Reading FC vs Watford FC, FA Cup 2022-23 ROUND 3
Overview
Match Preview
Reading FC vs Watford FC — FA Cup at Select Car Leasing Stadium.
- Reading FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
- Watford FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan | Watford FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Jan | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Dec | Norwich City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Dec | Swansea City AFC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Dec | Birmingham City FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Dec | Coventry City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan | Reading FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 02 Jan | Norwich City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Dec | Swansea City AFC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 26 Dec | Millwall FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Dec | Huddersfield Town AFC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Dec | Hull City AFC | H | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
20%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Reading FC this season
Reading FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Reading FC to score. At the same time, Watford FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Reading FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 10' Reading FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 13' The referee shows Reading FC player a Yellow card on 13.
- 18' Watford FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 23' Yaser Asprilla has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 28' Watford FC have won 391 goals from 358 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 33' Both keepers have barely been tested. Reading FC and Watford FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 38' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Reading FC and Watford FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 43' William Troost-Ekong is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Watford FC so far.
- 46' It is a substitution in Watford FC team. Adrian Blake is replaced by Leandro Bacuna on 46 minute.
- 48' GOAL! Kelvin Abrefa scores on 45.
- 53' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 54' Leandro Bacuna makes way for Jack Grieves at the 54 minute mark. A tactical switch from Watford FC.
- 59' Over 59 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 60' James Morris catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 60.
- 65' James Morris has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 70' The whistle greets Femi Azeez as he departs to be replaced by Andy Carroll.
- 70' The referee shows Reading FC player a Yellow card on 70.
- 75' Watford FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 79' Michael Craig gets the nod from Reading FC. He replaces Lucas Joao and will look to change the dynamic.
- 84' Supporters expect more eagerness from Femi Azeez, as he is very good at scoring at Select Car Leasing Stadium with 9 goals in the last 8 games.
- 87' It is a substitution in Reading FC team. Abdul Rahman Baba is replaced by Nesta Guinness-Walker on 87 minute.
- Watford FC will have plenty to reflect on. Reading FC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Reading FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 7
-
4
Sam Hutchinson ↓ Loum Ndiaye 46'
-
9
Lucas Joao ↓ Michael Craig 79'
- 24
- 21
- 12
- 5
-
15
Femi Azeez ↓ Andy Carroll 70'
- 27
- 30
Bench
-
2
Andy Carroll ↑ 70'
- 1
-
22
Loum Ndiaye ↑ 46'
-
18
Nesta Guinness-Walker ↑ 87'
- 32
- 34
- 40
-
36
Michael Craig ↑ 79'
- 46
Coach
Paul Ince
Watford FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 5
- 31
- 32
- 35
- 36
- 15
- 42
- 18
-
50
Adrian Blake ↓ Leandro Bacuna 46'
Bench
-
25
Leandro Bacuna ↑ 46'
- 26
- 53
Coach
Slaven Bilic
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ismaila Sarr | 3 |
| Joao Pedro | 2 |
| Ryan Porteous | 1 |
| George Puscas | 1 |
| Shane Long | 1 |
| Kelvin Abrefa | 1 |
| Jeff Hendrick | 1 |
| Tom Ince | 1 |
Head to Head
Reading FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.33
Reading FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Reading FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Reading FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Watford FC
52%
Reading FC or Watford FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Reading FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
13.5%
0 – 0
13.2%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.8%
2 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
1.8%
Asian Handicap — Reading FC
| Handicap | Reading FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 14% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 24% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 15% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Reading FC keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

