FK Orenburg vs FK Rubin Kazan, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Orenburg vs FK Rubin Kazan — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.
- FK Orenburg 14 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
- FK Rubin Kazan 14 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 14 | 31 |
| 2 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 14 | 31 |
| 3 | FK Spartak Moskva | 14 | 29 |
| 4 | FK Krasnodar | 14 | 26 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 14 | 26 |
| 6 | FK Rostov | 14 | 19 |
| 7 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 14 | 18 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 14 | 18 |
| 9 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 14 | 17 |
| 10 | FK Orenburg | 14 | 17 |
| 11 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 14 | 16 |
| 12 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 14 | 12 |
| 14 | FK Rodina Moskva | 14 | 12 |
| 15 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 14 | 11 |
| 16 | FK Fakel Voronezh | 14 | 6 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct | FK Rubin Kazan | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Oct | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Sep | FK Khimki | A | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Sep | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | H | 2–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct | FK Orenburg | A | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Oct | FK Dinamo Moskva | H | 0–4 | L |
| 05 Oct | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | FK Fakel Voronezh | A | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Sep | PFC CSKA Moskva | H | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FK Orenburg | FK Rubin Kazan | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #8 |
| 17 | Points | 18 |
| 14 | Played | 14 |
| 3 / 8 / 3 | W / D / L | 4 / 6 / 4 |
| 14 | Scored | 14 |
| 14 | Conceded | 18 |
| +0 | GD | -4 |
| 1.21 | PPG | 1.29 |
| 21% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
44%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
30%
Clean Sheets
FK Rubin Kazan this season
FK Rubin Kazan this season
FK Orenburg are 10th (17 pts). FK Rubin Kazan are 8th (18 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Rubin Kazan
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/3
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FK Orenburg
| Jordhy Thompson | 3 G | 3 A |
| Gedeon Guzina | 3 G | 1 A |
| Ruslan Kul | 3 G | 1 A |
| Andrey Kasadzhikov | 1 G | 1 A |
FK Rubin Kazan
| Anderson Arroyo | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jacques Siwe | 3 G | |
| Bogdan Jocic | 1 G | |
| Aleksandar Jukic | 1 G | |
| Ilya Rozhkov | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FK Orenburg to score. At the same time, FK Rubin Kazan does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' FK Orenburg is showing some good football. However, FK Orenburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 10' It’s high time Vladimir Sliskovic made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 15' The 23-year-old Kazimcan Karatas has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 20' The home supporters are growing impatient. FK Orenburg must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 27' A goal from the Iran international Saeid Saharkhizan! He fires home on 27 to make it 1-0!
- 32' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 33' The referee shows FK Rubin Kazan player a card on 33.
- 38' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 43' Mohammad Ghorbani has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 10 appearances.
- 48' A stunning finish from Veldin Hodza — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 53' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 58' FK Rubin Kazan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 58.
- 63' A quiet spell here at Stadion Gazovik. FK Orenburg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 64' Egor Teslenko has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 64.
- 64' Feyttullah Gurluk is ready to make an impact after coming on for Saeid Saharkhizan at the 64 minute mark.
- 69' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ilya Rozhkov made 218 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 70' The crowd applauds Valentin Vada as he leaves the pitch. Nikola Cumic steps in for FK Rubin Kazan.
- 72' FK Rubin Kazan make a change. Aleksandr Zotov trudges off to be replaced by Oleg Ivanov on 72 minutes.
- 75' It’s a booking for FK Orenburg player. Brian Mansilla gets a card.
- 80' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 5-3-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 81' Another substitution for FK Orenburg to replace Mohammad Ghorbani by Aleksey Baranovsky on 81 minute.
- 86' Yaroslav Mikhailov is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FK Rubin Kazan so far.
- 87' What composure from Veldin Hodza! The Kosovo international strokes it home. 1-2.
- 88' Veldin Hodza was booked on 88.
- 89' The crowd applauds Jimmy Marin as he leaves the pitch. Jordhy Thompson steps in for FK Orenburg.
- 90' Controversy at the stadium! Ivan Basic argues furiously but the card stands.
- 90' FK Rubin Kazan ring the changes. Veldin Hodza has done his job and it is now time for Ruslan Bezrukov to step up.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
FK Orenburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↓ Jordhy Thompson 89'
- 87
- 22
- 8
- 14
- 6
- 35
- 9
- 81
- 1
- 10
Bench
- 31
- 20
- 13
- 99
-
18
Aleksandr Kovalenko ↑ 81'
-
16
Jordhy Thompson ↑ 89'
-
7
Feyttullah Gurluk ↑ 64'
- 69
- 61
- 59
- 38
-
96
Aleksey Baranovsky ↑ 81'
Coach
Vladimir Sliskovic
FK Rubin Kazan Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
-
30
Valentin Vada ↓ Nikola Cumic 70'
-
21
Aleksandr Zotov ↓ Oleg Ivanov 72'
- 15
- 10
-
22
Veldin Hodza ↓ Ruslan Bezrukov 90'
- 2
- 5
- 6
- 70
- 51
- 38
Bench
-
19
Oleg Ivanov ↑ 72'
- 20
-
24
Nikola Cumic ↑ 70'
- 8
- 99
-
23
Ruslan Bezrukov ↑ 90'
- 9
- 71
- 90
- 33
- 86
- 39
Coach
Rashid Rakhimov
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dardan Shabanhaxhaj | 2 |
| Jimmy Marin | 2 |
| Veldin Hodza | 2 |
| Evgenii Bashkirov | 2 |
| Denis Makarov | 1 |
| Matias Perez | 1 |
| Joel Fameyeh | 1 |
| Dmitry Vorobyev | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Orenburg Form
FK Rubin Kazan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.16
FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12
FK Rubin Kazan xG
I would bet for:
FK Orenburg or FK Rubin Kazan 69% + Under 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Rubin Kazan win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
FK Orenburg or Draw
66%
Draw or FK Rubin Kazan
65%
FK Orenburg or FK Rubin Kazan
69%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Orenburg win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.5%
1 – 0
10.7%
0 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
2.9%
1 – 3
2.7%
3 – 0
2.5%
Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg
| Handicap | FK Orenburg covers | Push | FK Rubin Kazan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 20% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 19% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
FK Rubin Kazan keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

