FK Orenburg vs FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2024-25

FK Orenburg

0 – 1

Full Time

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Sat 23 Nov 2024 · 09:00 UTC Stadion Gazovik 3,815 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 90+6' Aleksandr Erokhin

Y 19' Aleksandr Sobolev

Aleksandr Kovalenko 31' Y

Aleksandr Kovalenko 38' YR

Overview

Match Preview

FK Orenburg vs FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.

FK Orenburg 14 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 14 games · 31 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	14	31
2	FK Dinamo Moskva	14	31
3	FK Spartak Moskva	14	29
4	FK Krasnodar	14	26
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	14	26
6	FK Rostov	14	19
7	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	14	18
8	FK Rubin Kazan	14	18
9	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	14	17
10	FK Orenburg	14	17
11	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	14	16
12	RFK Akhmat Grozny	14	14
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	14	12
14	FK Rodina Moskva	14	12
15	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	14	11
16	FK Fakel Voronezh	14	6

Head-to-Head

FK Orenburg 16 games · Avg 3.6 goals FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Last 5 meetings

2024-11-23 FK Orenburg 0–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2024-10-05 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Orenburg 2024-04-21 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Orenburg 2023-09-30 FK Orenburg 3–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2023-05-20 FK Orenburg 2–2 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Recent Form

FK Orenburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Nov	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	H	0–1	L
09 Nov	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	A	1–2	L
03 Nov	FK Krasnodar	A	0–4	L
27 Oct	FK Rubin Kazan	H	1–2	L
20 Oct	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	H	2–2	D
05 Oct	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	A	0–1	L

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Nov	FK Orenburg	A	1–0	W
10 Nov	RFK Akhmat Grozny	A	2–1	W
02 Nov	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	H	2–1	W
27 Oct	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	H	1–1	D
18 Oct	FK Akron Tolyatti	A	5–0	W
05 Oct	FK Orenburg	H	1–0	W

Season Stats

FK Orenburg		FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
#10	Position	#1
17	Points	31
14	Played	14
3 / 8 / 3	W / D / L	10 / 1 / 3
14	Scored	32
14	Conceded	15
+0	GD	+17
1.21	PPG	2.21
21%	Win %	71%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

44% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

33% Clean Sheets
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg this season

FK Orenburg are 10th (17 pts). FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg are 1st (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Orenburg

0-15

–/2

16-30

2/–

31-45

3/–

46-60

1/–

61-75

3/2

76+

1/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

0-15

2/–

16-30

2/2

31-45

2/1

46-60

4/1

61-75

4/1

76+

4/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FK Orenburg

Jordhy Thompson	3 G	3 A
Gedeon Guzina	3 G	1 A
Ruslan Kul	3 G	1 A
Andrey Kasadzhikov	1 G	1 A

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Maksim Glushenkov	10 G	5 A
Aleksandr Sobolev	10 G	2 A
Jhon Jhon	2 G	1 A
Felipe Augusto	2 G
Gustavo Mantuan	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against FK Orenburg and FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg has kicked off!
5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FK Orenburg and FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Artem Kasimov made 350 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Orenburg that had 350 games and scored 217 goals.
19' That is a card for FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg. Aleksandr Sobolev will be fuming at that decision.
24' FK Orenburg are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg's 4-4-2 shape.
29' Strahinja Erakovic, a Serbia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
31' A moment of madness from Aleksandr Kovalenko on 31 minutes earns him a card. FK Orenburg will be frustrated.
36' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
38' Controversy at the stadium! Aleksandr Kovalenko argues furiously but the card stands.
42' The FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg manager makes a substitution. Strahinja Erakovic departs to be replaced by Gustavo Mantuan.
46' A tactical swap from FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg — Mateo Cassierra on, Aleksandr Sobolev off on 46 minutes.
51' Pedrinho Santos has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
56' Douglas Santos needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
57' Time for substitution for FK Orenburg. Saeid Saharkhizan is replaced by Dmitrii Rybchinskii.
60' Time for substitution for FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg. Andrei Mostovoi is replaced by Luciano Gondou.
65' It looks surprising FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg does not make any changes. Jimmy Marin has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
70' The energy levels are beginning to show. Sergey Semak might look to freshen things up shortly.
75' It looks like no one’s ball. FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
79' Kazimcan Karatas makes way for Georgii Zotov at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Orenburg.
80' The FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg manager makes a substitution. Pedrinho Santos departs to be replaced by Aleksandr Erokhin.
85' It’s high time Sergey Semak made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
89' FK Orenburg ring the changes. Brian Mansilla has done his job and it is now time for Aleksey Baranovsky to step up.
Game over. The scoreline of 0-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

FK Orenburg Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

80
Jimmy Marin ↓ Jordhy Thompson 89'
99
Nikolai Sysuev
22
Matias Perez
8
Ivan Basic
6
Mohammad Ghorbani
18
Aleksandr Kovalenko
35
Kazimcan Karatas ↓ Georgii Zotov 79'
9
Brian Mansilla ↓ Aleksey Baranovsky 89'
81
Maksim Sidorov
38
Artem Kasimov
10
Saeid Saharkhizan ↓ Dmitrii Rybchinskii 57'

Bench

Coach Vladimir Sliskovic

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

3
Douglas Santos
5
Wilmar Barrios
16
Denis Adamov
7
Aleksandr Sobolev ↓ Mateo Cassierra 46'
28
Nuraly Alip
67
Maksim Glushenkov ↓ Artur Guimaraes 79'
27
Nino
17
Andrei Mostovoi ↓ Luciano Gondou 60'
11
Claudinho
25
Strahinja Erakovic ↓ Gustavo Mantuan 42'
24
Pedrinho Santos ↓ Aleksandr Erokhin 80'

Bench

Coach Sergey Semak

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sardar Azmoun	5
Gustavo Mantuan	4
Aleksandr Erokhin	3
Wendel	3
Aleksandr Erokhin	2
Ivan Sergeev	2
Artem Dzyuba	2
Malcom	2

Head to Head

FK Orenburg Form

2024-11-23 FK Orenburg 0–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg L 2024-11-09 FK Dinamo Makhachkala 2–1 FK Orenburg L 2024-11-03 FK Krasnodar 4–0 FK Orenburg L 2024-10-27 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Rubin Kazan L 2024-10-20 FK Orenburg 2–2 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara D 2024-10-05 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Orenburg L

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg Form

2024-11-23 FK Orenburg 0–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg W 2024-11-10 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–2 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg W 2024-11-02 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2–1 FK Dinamo Makhachkala W 2024-10-27 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–1 FK Lokomotiv Moskva D 2024-10-18 FK Akron Tolyatti 0–5 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg W 2024-10-05 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Orenburg W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

0.84 FK Orenburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.66 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

FK Orenburg20% Draw26% FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg54%

Actual: FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes47% 0% No53%

Avg goals/match: 2.5

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	71%	29%
± 2.5	45%	55%
± 3.5	25%	75%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw

46%

Draw or FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

80%

FK Orenburg or FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FK Orenburg14% Draw47% FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg39%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 1

Actual

1 – 1

12.3%

0 – 2

11%

0 – 0

10.2%

1 – 2

9.2%

0 – 3

1 – 0

5.9%

1 – 3

5.1%

2 – 1

4.6%

2 – 2

3.9%

2 – 0

2.8%

0 – 4

2.5%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap	FK Orenburg covers	Push	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg covers
-2.5	1%	—	99%
-2	1%	4%	94%
-1.5	6%	—	94%
-1	6%	12%	82%
-0.5	18%	—	82%
+0.5	45%	—	55%
+1	45%	25%	31%
+1.5	69%	—	31%
+2	69%	17%	13%
+2.5	87%	—	13%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg keeps clean sheet

44% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.