Thursday , 2 July 2026

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Sat 28 Feb 2026 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic ClubLa Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Victor Garcia Verdura

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb Athletic Club H 1–1 D
21 Feb Real Betis Balompie A 1–1 D
15 Feb Club Atletico de Madrid H 3–0 W
01 Feb Real Madrid CF A 1–2 L
24 Jan CA Osasuna H 1–3 L
18 Jan RC Celta de Vigo A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 1–1 D
20 Feb Elche CF H 2–1 W
15 Feb Real Oviedo A 2–1 W
08 Feb Levante UD H 4–2 W
01 Feb Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 1–1 D
28 Jan Sporting Clube de Portugal H 2–3 L

Season Stats

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Athletic Club
#8 Position #12
50 Points 45
38 Played 38
12 / 14 / 12 W / D / L 13 / 6 / 19
41 Scored 43
44 Conceded 58
-3 GD -15
1.32 PPG 1.18
32% Win % 34%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 8th (50 pts). Athletic Club are 12th (45 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Lineups

Athletic Club Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.25 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 Athletic Club xG
I would bet for: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Athletic Club 70% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid35% Draw30% Athletic Club35%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Draw
65%
Draw or Athletic Club
65%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Athletic Club
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid26% Draw49% Athletic Club25%
Actual: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.8%
1 – 0
9.7%
0 – 1
9.2%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.3%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 0
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Handicap Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers Push Athletic Club covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 20% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 19% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
31%
Athletic Club keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.