Sunday , 16 August 2026

RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2022-23
Sat 4 Mar 2023 · 13:30 UTC Akhmat-Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK OrenburgRFPL at Akhmat-Arena.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar FK Orenburg H 3–1 W
11 Nov FK Nizhny Novgorod A 2–3 L
05 Nov FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg A 2–1 W
29 Oct FK Rostov H 1–2 L
23 Oct FK Torpedo Moskva H 1–0 W
15 Oct FK Krasnodar A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar RFK Akhmat Grozny A 1–3 L
13 Nov FK Krasnodar H 5–1 W
04 Nov FK Khimki A 0–2 L
28 Oct FK Fakel Voronezh H 4–1 W
23 Oct PFC CSKA Moskva H 2–2 D
15 Oct FK Dinamo Moskva A 2–3 L

Season Stats

RFK Akhmat Grozny FK Orenburg
#9 Position #12
37 Points 29
30 Played 30
9 / 10 / 11 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 15
35 Scored 29
39 Conceded 44
-4 GD -15
1.23 PPG 0.97
30% Win % 23%

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

RFK Akhmat Grozny are 9th (37 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and RFK Akhmat Grozny launch into their encounter with FK Orenburg.
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Akhmat-Arena. RFK Akhmat Grozny seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 9' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Andrey Malykh.
  • 11' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Evgenii Kharin makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 16' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both RFK Akhmat Grozny and FK Orenburg are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 21' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FK Orenburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 25' Mikhail Sivakov catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 25.
  • 30' Mateo Stamatov has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 35' Mateo Stamatov picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 40' FK Orenburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 45' A moment of madness from Mikhail Sivakov on 45 minutes earns him a Red card. FK Orenburg will be frustrated.
  • 46' A change in the FK Orenburg ranks — Kirill Kaplenko exits the field as Renato Gojkovic enters on 46.
  • 48' What a strike from Bernard Berisha! The score is 2-0.
  • 52' What a strike from Dmitri Vorobyov! The score is 2-1.
  • 57' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 59' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Matias Perez.
  • 60' RFK Akhmat Grozny receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 60.
  • 65' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ivan Basic suffering a number of foals already.
  • 69' FK Orenburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ivan Basic is hanging Timur Ayupov on the field on 69 minute.
  • 73' Time for substitution for RFK Akhmat Grozny. Gamid Agalarov is replaced by Vladimir Iljin.
  • 75' RFK Akhmat Grozny ring the changes. Lechii Sadulaev has done his job and it is now time for Vladislav Karapuzov to step up.
  • 79' A change in the FK Orenburg ranks — Braian Mansilla exits the field as Aleksandr Ektov enters on 79.
  • 84' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 87' Nikolai Titkov is ready to make an impact after coming on for Dmitri Vorobyov at the 87 minute mark.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FK Orenburg.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.95 RFK Akhmat Grozny xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02 FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for: RFK Akhmat Grozny to win 59% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RFK Akhmat Grozny59% Draw23% FK Orenburg18%
Actual: RFK Akhmat Grozny win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

RFK Akhmat Grozny or Draw
82%
Draw or FK Orenburg
41%
RFK Akhmat Grozny or FK Orenburg
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RFK Akhmat Grozny41% Draw43% FK Orenburg16%
Actual: RFK Akhmat Grozny win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
2 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.6%
1 – 0
9.3%
0 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
6.1%
1 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 1
4.4%
3 – 2
3.3%
4 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — RFK Akhmat Grozny

Handicap RFK Akhmat Grozny covers Push FK Orenburg covers
-2.5 17% 83%
-2 17% 18% 65%
-1.5 35% 65%
-1 35% 23% 42%
-0.5 58% 42%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet
37%
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.