RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2022-23

RFK Akhmat Grozny

3 – 1

Full Time

FK Orenburg

Sat 4 Mar 2023 · 13:30 UTC Akhmat-Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 9' Andrey Malykh

Y 25' Mikhail Sivakov

Y 35' Mateo Stamatov

R 45' Mikhail Sivakov

Y 59' Matias Perez

Andrei Semyonov 60' Y

Overview

Match Preview

RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Akhmat-Arena.

RFK Akhmat Grozny 30 games · 37 pts (2025/26)
FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2025/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	30	68
2	FK Krasnodar	30	66
3	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	30	53
4	FK Spartak Moskva	30	52
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	30	51
6	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	30	46
7	FK Dinamo Moskva	30	45
8	FK Rubin Kazan	30	43
9	RFK Akhmat Grozny	30	37
10	FK Rostov	30	33
11	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	30	32
12	FK Orenburg	30	29
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	30	27
14	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	30	26
15	FK Nizhny Novgorod	30	23
16	PFK Sochi	30	22

Head-to-Head

RFK Akhmat Grozny 16 games · Avg 3.0 goals FK Orenburg

Last 5 meetings

2023-03-04 RFK Akhmat Grozny 3–1 FK Orenburg 2022-10-09 FK Orenburg 2–1 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2019-11-23 FK Orenburg 1–2 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2019-08-05 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2–1 FK Orenburg 2019-04-08 FK Orenburg 1–3 RFK Akhmat Grozny

Recent Form

RFK Akhmat Grozny

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Mar	FK Orenburg	H	3–1	W
11 Nov	FK Nizhny Novgorod	A	2–3	L
05 Nov	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	A	2–1	W
29 Oct	FK Rostov	H	1–2	L
23 Oct	FK Torpedo Moskva	H	1–0	W
15 Oct	FK Krasnodar	A	3–2	W

FK Orenburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Mar	RFK Akhmat Grozny	A	1–3	L
13 Nov	FK Krasnodar	H	5–1	W
04 Nov	FK Khimki	A	0–2	L
28 Oct	FK Fakel Voronezh	H	4–1	W
23 Oct	PFC CSKA Moskva	H	2–2	D
15 Oct	FK Dinamo Moskva	A	2–3	L

Season Stats

RFK Akhmat Grozny		FK Orenburg
#9	Position	#12
37	Points	29
30	Played	30
9 / 10 / 11	W / D / L	7 / 8 / 15
35	Scored	29
39	Conceded	44
-4	GD	-15
1.23	PPG	0.97
30%	Win %	23%

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
RFK Akhmat Grozny this season

20% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

RFK Akhmat Grozny are 9th (37 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RFK Akhmat Grozny

0-15

1/3

16-30

–/2

31-45

2/2

46-60

2/2

61-75

–/1

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FK Orenburg

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/–

31-45

1/4

46-60

1/–

61-75

2/4

76+

3/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at Akhmat-Arena as RFK Akhmat Grozny face off against FK Orenburg in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
5' RFK Akhmat Grozny looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
9' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Andrey Malykh.
11' What composure from Evgenii Kharin! The Estonia international strokes it home. 1-0.
16' RFK Akhmat Grozny are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FK Orenburg backline.
21' FK Orenburg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
25' A meaty challenge results in booking for Mikhail Sivakov on 25.
30' Anton Shvets has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 105 appearances.
35' The referee has no hesitation. Mateo Stamatov is booked for FK Orenburg — Yellow card on 35.
40' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
45' Mikhail Sivakov has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Red card on 45.
46' FK Orenburg make a change. Kirill Kaplenko trudges off to be replaced by Renato Gojkovic on 46 minutes.
48' A goal from the Kosovo international Bernard Berisha! He fires home on 45 to make it 2-0!
52' Dmitri Vorobyov is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
57' Over 57 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
59' That is a Yellow card for FK Orenburg. Matias Perez will be fuming at that decision.
60' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Andrei Semyonov.
65' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Marcel Licka will be considering his options from the bench.
69' Another substitution for FK Orenburg to replace Timur Ayupov by Ivan Basic on 69 minute.
73' RFK Akhmat Grozny manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Vladimir Iljin is hanging Gamid Agalarov on the field on 73 minute.
75' Lechii Sadulaev makes way for Vladislav Karapuzov at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from RFK Akhmat Grozny.
79' Another change for FK Orenburg made on 79 minute. Braian Mansilla leaves to be changed by Aleksandr Ektov.
84' RFK Akhmat Grozny are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
87' It is a substitution in FK Orenburg team. Dmitri Vorobyov is replaced by Nikolai Titkov on 87 minute.
Full Time. RFK Akhmat Grozny beats FK Orenburg

Lineups

RFK Akhmat Grozny Lineups

Starting XI

15
Andrei Semyonov
23
Anton Shvets
88
Georgi Sheliya
59
Evgenii Kharin
40
Rizvan Utsiev
7
Bernard Berisha
77
Gamid Agalarov ↓ Vladimir Iljin 73'
94
Artem Timofeev
11
Lechii Sadulaev ↓ Vladislav Karapuzov 75'
5
Milos Satara
21
Ivan Oleynikov ↓ Vladislav Kamilov 87'

Bench

Coach Sergei Tashuyev

FK Orenburg Lineups

Starting XI

9
Braian Mansilla ↓ Aleksandr Ektov 79'
80
Jimmy Marin ↓ Juryj Kavaliou 46'
55
Kirill Kaplenko ↓ Renato Gojkovic 46'
99
Nikolai Sysuev
5
Timur Ayupov ↓ Ivan Basic 69'
22
Matias Perez
11
Mateo Stamatov
23
Lucas Vera
10
Dmitri Vorobyov ↓ Nikolai Titkov 87'
3
Mikhail Sivakov
12
Andrey Malykh

Bench

Coach Marcel Licka

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Evgenii Kharin	2
Odise Roshi	2
Bernard Berisha	2
Camilo	1
Artiom Timofeev	1
Vladimir Ilyin	1
Vadim Afonin	1
Ziga Skoflek	1

Head to Head

RFK Akhmat Grozny Form

2023-03-04 RFK Akhmat Grozny 3–1 FK Orenburg W 2022-11-11 FK Nizhny Novgorod 3–2 RFK Akhmat Grozny L 2022-11-05 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–2 RFK Akhmat Grozny W 2022-10-29 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–2 FK Rostov L 2022-10-23 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–0 FK Torpedo Moskva W 2022-10-15 FK Krasnodar 2–3 RFK Akhmat Grozny W

FK Orenburg Form

2023-03-04 RFK Akhmat Grozny 3–1 FK Orenburg L 2022-11-13 FK Orenburg 5–1 FK Krasnodar W 2022-11-04 FK Khimki 2–0 FK Orenburg L 2022-10-28 FK Orenburg 4–1 FK Fakel Voronezh W 2022-10-23 FK Orenburg 2–2 PFC CSKA Moskva D 2022-10-15 FK Dinamo Moskva 3–2 FK Orenburg L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.95 RFK Akhmat Grozny xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.02 FK Orenburg xG

I would bet for: RFK Akhmat Grozny to win 59% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

RFK Akhmat Grozny59% Draw23% FK Orenburg18%

Actual: RFK Akhmat Grozny win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes55% 0% No45%

Avg goals/match: 2.97

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	56%	44%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	18%	82%

Double Chance

RFK Akhmat Grozny or Draw

82%

Draw or FK Orenburg

41%

RFK Akhmat Grozny or FK Orenburg

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

RFK Akhmat Grozny41% Draw43% FK Orenburg16%

Actual: RFK Akhmat Grozny win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11%

2 – 0

9.6%

2 – 1

9.6%

1 – 0

9.3%

0 – 0

6.8%

3 – 1

Actual

3 – 0

6.1%

1 – 2

2 – 2

4.9%

0 – 1

4.4%

3 – 2

3.3%

4 – 1

3.1%

Asian Handicap — RFK Akhmat Grozny

Handicap	RFK Akhmat Grozny covers	Push	FK Orenburg covers
-2.5	17%	—	83%
-2	17%	18%	65%
-1.5	35%	—	65%
-1	35%	23%	42%
-0.5	58%	—	42%
+0.5	82%	—	18%
+1	82%	12%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet

37% ✓

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.