Thursday , 2 July 2026

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Real Oviedo, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Wed 4 Mar 2026 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Real OviedoLa Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Alejandro Hernandez Hernandez (Spain)
12 games this season 🟨 1.5/game 5.9 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2 games · Avg 1.5 goals Real Oviedo

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Real Oviedo H 3–0 W
28 Feb Athletic Club H 1–1 D
21 Feb Real Betis Balompie A 1–1 D
15 Feb Club Atletico de Madrid H 3–0 W
01 Feb Real Madrid CF A 1–2 L
24 Jan CA Osasuna H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 0–3 L
28 Feb Club Atletico de Madrid H 0–1 L
21 Feb Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 3–3 D
15 Feb Athletic Club H 1–2 L
31 Jan Girona FC H 1–0 W
25 Jan FC Barcelona A 0–3 L

Season Stats

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Real Oviedo
#8 Position #20
50 Points 29
38 Played 38
12 / 14 / 12 W / D / L 6 / 11 / 21
41 Scored 26
44 Conceded 60
-3 GD -34
1.32 PPG 0.76
32% Win % 16%

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 8th (50 pts). Real Oviedo are 20th (29 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Lineups

Real Oviedo Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.84 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.57 Real Oviedo xG
I would bet for: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid64% Draw23% Real Oviedo13%
Actual: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Draw
87%
Draw or Real Oviedo
36%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Real Oviedo
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid46% Draw46% Real Oviedo8%
Actual: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
16%
2 – 0
14.9%
0 – 0
10.9%
1 – 1
10%
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.4%
3 – 1
5.3%
0 – 1
4.2%
4 – 0
4.1%
4 – 1
2.5%
1 – 2
2.5%
2 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Handicap Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers Push Real Oviedo covers
-2.5 20% 80%
-2 20% 21% 59%
-1.5 41% 59%
-1 41% 26% 33%
-0.5 67% 33%
+0.5 91% 9%
+1 91% 7% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
57%
Real Oviedo keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.