RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Akhmat-Arena.
- RFK Akhmat Grozny 30 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar | FK Orenburg | H | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Nov | FK Nizhny Novgorod | A | 2–3 | L |
| 05 Nov | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | A | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Oct | FK Rostov | H | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Oct | FK Torpedo Moskva | H | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Oct | FK Krasnodar | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar | RFK Akhmat Grozny | A | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Nov | FK Krasnodar | H | 5–1 | W |
| 04 Nov | FK Khimki | A | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Oct | FK Fakel Voronezh | H | 4–1 | W |
| 23 Oct | PFC CSKA Moskva | H | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Oct | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| RFK Akhmat Grozny | FK Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #12 |
| 37 | Points | 29 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 9 / 10 / 11 | W / D / L | 7 / 8 / 15 |
| 35 | Scored | 29 |
| 39 | Conceded | 44 |
| -4 | GD | -15 |
| 1.23 | PPG | 0.97 |
| 30% | Win % | 23% |
Key Stats
69%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
RFK Akhmat Grozny are 9th (37 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and RFK Akhmat Grozny launch into their encounter with FK Orenburg.
- 5' A quiet spell here at Akhmat-Arena. RFK Akhmat Grozny seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 9' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Andrey Malykh.
- 11' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Evgenii Kharin makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 16' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both RFK Akhmat Grozny and FK Orenburg are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 21' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FK Orenburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 25' Mikhail Sivakov catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 25.
- 30' Mateo Stamatov has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 35' Mateo Stamatov picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 40' FK Orenburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 45' A moment of madness from Mikhail Sivakov on 45 minutes earns him a Red card. FK Orenburg will be frustrated.
- 46' A change in the FK Orenburg ranks — Kirill Kaplenko exits the field as Renato Gojkovic enters on 46.
- 48' What a strike from Bernard Berisha! The score is 2-0.
- 52' What a strike from Dmitri Vorobyov! The score is 2-1.
- 57' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 59' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Matias Perez.
- 60' RFK Akhmat Grozny receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 60.
- 65' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ivan Basic suffering a number of foals already.
- 69' FK Orenburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ivan Basic is hanging Timur Ayupov on the field on 69 minute.
- 73' Time for substitution for RFK Akhmat Grozny. Gamid Agalarov is replaced by Vladimir Iljin.
- 75' RFK Akhmat Grozny ring the changes. Lechii Sadulaev has done his job and it is now time for Vladislav Karapuzov to step up.
- 79' A change in the FK Orenburg ranks — Braian Mansilla exits the field as Aleksandr Ektov enters on 79.
- 84' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 87' Nikolai Titkov is ready to make an impact after coming on for Dmitri Vorobyov at the 87 minute mark.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FK Orenburg.
Lineups
RFK Akhmat Grozny Lineups
Starting XI
- 15
- 23
- 88
- 59
- 40
- 7
-
77
Gamid Agalarov ↓ Vladimir Iljin 73'
- 94
- 11
- 5
- 21
Bench
- 4
-
29
Vladimir Iljin ↑ 73'
- 20
- 1
- 96
- 24
-
17
Vladislav Karapuzov ↑ 75'
-
18
Vladislav Kamilov ↑ 87'
- 90
- 71
- 99
Coach
Sergei Tashuyev
FK Orenburg Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↓ Juryj Kavaliou 46'
- 55
- 99
-
5
Timur Ayupov ↓ Ivan Basic 69'
- 22
- 11
- 23
- 10
- 3
- 12
Bench
-
15
Renato Gojkovic ↑ 46'
-
17
Juryj Kavaliou ↑ 46'
-
38
Nikolai Titkov ↑ 87'
-
8
Ivan Basic ↑ 69'
-
19
Aleksandr Ektov ↑ 79'
- 7
- 4
- 1
- 90
- 20
Coach
Marcel Licka
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bernard Berisha | 2 |
| Evgenii Kharin | 2 |
| Odise Roshi | 2 |
| Ziga Skoflek | 1 |
| Vladimir Obukhov | 1 |
| Wilker Angel | 1 |
| Andres Ponce | 1 |
| Gamid Agalarov | 1 |
Head to Head
RFK Akhmat Grozny Form
2023-03-04
RFK Akhmat Grozny
3–1
FK Orenburg
W
2022-11-11
FK Nizhny Novgorod
3–2
RFK Akhmat Grozny
L
2022-11-05
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
1–2
RFK Akhmat Grozny
W
2022-10-29
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–2
FK Rostov
L
2022-10-23
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–0
FK Torpedo Moskva
W
2022-10-15
FK Krasnodar
2–3
RFK Akhmat Grozny
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.95
RFK Akhmat Grozny xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02
FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for:
RFK Akhmat Grozny to win 59% + Over 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: RFK Akhmat Grozny win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
RFK Akhmat Grozny or Draw
82%
Draw or FK Orenburg
41%
RFK Akhmat Grozny or FK Orenburg
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: RFK Akhmat Grozny win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
2 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.6%
1 – 0
9.3%
0 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
6.1%
1 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 1
4.4%
3 – 2
3.3%
4 – 1
3.1%
Asian Handicap — RFK Akhmat Grozny
| Handicap | RFK Akhmat Grozny covers | Push | FK Orenburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 18% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 23% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 12% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

