Thursday , 2 July 2026

Elche CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Sun 21 Dec 2025 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Elche CF vs Rayo Vallecano de MadridLa Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Adrian Cordero Vega (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 4–0 W
13 Dec RCD Mallorca A 1–3 L
07 Dec Girona FC H 3–0 W
28 Nov Getafe CF A 0–1 L
23 Nov Real Madrid CF H 2–2 D
07 Nov Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec Elche CF A 0–4 L
15 Dec Real Betis Balompie H 0–0 D
07 Dec RCD Espanyol de Barcelona A 0–1 L
01 Dec Valencia CF H 1–1 D
23 Nov Real Oviedo A 0–0 D
09 Nov Real Madrid CF H 0–0 D

Season Stats

Elche CF Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
#13 Position #8
43 Points 50
38 Played 38
10 / 13 / 15 W / D / L 12 / 14 / 12
49 Scored 41
57 Conceded 44
-8 GD -3
1.13 PPG 1.32
26% Win % 32%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Elche CF are 13th (43 pts). Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 8th (50 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Elche CF Lineups

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.9 Elche CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
I would bet for: Elche CF to win 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Elche CF59% Draw24% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid17%
Actual: Elche CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Elche CF or Draw
83%
Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
41%
Elche CF or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Elche CF42% Draw44% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid14%
Actual: Elche CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
11.2%
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 0
11.1%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
8.1%
3 – 0
6.9%
3 – 1
6%
0 – 1
4.6%
1 – 2
4.3%
2 – 2
4.1%
4 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Elche CF

Handicap Elche CF covers Push Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 19% 64%
-1.5 36% 64%
-1 36% 24% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Elche CF keeps clean sheet
42%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.