrid this season
Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts). Club Atlético de Madrid are 14th (13 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Club Atlético de Madrid
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
| Kylian Mbappe | 4 G | 1 A |
| Federico Valverde | 2 G |
Club Atlético de Madrid
| Marcos Llorente | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu. Real Madrid CF are looking to make home advantage count against Club Atlético de Madrid.
- 4' Real Madrid CF is taking the lead after the goal scored by Rodrygo on 4.
- 9' Belgium international Thibaut Courtois has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 14' Antonio Rudiger has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 16 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
- 19' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 24' The energy levels are beginning to show. Diego Simeone might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 29' It looks like no one’s ball. Club Atlético de Madrid is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 32' Julian Alvarez has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 32 minutes.
- 37' Angel Correa has been relatively quiet despite scoring 68 goals in his last 538 appearances.
- 42' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 47' Over 47 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 52' Real Madrid CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 55' GOAL! Brahim Diaz scores on 55. Assisted by Ferland Mendy
- 56' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Brahim Diaz.
- 61' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 62' Real Madrid CF ring the changes. Eduardo Camavinga has done his job and it is now time for Luka Modric to step up.
- 64' Nahuel Molina gets the nod from Club Atletico de Madrid. He replaces Giuliano Simeone and will look to change the dynamic.
- 69' Club Atlético de Madrid fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 71' Antoine Griezmann makes way for Robin Le Normand at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from Club Atletico de Madrid.
- 75' Another change for Club Atletico de Madrid made on 75 minute. Rodrigo de Paul leaves to be changed by Angel Correa.
- 80' Club Atlético de Madrid seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 83' Real Madrid CF make a change. Federico Valverde trudges off to be replaced by Lucas Vazquez on 83 minutes.
- 88' Supporters expect more eagerness from Javi Galan, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 89' The whistle greets Brahim Diaz as he departs to be replaced by Endrick.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 22
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↓ Endrick 89'
- 9
- 23
- 14
- 8
- 7
- 1
- 11
-
6
Eduardo Camavinga ↓ Luka Modric 62'
- 35
Bench
- 4
- 13
-
10
Luka Modric ↑ 62'
-
17
Lucas Vazquez ↑ 83'
- 15
-
16
Endrick ↑ 89'
- 20
- 26
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
Club Atlético de Madrid Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 7
- 13
- 15
- 14
-
5
Rodrigo de Paul ↓ Angel Correa 75'
- 19
- 22
- 8
-
12
Samuel Lino ↓ Conor Gallagher 64'
- 21
- 2
Bench
-
9
Alexander Sorloth ↑ 75'
- 20
-
10
Angel Correa ↑ 75'
- 11
- 1
- 23
-
16
Nahuel Molina ↑ 64'
-
24
Robin Le Normand ↑ 71'
-
4
Conor Gallagher ↑ 64'
- 17
- 31
Coach
Diego Simeone
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Karim Benzema | 3 |
| Casemiro | 2 |
| Alvaro Morata | 2 |
| Brahim Diaz | 2 |
| Marco Asensio | 2 |
| Julian Alvarez | 2 |
| Antoine Griezmann | 2 |
| Rodrygo | 2 |
Head to Head
Real Madrid CF Form
Club Atlético de Madrid Form
2025-03-04
Real Madrid CF
2–1
Club Atlético de Madrid
L
2025-03-01
Club Atlético de Madrid
1–0
Athletic Club
W
2025-02-22
Valencia CF
0–3
Club Atlético de Madrid
W
2025-02-15
Club Atlético de Madrid
1–1
RC Celta de Vigo
D
2025-02-08
Real Madrid CF
1–1
Club Atlético de Madrid
D
2025-02-01
Club Atlético de Madrid
2–0
RCD Mallorca
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.46
Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56
Club Atlético de Madrid xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.02
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 4.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
Double Chance
Real Madrid CF or Draw
77%
Draw or Club Atlético de Madrid
45%
Real Madrid CF or Club Atlético de Madrid
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
7.7%
3 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
5.6%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
4.4%
4 – 1
4.1%
1 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
3.3%
4 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF
| Handicap | Real Madrid CF covers | Push | Club Atlético de Madrid covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 17% | 64% |
| -1.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 20% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 12% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Club Atlético de Madrid keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.