RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2024-25

RFK Akhmat Grozny

1 – 2

Full Time

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Sun 10 Nov 2024 · 14:30 UTC Akhmat Arena 4,883 HT 45' · FT 45'

Arsen Adamov 2' 1–0

1–1 9' Gustavo Mantuan

1–2 21' Mateo Cassierra

Lechi Sadulaev 51' Y

Y 81' Wilmar Barrios

Vladislav Kamilov 90' R

Overview

Match Preview

RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg — RFPL at Akhmat Arena.

RFK Akhmat Grozny 30 games · 37 pts (2025/26)
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 30 games · 68 pts (2025/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	30	68
2	FK Krasnodar	30	66
3	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	30	53
4	FK Spartak Moskva	30	52
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	30	51
6	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	30	46
7	FK Dinamo Moskva	30	45
8	FK Rubin Kazan	30	43
9	RFK Akhmat Grozny	30	37
10	FK Rostov	30	33
11	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	30	32
12	FK Orenburg	30	29
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	30	27
14	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	30	26
15	FK Nizhny Novgorod	30	23
16	PFK Sochi	30	22

Head-to-Head

RFK Akhmat Grozny 20 games · Avg 2.6 goals FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Last 5 meetings

2024-11-10 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–2 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2024-05-19 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–5 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2023-10-28 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2–1 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2022-11-05 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–2 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2022-08-06 RFK Akhmat Grozny 0–0 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Recent Form

RFK Akhmat Grozny

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Nov	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	H	1–2	L
03 Nov	FK Nizhny Novgorod	H	0–2	L
26 Oct	FK Rostov	A	3–2	W
18 Oct	FK Fakel Voronezh	H	2–3	L
05 Oct	FK Rubin Kazan	A	0–2	L
28 Sep	PFC CSKA Moskva	A	0–3	L

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Nov	RFK Akhmat Grozny	A	2–1	W
02 Nov	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	H	2–1	W
27 Oct	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	H	1–1	D
18 Oct	FK Akron Tolyatti	A	5–0	W
05 Oct	FK Orenburg	H	1–0	W
28 Sep	FK Krasnodar	A	0–2	L

Season Stats

RFK Akhmat Grozny		FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
#9	Position	#1
37	Points	68
30	Played	30
9 / 10 / 11	W / D / L	20 / 8 / 2
35	Scored	53
39	Conceded	19
-4	GD	+34
1.23	PPG	2.27
30%	Win %	67%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
RFK Akhmat Grozny this season

50% Clean Sheets
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg this season

RFK Akhmat Grozny are 9th (37 pts). FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg are 1st (68 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RFK Akhmat Grozny

0-15

1/3

16-30

–/2

31-45

2/2

46-60

2/2

61-75

–/1

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

0-15

3/1

16-30

2/–

31-45

–/1

46-60

5/–

61-75

–/2

76+

1/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — RFK Akhmat Grozny and FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg get this one started.
2' What a strike from Arsen Adamov! The score is 1-0.
7' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
9' A stunning finish from Gustavo Mantuan — that came from absolutely nowhere!
14' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His RFK Akhmat Grozny side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
19' Ismael is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg tonight.
21' Goal! Mateo Cassierra scores his 64 goal in 307 matches.
26' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
31' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
36' The energy levels are beginning to show. Sergey Semak might look to freshen things up shortly.
41' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
46' Fresh legs for FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg! Nuraly Alip comes on to replace Vyacheslav Karavaev.
51' Lechi Sadulaev picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Aleksandr Erokhin suffering a number of foals already.
61' With 0 assists to his name this season, Yurii Gorshkov is clearly more than just a goal scorer for RFK Akhmat Grozny.
63' Aleksandr Sobolev is replacing Luciano Gondou for the FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg side.
67' The whistle greets Gustavo Mantuan as he departs to be replaced by Pedrinho Santos.
72' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both RFK Akhmat Grozny and FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
73' A change in the RFK Akhmat Grozny ranks — Daniil Utkin exits the field as Mauro Luna Diale enters on 73.
77' Svetoslav Kovachev gets the nod from RFK Akhmat Grozny. He replaces Maksim Samorodov and will look to change the dynamic.
81' It’s a booking for FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg player. Wilmar Barrios gets a card.
86' The home supporters are growing impatient. RFK Akhmat Grozny must find a spark to ignite this game.
87' FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg make a change. Mateo Cassierra trudges off to be replaced by Aleksandr Erokhin on 87 minutes.
90' RFK Akhmat Grozny player sees a card in front of him.
1-2 the final result. RFK Akhmat Grozny will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

RFK Akhmat Grozny Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

2
Aleksandr Zhirov
23
Anton Shvets
55
Darko Todorovic
88
Georgi Sheliya
75
Nader Ghandri
47
Daniil Utkin ↓ Mauro Luna Diale 73'
95
Arsen Adamov
18
Vladislav Kamilov
10
Lechi Sadulaev
11
Ismael
20
Maksim Samorodov ↓ Svetoslav Kovachev 77'

Bench

Coach Sergey Tashuev

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

15
Vyacheslav Karavaev ↓ Nuraly Alip 46'
30
Mateo Cassierra ↓ Aleksandr Erokhin 87'
3
Douglas Santos
5
Wilmar Barrios
16
Denis Adamov
27
Nino
17
Andrei Mostovoi ↓ Yurii Gorshkov 87'
11
Claudinho
25
Strahinja Erakovic
31
Gustavo Mantuan ↓ Pedrinho Santos 67'
32
Luciano Gondou ↓ Aleksandr Sobolev 63'

Bench

Coach Sergey Semak

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Mateo Cassierra	7
Andrei Mostovoi	4
Mohamed Konate	4
Sebastian Driussi	2
Aleksandr Erokhin	2
Bernard Berisha	2
Yuri Alberto	2
Artem Dzyuba	1

Head to Head

RFK Akhmat Grozny Form

2024-11-10 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–2 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg L 2024-11-03 RFK Akhmat Grozny 0–2 FK Nizhny Novgorod L 2024-10-26 FK Rostov 2–3 RFK Akhmat Grozny W 2024-10-18 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2–3 FK Fakel Voronezh L 2024-10-05 FK Rubin Kazan 2–0 RFK Akhmat Grozny L 2024-09-28 PFC CSKA Moskva 3–0 RFK Akhmat Grozny L

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg Form

2024-11-10 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–2 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg W 2024-11-02 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2–1 FK Dinamo Makhachkala W 2024-10-27 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–1 FK Lokomotiv Moskva D 2024-10-18 FK Akron Tolyatti 0–5 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg W 2024-10-05 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Orenburg W 2024-09-28 FK Krasnodar 2–0 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

0.83 RFK Akhmat Grozny xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.02 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg xG

I would bet for: FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg to win 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

RFK Akhmat Grozny18% Draw24% FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg58%

Actual: FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes49% 0% No51%

Avg goals/match: 2.85

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	77%	23%
± 2.5	53%	47%
± 3.5	32%	68%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

RFK Akhmat Grozny or Draw

42%

Draw or FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

82%

RFK Akhmat Grozny or FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

RFK Akhmat Grozny12% Draw43% FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg45%

Actual: FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 2

11.6%

0 – 1

11.1%

1 – 1

10.4%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 3

7.7%

0 – 0

7.5%

1 – 3

6.4%

1 – 0

2 – 2

3.9%

0 – 4

3.9%

2 – 1

3.8%

1 – 4

3.3%

Asian Handicap — RFK Akhmat Grozny

Handicap	RFK Akhmat Grozny covers	Push	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg covers
-2.5	1%	—	99%
-2	1%	3%	96%
-1.5	4%	—	96%
-1	4%	9%	87%
-0.5	13%	—	87%
+0.5	36%	—	64%
+1	36%	24%	40%
+1.5	60%	—	40%
+2	60%	20%	20%
+2.5	80%	—	20%

Clean Sheet

RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg keeps clean sheet

44% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.