Thursday , 2 July 2026

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Elche CF, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Fri 3 Apr 2026 · 19:00 UTC Estadio de Vallecas 11,182 HT 45' · FT 45'
Randy Ntekja 74' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Elche CFLa Liga at Estadio de Vallecas.

Match Details

  • Referee Jose Munuera Montero (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Antonio Martinez Moreno (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Adrian Diaz Gonzalez (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Apr Elche CF H 1–0 W
22 Mar FC Barcelona A 0–1 L
16 Mar Levante UD H 1–1 D
08 Mar Sevilla FC A 1–1 D
04 Mar Real Oviedo H 3–0 W
28 Feb Athletic Club H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Apr Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 0–1 L
21 Mar RCD Mallorca H 2–1 W
14 Mar Real Madrid CF A 1–4 L
08 Mar Villarreal CF A 1–2 L
01 Mar RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 2–2 D
20 Feb Athletic Club A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Elche CF
#8 Position #13
50 Points 43
38 Played 38
12 / 14 / 12 W / D / L 10 / 13 / 15
41 Scored 49
44 Conceded 57
-3 GD -8
1.32 PPG 1.13
32% Win % 26%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 8th (50 pts). Elche CF are 13th (43 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and Elche CF is underway.
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Elche CF winning 50% of all matches.
  • 10' It looks surprising Elche CF does not make any changes. German Valera has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 15' Adria Pedrosa needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Isi Palazon suffering a number of foals already.
  • 22' Pedro Bigas is having his name booked by the referee on 22.
  • 27' Supporters expect more eagerness from Alvaro Rodriguez, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio de Vallecas with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 32' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 37' Elche CF is showing some good football. However, Elche CF are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 39' Pedro Bigas is having his name booked by the referee on 39.
  • 44' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 45' The referee shows Elche CF player a card on 45.
  • 46' The Elche CF manager makes a substitution. Rafael Mir departs to be replaced by Adria Pedrosa.
  • 51' It’s high time Iñigo Pérez made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 56' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 61' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 61 minutes.
  • 63' Alvaro Rodriguez is having his name booked by the referee on 63.
  • 66' Randy Ntekja is replacing Oscar Valentin for the Rayo Vallecano de Madrid side.
  • 71' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Elche CF needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 74' Randy Ntekja puts Rayo Vallecano de Madrid on the lead.
  • 77' Time for substitution for Elche CF. Aleix Febas is replaced by Gonzalo Villar.
  • 82' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Rayo Vallecano de Madrid that had 229 games and scored 226 goals.
  • 83' Another substitution for Elche CF to replace Buba by Yago Santiago on 83 minute.
  • 84' Another change for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid made on 84 minute. Alvaro Garcia leaves to be changed by Alfonso Espino.
  • 89' Elche CF is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 90' The Rayo Vallecano de Madrid manager makes a substitution. Jorge de Frutos departs to be replaced by Carlos Martin.
  • Another three points for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.42 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 Elche CF xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid46% Draw27% Elche CF27%
Actual: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Draw
73%
Draw or Elche CF
54%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Elche CF
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid30% Draw48% Elche CF22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.7%
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Handicap Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers Push Elche CF covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 21% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
32%
Elche CF keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.