FK Orenburg vs FK Rubin Kazan, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Orenburg vs FK Rubin Kazan — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
- FK Rubin Kazan 30 games · 43 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct | FK Rubin Kazan | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Oct | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Sep | FK Khimki | A | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Sep | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | H | 2–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct | FK Orenburg | A | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Oct | FK Dinamo Moskva | H | 0–4 | L |
| 05 Oct | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | FK Fakel Voronezh | A | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Sep | PFC CSKA Moskva | H | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FK Orenburg | FK Rubin Kazan | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #8 |
| 29 | Points | 43 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 7 / 8 / 15 | W / D / L | 11 / 10 / 9 |
| 29 | Scored | 29 |
| 44 | Conceded | 30 |
| -15 | GD | -1 |
| 0.97 | PPG | 1.43 |
| 23% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). FK Rubin Kazan are 8th (43 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FK Orenburg is hosting FK Rubin Kazan for another epic battle.
- 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 10' FK Orenburg have won 207 goals from 342 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 15' FK Orenburg are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 25' FK Rubin Kazan is showing some good football. However, FK Rubin Kazan are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 27' What a moment for Saeid Saharkhizan! That strike on 27 puts his side firmly in control.
- 32' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 5-3-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 33' Poor challenge from Dmitriy Kabutov. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 38' It’s high time Rashid Rakhimov made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 43' FK Orenburg started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 43.
- 48' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Veldin Hodza makes it 1-1.
- 53' FK Rubin Kazan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 58' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 63' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 63 minutes.
- 64' FK Rubin Kazan receives a card for a hard tackle on 64.
- 64' Feyttullah Gurluk is replacing Saeid Saharkhizan for the FK Orenburg side.
- 69' Egor Teslenko has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 208 appearances.
- 70' Another change for FK Rubin Kazan made on 70 minute. Valentin Vada leaves to be changed by Nikola Cumic.
- 72' Time for substitution for FK Rubin Kazan. Aleksandr Zotov is replaced by Oleg Ivanov.
- 75' Poor challenge from Brian Mansilla. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 80' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FK Rubin Kazan winning 0% of all matches.
- 81' Time for substitution for FK Orenburg. Mohammad Ghorbani is replaced by Aleksey Baranovsky.
- 86' The 30-year-old Valentin Vada has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 87' Veldin Hodza adds to his 0 season tally! FK Rubin Kazan lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
- 88' Veldin Hodza is having his name booked by the referee on 88.
- 89' FK Orenburg make a change. Jimmy Marin trudges off to be replaced by Jordhy Thompson on 89 minutes.
- 90' Ivan Basic picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 90' A change in the FK Rubin Kazan ranks — Veldin Hodza exits the field as Ruslan Bezrukov enters on 90.
- Another three points for FK Rubin Kazan.
Lineups
FK Orenburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↓ Jordhy Thompson 89'
- 87
- 22
- 8
- 14
- 6
- 35
- 9
- 81
- 1
- 10
Bench
- 31
- 20
- 13
- 99
-
18
Aleksandr Kovalenko ↑ 81'
-
16
Jordhy Thompson ↑ 89'
-
7
Feyttullah Gurluk ↑ 64'
- 69
- 61
- 59
- 38
-
96
Aleksey Baranovsky ↑ 81'
Coach
Vladimir Sliskovic
FK Rubin Kazan Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
-
30
Valentin Vada ↓ Nikola Cumic 70'
-
21
Aleksandr Zotov ↓ Oleg Ivanov 72'
- 15
- 10
-
22
Veldin Hodza ↓ Ruslan Bezrukov 90'
- 2
- 5
- 6
- 70
- 51
- 38
Bench
-
19
Oleg Ivanov ↑ 72'
- 20
-
24
Nikola Cumic ↑ 70'
- 8
- 99
-
23
Ruslan Bezrukov ↑ 90'
- 9
- 71
- 90
- 33
- 86
- 39
Coach
Rashid Rakhimov
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jimmy Marin | 2 |
| Veldin Hodza | 2 |
| Evgenii Bashkirov | 2 |
| Dardan Shabanhaxhaj | 2 |
| Dmitry Vorobyev | 1 |
| Aleksei Sutormin | 1 |
| Danila Khotulev | 1 |
| Mikhail Sivakow | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Orenburg Form
FK Rubin Kazan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.05
FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3
FK Rubin Kazan xG
I would bet for:
FK Rubin Kazan or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Rubin Kazan win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.35
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
FK Orenburg or Draw
61%
Draw or FK Rubin Kazan
70%
FK Orenburg or FK Rubin Kazan
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Orenburg win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11.7%
0 – 1
11.3%
1 – 0
8.8%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
3.6%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
2.3%
Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg
| Handicap | FK Orenburg covers | Push | FK Rubin Kazan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 17% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 22% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
FK Rubin Kazan keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

