RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Akhmat-Arena.
- RFK Akhmat Grozny 14 games · 14 pts (2026/27)
- FK Orenburg 14 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 14 | 31 |
| 2 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 14 | 31 |
| 3 | FK Spartak Moskva | 14 | 29 |
| 4 | FK Krasnodar | 14 | 26 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 14 | 26 |
| 6 | FK Rostov | 14 | 19 |
| 7 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 14 | 18 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 14 | 18 |
| 9 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 14 | 17 |
| 10 | FK Orenburg | 14 | 17 |
| 11 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 14 | 16 |
| 12 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 14 | 12 |
| 14 | FK Rodina Moskva | 14 | 12 |
| 15 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 14 | 11 |
| 16 | FK Fakel Voronezh | 14 | 6 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar | FK Orenburg | H | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Nov | FK Nizhny Novgorod | A | 2–3 | L |
| 05 Nov | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | A | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Oct | FK Rostov | H | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Oct | FK Torpedo Moskva | H | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Oct | FK Krasnodar | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar | RFK Akhmat Grozny | A | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Nov | FK Krasnodar | H | 5–1 | W |
| 04 Nov | FK Khimki | A | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Oct | FK Fakel Voronezh | H | 4–1 | W |
| 23 Oct | PFC CSKA Moskva | H | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Oct | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| RFK Akhmat Grozny | FK Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #10 |
| 14 | Points | 17 |
| 14 | Played | 14 |
| 3 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 3 / 8 / 3 |
| 16 | Scored | 14 |
| 19 | Conceded | 14 |
| -3 | GD | +0 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.21 |
| 21% | Win % | 21% |
Key Stats
65%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
59%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
RFK Akhmat Grozny this season
RFK Akhmat Grozny this season
44%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
RFK Akhmat Grozny are 12th (14 pts). FK Orenburg are 10th (17 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
RFK Akhmat Grozny
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
1/3
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
RFK Akhmat Grozny
| Lechi Sadulaev | 3 G | 3 A |
| Egas Cacintura | 3 G | 2 A |
| Georgi Melkadze | 3 G | |
| Andres Alarcon | 2 G | |
| Erald Maksuti | 1 G |
FK Orenburg
| Jordhy Thompson | 3 G | 3 A |
| Gedeon Guzina | 3 G | 1 A |
| Ruslan Kul | 3 G | 1 A |
| Andrey Kasadzhikov | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Akhmat-Arena that hosts another battle between RFK Akhmat Grozny and FK Orenburg.
- 5' RFK Akhmat Grozny are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FK Orenburg backline.
- 9' Andrey Malykh has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 9.
- 11' Against the run of play, Evgenii Kharin has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 16' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 21' The travelling FK Orenburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 25' A meaty challenge results in booking for Mikhail Sivakov on 25.
- 30' It looks surprising RFK Akhmat Grozny does not make any changes. Bernard Berisha has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 35' FK Orenburg receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 35.
- 40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 45' Mikhail Sivakov was booked on 45.
- 46' Kirill Kaplenko makes way for Renato Gojkovic at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Orenburg.
- 48' GOAL! Bernard Berisha scores on 45.
- 52' GOAL! Dmitri Vorobyov scores on 45.
- 57' It’s high time Sergei Tashuyev made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 59' The referee calls foul for Matias Perez. He receives a Yellow card.
- 60' The referee has no hesitation. Andrei Semyonov is booked for RFK Akhmat Grozny — Yellow card on 60.
- 65' RFK Akhmat Grozny is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 69' The FK Orenburg manager makes a substitution. Timur Ayupov departs to be replaced by Ivan Basic.
- 73' The supporters are chanting for Vladimir Iljin. He replaces Gamid Agalarov on 73 minute.
- 75' Vladislav Karapuzov is replacing Lechii Sadulaev for the RFK Akhmat Grozny side.
- 79' The FK Orenburg bench stirs into life. Braian Mansilla is withdrawn and Aleksandr Ektov gets his opportunity.
- 84' RFK Akhmat Grozny are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 87' The crowd applauds Dmitri Vorobyov as he leaves the pitch. Nikolai Titkov steps in for FK Orenburg.
- The final score is 3-1.
Lineups
RFK Akhmat Grozny Lineups
Starting XI
- 15
- 23
- 88
- 59
- 40
- 7
-
77
Gamid Agalarov ↓ Vladimir Iljin 73'
- 94
- 11
- 5
- 21
Bench
- 4
-
29
Vladimir Iljin ↑ 73'
- 20
- 1
- 96
- 24
-
17
Vladislav Karapuzov ↑ 75'
-
18
Vladislav Kamilov ↑ 87'
- 90
- 71
- 99
Coach
Sergei Tashuyev
FK Orenburg Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↓ Juryj Kavaliou 46'
- 55
- 99
-
5
Timur Ayupov ↓ Ivan Basic 69'
- 22
- 11
- 23
- 10
- 3
- 12
Bench
-
15
Renato Gojkovic ↑ 46'
-
17
Juryj Kavaliou ↑ 46'
-
38
Nikolai Titkov ↑ 87'
-
8
Ivan Basic ↑ 69'
-
19
Aleksandr Ektov ↑ 79'
- 7
- 4
- 1
- 90
- 20
Coach
Marcel Licka
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bernard Berisha | 2 |
| Evgenii Kharin | 2 |
| Odise Roshi | 2 |
| Vladimir Ilyin | 1 |
| Vadim Afonin | 1 |
| Ziga Skoflek | 1 |
| Vladimir Obukhov | 1 |
| Wilker Angel | 1 |
Head to Head
RFK Akhmat Grozny Form
2023-03-04
RFK Akhmat Grozny
3–1
FK Orenburg
W
2022-11-11
FK Nizhny Novgorod
3–2
RFK Akhmat Grozny
L
2022-11-05
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
1–2
RFK Akhmat Grozny
W
2022-10-29
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–2
FK Rostov
L
2022-10-23
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–0
FK Torpedo Moskva
W
2022-10-15
FK Krasnodar
2–3
RFK Akhmat Grozny
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.66
RFK Akhmat Grozny xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03
FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: RFK Akhmat Grozny win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
RFK Akhmat Grozny or Draw
79%
Draw or FK Orenburg
46%
RFK Akhmat Grozny or FK Orenburg
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: RFK Akhmat Grozny win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
1 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
9.2%
0 – 0
8.8%
0 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.7%
Asian Handicap — RFK Akhmat Grozny
| Handicap | RFK Akhmat Grozny covers | Push | FK Orenburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 16% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 23% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

