Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Elche CF, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Elche CF — La Liga at Estadio de Vallecas.
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 38 games · 50 pts (2026/27)
- Elche CF 38 games · 43 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Jose Munuera Montero (Spain)
- Assistant 1 Antonio Martinez Moreno (Spain)
- Assistant 2 Adrian Diaz Gonzalez (Spain)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona | 38 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid CF | 38 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal CF | 38 | 72 |
| 4 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 38 | 69 |
| 5 | Real Betis Balompie | 38 | 60 |
| 6 | RC Celta de Vigo | 38 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe CF | 38 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 38 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia CF | 38 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 38 | 46 |
| 11 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 38 | 46 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Elche CF | 38 | 43 |
| 14 | Deportivo Alaves | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | Sevilla FC | 38 | 43 |
| 16 | CA Osasuna | 38 | 42 |
| 17 | RCD Mallorca | 38 | 42 |
| 18 | Levante UD | 38 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona FC | 38 | 41 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 38 | 29 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr | Elche CF | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | FC Barcelona | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Mar | Levante UD | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Mar | Sevilla FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Mar | Real Oviedo | H | 3–0 | W |
| 28 Feb | Athletic Club | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Mar | RCD Mallorca | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | Real Madrid CF | A | 1–4 | L |
| 08 Mar | Villarreal CF | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Mar | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | H | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Feb | Athletic Club | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Elche CF | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #13 |
| 50 | Points | 43 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 12 / 14 / 12 | W / D / L | 10 / 13 / 15 |
| 41 | Scored | 49 |
| 44 | Conceded | 57 |
| -3 | GD | -8 |
| 1.32 | PPG | 1.13 |
| 32% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 8th (50 pts). Elche CF are 13th (43 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Estadio de Vallecas!
- 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Iñigo Pérez will be considering his options from the bench.
- 15' Alvaro Garcia has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 20' Both keepers have barely been tested. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and Elche CF are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 22' It’s gonna be a card for Pedro Bigas.
- 27' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 32' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Elche CF backline.
- 37' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 39' Pedro Bigas has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 39.
- 44' It looks surprising Rayo Vallecano de Madrid does not make any changes. Matias Dituro has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 45' It’s a booking for Elche CF player. Rafael Mir gets a card.
- 46' Another substitution for Elche CF to replace Rafael Mir by Adria Pedrosa on 46 minute.
- 51' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 56' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 61' The 28-year-old Gonzalo Villar has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 63' Alvaro Rodriguez catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 63.
- 66' Randy Ntekja is replacing Oscar Valentin for the Rayo Vallecano de Madrid side.
- 71' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 74' The Angola Randy Ntekja breaks the deadlock on 74 minutes. 1-0!
- 77' Gonzalo Villar is ready to make an impact after coming on for Aleix Febas at the 77 minute mark.
- 82' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid have won 226 goals from 229 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 83' The Elche CF bench stirs into life. Buba is withdrawn and Yago Santiago gets his opportunity.
- 84' The Rayo Vallecano de Madrid bench stirs into life. Alvaro Garcia is withdrawn and Alfonso Espino gets his opportunity.
- 89' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 90' Carlos Martin has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jorge de Frutos on 90 minute.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 24
- 17
- 5
-
18
Alvaro Garcia ↓ Alfonso Espino 84'
-
7
Isi Palazon ↓ Pedro Diaz 66'
-
23
Oscar Valentin ↓ Randy Ntekja 66'
- 13
- 2
-
19
Jorge de Frutos ↓ Carlos Martin 90'
- 9
- 3
Bench
- 20
- 15
-
4
Pedro Diaz ↑ 66'
- 16
-
10
Sergio Camello ↑ 83'
- 1
-
22
Alfonso Espino ↑ 84'
-
11
Randy Ntekja ↑ 66'
-
14
Carlos Martin ↑ 90'
- 32
- 40
- 33
Coach
Iñigo Pérez
Elche CF Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
-
10
Rafael Mir ↓ Adria Pedrosa 46'
- 6
-
14
Aleix Febas ↓ Gonzalo Villar 77'
- 15
- 21
- 11
- 1
- 22
-
20
Alvaro Rodriguez ↓ Andre Silva 77'
-
42
Buba ↓ Yago Santiago 83'
-
8
Marc Aguado ↓ Federico Redondo 77'
Bench
-
9
Andre Silva ↑ 77'
- 17
-
12
Gonzalo Villar ↑ 77'
-
5
Federico Redondo ↑ 77'
- 45
-
7
Yago Santiago ↑ 83'
- 13
-
3
Adria Pedrosa ↑ 46'
- 16
- 24
- 31
- 43
Coach
Eder Sarabia
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lucas Boye | 3 |
| Randy Ntekja | 2 |
| Guido Carrillo | 1 |
| Ezequiel Ponce | 1 |
| Unai Lopez | 1 |
| Sergio Camello | 1 |
| Gerard Gumbau | 1 |
| Fidel | 1 |
Head to Head
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Form
2026-04-03
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
1–0
Elche CF
W
2026-03-22
FC Barcelona
1–0
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
L
2026-03-16
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
1–1
Levante UD
D
2026-03-08
Sevilla FC
1–1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
D
2026-03-04
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
3–0
Real Oviedo
W
2026-02-28
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
1–1
Athletic Club
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.42
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15
Elche CF xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Draw
73%
Draw or Elche CF
54%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Elche CF
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.7%
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
| Handicap | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers | Push | Elche CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 21% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 17% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
Elche CF keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

