FK Orenburg vs FK Rubin Kazan, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Orenburg vs FK Rubin Kazan — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
- FK Rubin Kazan 30 games · 43 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct | FK Rubin Kazan | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Oct | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Sep | FK Khimki | A | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Sep | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | H | 2–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct | FK Orenburg | A | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Oct | FK Dinamo Moskva | H | 0–4 | L |
| 05 Oct | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | FK Fakel Voronezh | A | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Sep | PFC CSKA Moskva | H | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FK Orenburg | FK Rubin Kazan | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #8 |
| 29 | Points | 43 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 7 / 8 / 15 | W / D / L | 11 / 10 / 9 |
| 29 | Scored | 29 |
| 44 | Conceded | 30 |
| -15 | GD | -1 |
| 0.97 | PPG | 1.43 |
| 23% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
47%
Clean Sheets
FK Rubin Kazan this season
FK Rubin Kazan this season
FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). FK Rubin Kazan are 8th (43 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Rubin Kazan
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
–/3
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. FK Orenburg host FK Rubin Kazan — let the battle begin!
- 5' It is a cagey affair so far. FK Orenburg in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past FK Rubin Kazan's compact 5-3-2.
- 10' The travelling FK Rubin Kazan supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 15' Brian Mansilla has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 25' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 5-3-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 27' Brilliant from the ! Saeid Saharkhizan makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 27.
- 32' The 28-year-old Evgeniy Staver has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 33' The referee calls foul for Dmitriy Kabutov. He receives a card.
- 38' With 0 assists to his name this season, Maksim Sidorov is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FK Orenburg.
- 43' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FK Orenburg and FK Rubin Kazan are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 48' What a strike from Veldin Hodza! The score is 1-1.
- 53' Valentin Vada needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 58' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Rubin Kazan that had 208 games and scored 211 goals.
- 63' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 64' The referee shows FK Rubin Kazan player a card on 64.
- 64' FK Orenburg ring the changes. Saeid Saharkhizan has done his job and it is now time for Feyttullah Gurluk to step up.
- 69' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 70' The supporters are chanting for Nikola Cumic. He replaces Valentin Vada on 70 minute.
- 72' Oleg Ivanov has so much to prove this time. He replaces Aleksandr Zotov on 72 minute.
- 75' FK Orenburg player sees a card in front of him.
- 80' It looks surprising FK Orenburg does not make any changes. Ugochukwu Iwu has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 81' The whistle greets Mohammad Ghorbani as he departs to be replaced by Aleksey Baranovsky.
- 86' FK Orenburg seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 87' What a strike from Veldin Hodza! The score is 1-2.
- 88' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Veldin Hodza on 88 minutes.
- 89' Jordhy Thompson is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jimmy Marin at the 89 minute mark.
- 90' That is a card for FK Orenburg. Ivan Basic will be fuming at that decision.
- 90' The FK Rubin Kazan bench stirs into life. Veldin Hodza is withdrawn and Ruslan Bezrukov gets his opportunity.
- 1-2 the final result. FK Orenburg will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
FK Orenburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↓ Jordhy Thompson 89'
- 87
- 22
- 8
- 14
- 6
- 35
- 9
- 81
- 1
- 10
Bench
- 31
- 20
- 13
- 99
-
18
Aleksandr Kovalenko ↑ 81'
-
16
Jordhy Thompson ↑ 89'
-
7
Feyttullah Gurluk ↑ 64'
- 69
- 61
- 59
- 38
-
96
Aleksey Baranovsky ↑ 81'
Coach
Vladimir Sliskovic
FK Rubin Kazan Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
-
30
Valentin Vada ↓ Nikola Cumic 70'
-
21
Aleksandr Zotov ↓ Oleg Ivanov 72'
- 15
- 10
-
22
Veldin Hodza ↓ Ruslan Bezrukov 90'
- 2
- 5
- 6
- 70
- 51
- 38
Bench
-
19
Oleg Ivanov ↑ 72'
- 20
-
24
Nikola Cumic ↑ 70'
- 8
- 99
-
23
Ruslan Bezrukov ↑ 90'
- 9
- 71
- 90
- 33
- 86
- 39
Coach
Rashid Rakhimov
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Veldin Hodza | 2 |
| Evgenii Bashkirov | 2 |
| Dardan Shabanhaxhaj | 2 |
| Jimmy Marin | 2 |
| Danila Khotulev | 1 |
| Mikhail Sivakow | 1 |
| Saeid Saharkhizan | 1 |
| Dmitrii Poloz | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Orenburg Form
FK Rubin Kazan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.05
FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3
FK Rubin Kazan xG
I would bet for:
FK Rubin Kazan or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Rubin Kazan win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.35
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
FK Orenburg or Draw
61%
Draw or FK Rubin Kazan
70%
FK Orenburg or FK Rubin Kazan
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Orenburg win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11.7%
0 – 1
11.3%
1 – 0
8.8%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
3.6%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
2.3%
Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg
| Handicap | FK Orenburg covers | Push | FK Rubin Kazan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 17% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 22% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
FK Rubin Kazan keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

