FK Orenburg vs FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2024-25

FK Orenburg

0 – 1

Full Time

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Sat 23 Nov 2024 · 09:00 UTC Stadion Gazovik 3,815 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 90+6' Aleksandr Erokhin

Y 19' Aleksandr Sobolev

Aleksandr Kovalenko 31' Y

Aleksandr Kovalenko 38' YR

Overview

Match Preview

FK Orenburg vs FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.

FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 30 games · 68 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	30	68
2	FK Krasnodar	30	66
3	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	30	53
4	FK Spartak Moskva	30	52
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	30	51
6	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	30	46
7	FK Dinamo Moskva	30	45
8	FK Rubin Kazan	30	43
9	RFK Akhmat Grozny	30	37
10	FK Rostov	30	33
11	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	30	32
12	FK Orenburg	30	29
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	30	27
14	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	30	26
15	FK Nizhny Novgorod	30	23
16	PFK Sochi	30	22

Head-to-Head

FK Orenburg 16 games · Avg 3.6 goals FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Last 5 meetings

2024-11-23 FK Orenburg 0–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2024-10-05 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Orenburg 2024-04-21 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Orenburg 2023-09-30 FK Orenburg 3–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2023-05-20 FK Orenburg 2–2 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Recent Form

FK Orenburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Nov	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	H	0–1	L
09 Nov	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	A	1–2	L
03 Nov	FK Krasnodar	A	0–4	L
27 Oct	FK Rubin Kazan	H	1–2	L
20 Oct	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	H	2–2	D
05 Oct	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	A	0–1	L

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Nov	FK Orenburg	A	1–0	W
10 Nov	RFK Akhmat Grozny	A	2–1	W
02 Nov	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	H	2–1	W
27 Oct	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	H	1–1	D
18 Oct	FK Akron Tolyatti	A	5–0	W
05 Oct	FK Orenburg	H	1–0	W

Season Stats

FK Orenburg		FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
#12	Position	#1
29	Points	68
30	Played	30
7 / 8 / 15	W / D / L	20 / 8 / 2
29	Scored	53
44	Conceded	19
-15	GD	+34
0.97	PPG	2.27
23%	Win %	67%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg are 1st (68 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and FK Orenburg launch into their encounter with FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg.
5' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
10' FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg is showing some good football. However, FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FK Orenburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
19' The referee has no hesitation. Aleksandr Sobolev is booked for FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg — card on 19.
24' FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
29' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 29 minutes.
31' Aleksandr Kovalenko is having his name booked by the referee on 31.
36' FK Orenburg currently sit 16 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
38' It’s a booking for FK Orenburg player. Aleksandr Kovalenko gets a card.
42' The FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg bench stirs into life. Strahinja Erakovic is withdrawn and Gustavo Mantuan gets his opportunity.
46' Mateo Cassierra has so much to prove this time. He replaces Aleksandr Sobolev on 46 minute.
51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg that had 394 games and scored 534 goals.
56' Maksim Sidorov is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FK Orenburg so far.
57' FK Orenburg ring the changes. Saeid Saharkhizan has done his job and it is now time for Dmitrii Rybchinskii to step up.
60' Time for substitution for FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg. Andrei Mostovoi is replaced by Luciano Gondou.
65' FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
70' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
75' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
79' Another substitution for FK Orenburg to replace Kazimcan Karatas by Georgii Zotov on 79 minute.
80' The supporters are chanting for Aleksandr Erokhin. He replaces Pedrinho Santos on 80 minute.
85' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Vladimir Sliskovic will be considering his options from the bench.
89' It is a substitution in FK Orenburg team. Brian Mansilla is replaced by Aleksey Baranovsky on 89 minute.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg to claim maximum points.

Lineups

FK Orenburg Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

80
Jimmy Marin ↓ Jordhy Thompson 89'
99
Nikolai Sysuev
22
Matias Perez
8
Ivan Basic
6
Mohammad Ghorbani
18
Aleksandr Kovalenko
35
Kazimcan Karatas ↓ Georgii Zotov 79'
9
Brian Mansilla ↓ Aleksey Baranovsky 89'
81
Maksim Sidorov
38
Artem Kasimov
10
Saeid Saharkhizan ↓ Dmitrii Rybchinskii 57'

Bench

Coach Vladimir Sliskovic

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

3
Douglas Santos
5
Wilmar Barrios
16
Denis Adamov
7
Aleksandr Sobolev ↓ Mateo Cassierra 46'
28
Nuraly Alip
67
Maksim Glushenkov ↓ Artur Guimaraes 79'
27
Nino
17
Andrei Mostovoi ↓ Luciano Gondou 60'
11
Claudinho
25
Strahinja Erakovic ↓ Gustavo Mantuan 42'
24
Pedrinho Santos ↓ Aleksandr Erokhin 80'

Bench

Coach Sergey Semak

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sardar Azmoun	5
Gustavo Mantuan	4
Wendel	3
Aleksandr Erokhin	3
Malcom	2
Aleksandr Erokhin	2
Ivan Sergeev	2
Artem Dzyuba	2

Head to Head

FK Orenburg Form

2024-11-23 FK Orenburg 0–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg L 2024-11-09 FK Dinamo Makhachkala 2–1 FK Orenburg L 2024-11-03 FK Krasnodar 4–0 FK Orenburg L 2024-10-27 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Rubin Kazan L 2024-10-20 FK Orenburg 2–2 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara D 2024-10-05 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Orenburg L

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg Form

2024-11-23 FK Orenburg 0–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg W 2024-11-10 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–2 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg W 2024-11-02 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2–1 FK Dinamo Makhachkala W 2024-10-27 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–1 FK Lokomotiv Moskva D 2024-10-18 FK Akron Tolyatti 0–5 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg W 2024-10-05 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Orenburg W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

0.66 FK Orenburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.83 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg xG

I would bet for: FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg to win 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FK Orenburg16% Draw24% FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg60%

Actual: FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes41% 0% No59%

Avg goals/match: 2.49

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	71%	29%
± 2.5	45%	55%
± 3.5	24%	76%
± 4.5	11%	89%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw

40%

Draw or FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

84%

FK Orenburg or FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FK Orenburg10% Draw46% FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg44%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 1

Actual

0 – 2

13.5%

1 – 1

10.7%

0 – 0

10.2%

1 – 2

8.9%

0 – 3

8.1%

1 – 3

5.5%

1 – 0

4.6%

0 – 4

3.7%

2 – 1

3.2%

2 – 2

1 – 4

2.6%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap	FK Orenburg covers	Push	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg covers
-2.5	1%	—	99%
-2	1%	3%	97%
-1.5	3%	—	97%
-1	3%	8%	88%
-0.5	12%	—	88%
+0.5	36%	—	64%
+1	36%	25%	38%
+1.5	62%	—	38%
+2	62%	20%	18%
+2.5	82%	—	18%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg keeps clean sheet

52% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.