FK Orenburg vs FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2024-25

FK Orenburg

0 – 1

Full Time

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Sat 23 Nov 2024 · 09:00 UTC Stadion Gazovik 3,815 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 90+6' Aleksandr Erokhin

Y 19' Aleksandr Sobolev

Aleksandr Kovalenko 31' Y

Aleksandr Kovalenko 38' YR

Overview

Match Preview

FK Orenburg vs FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.

FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 30 games · 68 pts (2025/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	30	68
2	FK Krasnodar	30	66
3	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	30	53
4	FK Spartak Moskva	30	52
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	30	51
6	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	30	46
7	FK Dinamo Moskva	30	45
8	FK Rubin Kazan	30	43
9	RFK Akhmat Grozny	30	37
10	FK Rostov	30	33
11	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	30	32
12	FK Orenburg	30	29
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	30	27
14	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	30	26
15	FK Nizhny Novgorod	30	23
16	PFK Sochi	30	22

Head-to-Head

FK Orenburg 16 games · Avg 3.6 goals FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Last 5 meetings

2024-11-23 FK Orenburg 0–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2024-10-05 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Orenburg 2024-04-21 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Orenburg 2023-09-30 FK Orenburg 3–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2023-05-20 FK Orenburg 2–2 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Recent Form

FK Orenburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Nov	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	H	0–1	L
09 Nov	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	A	1–2	L
03 Nov	FK Krasnodar	A	0–4	L
27 Oct	FK Rubin Kazan	H	1–2	L
20 Oct	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	H	2–2	D
05 Oct	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	A	0–1	L

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Nov	FK Orenburg	A	1–0	W
10 Nov	RFK Akhmat Grozny	A	2–1	W
02 Nov	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	H	2–1	W
27 Oct	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	H	1–1	D
18 Oct	FK Akron Tolyatti	A	5–0	W
05 Oct	FK Orenburg	H	1–0	W

Season Stats

FK Orenburg		FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
#12	Position	#1
29	Points	68
30	Played	30
7 / 8 / 15	W / D / L	20 / 8 / 2
29	Scored	53
44	Conceded	19
-15	GD	+34
0.97	PPG	2.27
23%	Win %	67%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

50% Clean Sheets
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg this season

FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg are 1st (68 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Orenburg

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/–

31-45

1/4

46-60

1/–

61-75

2/4

76+

3/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

0-15

3/1

16-30

2/–

31-45

–/1

46-60

5/–

61-75

–/2

76+

1/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. FK Orenburg kicks off things out of here…
5' Nuraly Alip is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FK Orenburg tonight.
10' It looks surprising FK Orenburg does not make any changes. Matias Perez has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
15' FK Orenburg is showing some good football. However, FK Orenburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
19' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Aleksandr Sobolev.
24' Mateo Cassierra, a Colombia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
29' FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
31' Controversy at the stadium! Aleksandr Kovalenko argues furiously but the card stands.
36' FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
38' A meaty challenge results in booking for Aleksandr Kovalenko on 38.
42' A change in the FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg ranks — Strahinja Erakovic exits the field as Gustavo Mantuan enters on 42.
46' A change in the FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg ranks — Aleksandr Sobolev exits the field as Mateo Cassierra enters on 46.
51' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
56' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
57' The crowd applauds Saeid Saharkhizan as he leaves the pitch. Dmitrii Rybchinskii steps in for FK Orenburg.
60' Time for substitution for FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg. Andrei Mostovoi is replaced by Luciano Gondou.
65' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Andrei Mostovoi suffering a number of foals already.
70' FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
75' FK Orenburg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg backline.
79' A change in the FK Orenburg ranks — Kazimcan Karatas exits the field as Georgii Zotov enters on 79.
80' The whistle greets Pedrinho Santos as he departs to be replaced by Aleksandr Erokhin.
85' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg winning 50% of all matches.
89' Aleksey Baranovsky is ready to make an impact after coming on for Brian Mansilla at the 89 minute mark.
Game over. The scoreline of 0-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

FK Orenburg Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

80
Jimmy Marin ↓ Jordhy Thompson 89'
99
Nikolai Sysuev
22
Matias Perez
8
Ivan Basic
6
Mohammad Ghorbani
18
Aleksandr Kovalenko
35
Kazimcan Karatas ↓ Georgii Zotov 79'
9
Brian Mansilla ↓ Aleksey Baranovsky 89'
81
Maksim Sidorov
38
Artem Kasimov
10
Saeid Saharkhizan ↓ Dmitrii Rybchinskii 57'

Bench

Coach Vladimir Sliskovic

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

3
Douglas Santos
5
Wilmar Barrios
16
Denis Adamov
7
Aleksandr Sobolev ↓ Mateo Cassierra 46'
28
Nuraly Alip
67
Maksim Glushenkov ↓ Artur Guimaraes 79'
27
Nino
17
Andrei Mostovoi ↓ Luciano Gondou 60'
11
Claudinho
25
Strahinja Erakovic ↓ Gustavo Mantuan 42'
24
Pedrinho Santos ↓ Aleksandr Erokhin 80'

Bench

Coach Sergey Semak

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sardar Azmoun	5
Gustavo Mantuan	4
Wendel	3
Aleksandr Erokhin	3
Artem Dzyuba	2
Malcom	2
Aleksandr Erokhin	2
Ivan Sergeev	2

Head to Head

FK Orenburg Form

2024-11-23 FK Orenburg 0–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg L 2024-11-09 FK Dinamo Makhachkala 2–1 FK Orenburg L 2024-11-03 FK Krasnodar 4–0 FK Orenburg L 2024-10-27 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Rubin Kazan L 2024-10-20 FK Orenburg 2–2 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara D 2024-10-05 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Orenburg L

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg Form

2024-11-23 FK Orenburg 0–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg W 2024-11-10 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–2 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg W 2024-11-02 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2–1 FK Dinamo Makhachkala W 2024-10-27 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–1 FK Lokomotiv Moskva D 2024-10-18 FK Akron Tolyatti 0–5 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg W 2024-10-05 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Orenburg W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

0.66 FK Orenburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.83 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg xG

I would bet for: FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg to win 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FK Orenburg16% Draw24% FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg60%

Actual: FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes41% 0% No59%

Avg goals/match: 2.49

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	71%	29%
± 2.5	45%	55%
± 3.5	24%	76%
± 4.5	11%	89%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw

40%

Draw or FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

84%

FK Orenburg or FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FK Orenburg10% Draw46% FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg44%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 1

Actual

0 – 2

13.5%

1 – 1

10.7%

0 – 0

10.2%

1 – 2

8.9%

0 – 3

8.1%

1 – 3

5.5%

1 – 0

4.6%

0 – 4

3.7%

2 – 1

3.2%

2 – 2

1 – 4

2.6%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap	FK Orenburg covers	Push	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg covers
-2.5	1%	—	99%
-2	1%	3%	97%
-1.5	3%	—	97%
-1	3%	8%	88%
-0.5	12%	—	88%
+0.5	36%	—	64%
+1	36%	25%	38%
+1.5	62%	—	38%
+2	62%	20%	18%
+2.5	82%	—	18%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg keeps clean sheet

52% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.