FK Orenburg vs FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2024-25

FK Orenburg

0 – 1

Full Time

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Sat 23 Nov 2024 · 09:00 UTC Stadion Gazovik 3,815 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 90+6' Aleksandr Erokhin

Y 19' Aleksandr Sobolev

Aleksandr Kovalenko 31' Y

Aleksandr Kovalenko 38' YR

Overview

Match Preview

FK Orenburg vs FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.

FK Orenburg 9 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 9 games · 18 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Krasnodar	9	21
2	FK Dinamo Moskva	9	19
3	PFC CSKA Moskva	9	19
4	FK Spartak Moskva	9	19
5	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	9	18
6	FK Rubin Kazan	9	12
7	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	9	12
8	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	9	11
9	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	9	11
10	RFK Akhmat Grozny	9	10
11	FK Orenburg	9	9
12	FK Akron Tolyatti	9	8
13	FK Rostov	9	8
14	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	9	7
15	FK Rodina Moskva	9	5
16	FK Fakel Voronezh	9	3

Head-to-Head

FK Orenburg 16 games · Avg 3.6 goals FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Last 5 meetings

2024-11-23 FK Orenburg 0–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2024-10-05 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Orenburg 2024-04-21 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Orenburg 2023-09-30 FK Orenburg 3–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2023-05-20 FK Orenburg 2–2 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Recent Form

FK Orenburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Nov	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	H	0–1	L
09 Nov	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	A	1–2	L
03 Nov	FK Krasnodar	A	0–4	L
27 Oct	FK Rubin Kazan	H	1–2	L
20 Oct	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	H	2–2	D
05 Oct	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	A	0–1	L

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Nov	FK Orenburg	A	1–0	W
10 Nov	RFK Akhmat Grozny	A	2–1	W
02 Nov	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	H	2–1	W
27 Oct	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	H	1–1	D
18 Oct	FK Akron Tolyatti	A	5–0	W
05 Oct	FK Orenburg	H	1–0	W

Season Stats

FK Orenburg		FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
#11	Position	#5
9	Points	18
9	Played	9
1 / 6 / 2	W / D / L	6 / 0 / 3
7	Scored	19
10	Conceded	9
-3	GD	+10
1.00	PPG	2.00
11%	Win %	67%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

25% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

25% Clean Sheets
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg this season

FK Orenburg are 11th (9 pts). FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg are 5th (18 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Orenburg

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

1/1

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

0-15

1/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

–/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/–

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FK Orenburg

Ruslan Kul	3 G
Andrey Kasadzhikov	1 G	1 A

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Aleksandr Sobolev	7 G	2 A
Maksim Glushenkov	6 G	2 A
Jhon Jhon	1 G	1 A
Gustavo Mantuan	1 G
Felipe Augusto	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: FK Orenburg gets underway.
5' It is a cagey affair so far. FK Orenburg in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg's compact 4-4-2.
10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Sergey Semak might look to freshen things up shortly.
15' Claudinho has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
19' Aleksandr Sobolev picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
24' Luciano Gondou has been relatively quiet despite scoring 31 goals in his last 119 appearances.
29' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
31' Aleksandr Kovalenko picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
36' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
38' That is a card for FK Orenburg. Aleksandr Kovalenko will be fuming at that decision.
42' Time for substitution for FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg. Strahinja Erakovic is replaced by Gustavo Mantuan.
46' Another change for FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg made on 46 minute. Aleksandr Sobolev leaves to be changed by Mateo Cassierra.
51' Wilmar Barrios is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FK Orenburg so far.
56' With 0 assists to his name this season, Aleksandr Erokhin is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg.
57' The FK Orenburg manager makes a substitution. Saeid Saharkhizan departs to be replaced by Dmitrii Rybchinskii.
60' Luciano Gondou gets the nod from FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg. He replaces Andrei Mostovoi and will look to change the dynamic.
65' Aleksandr Kovalenko has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
70' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Aleksandr Sobolev suffering a number of foals already.
75' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FK Orenburg and FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
79' Georgii Zotov is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kazimcan Karatas at the 79 minute mark.
80' The FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg bench stirs into life. Pedrinho Santos is withdrawn and Aleksandr Erokhin gets his opportunity.
85' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 85 minutes.
89' Aleksey Baranovsky gets the nod from FK Orenburg. He replaces Brian Mansilla and will look to change the dynamic.
FK Orenburg will have plenty to reflect on. FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg were simply the better side today.

Lineups

FK Orenburg Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

80
Jimmy Marin ↓ Jordhy Thompson 89'
99
Nikolai Sysuev
22
Matias Perez
8
Ivan Basic
6
Mohammad Ghorbani
18
Aleksandr Kovalenko
35
Kazimcan Karatas ↓ Georgii Zotov 79'
9
Brian Mansilla ↓ Aleksey Baranovsky 89'
81
Maksim Sidorov
38
Artem Kasimov
10
Saeid Saharkhizan ↓ Dmitrii Rybchinskii 57'

Bench

Coach Vladimir Sliskovic

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

3
Douglas Santos
5
Wilmar Barrios
16
Denis Adamov
7
Aleksandr Sobolev ↓ Mateo Cassierra 46'
28
Nuraly Alip
67
Maksim Glushenkov ↓ Artur Guimaraes 79'
27
Nino
17
Andrei Mostovoi ↓ Luciano Gondou 60'
11
Claudinho
25
Strahinja Erakovic ↓ Gustavo Mantuan 42'
24
Pedrinho Santos ↓ Aleksandr Erokhin 80'

Bench

Coach Sergey Semak

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sardar Azmoun	5
Gustavo Mantuan	4
Wendel	3
Aleksandr Erokhin	3
Ivan Sergeev	2
Artem Dzyuba	2
Malcom	2
Aleksandr Erokhin	2

Head to Head

FK Orenburg Form

2024-11-23 FK Orenburg 0–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg L 2024-11-09 FK Dinamo Makhachkala 2–1 FK Orenburg L 2024-11-03 FK Krasnodar 4–0 FK Orenburg L 2024-10-27 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Rubin Kazan L 2024-10-20 FK Orenburg 2–2 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara D 2024-10-05 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Orenburg L

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg Form

2024-11-23 FK Orenburg 0–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg W 2024-11-10 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–2 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg W 2024-11-02 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2–1 FK Dinamo Makhachkala W 2024-10-27 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–1 FK Lokomotiv Moskva D 2024-10-18 FK Akron Tolyatti 0–5 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg W 2024-10-05 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Orenburg W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

0.71 FK Orenburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.67 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg xG

I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 58% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FK Orenburg17% Draw26% FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg57%

Actual: FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes42% 0% No58%

Avg goals/match: 2.38

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	69%	31%
± 2.5	42%	58%
± 3.5	22%	78%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw

43%

Draw or FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

83%

FK Orenburg or FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FK Orenburg12% Draw48% FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg40%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 1

Actual

0 – 2

12.5%

1 – 1

11.7%

0 – 0

11.3%

1 – 2

8.9%

0 – 3

6.8%

1 – 0

5.6%

1 – 3

2 – 1

3.7%

2 – 2

3.2%

0 – 4

2.9%

2 – 0

2.2%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap	FK Orenburg covers	Push	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg covers
-2.5	1%	—	99%
-2	1%	3%	96%
-1.5	4%	—	96%
-1	4%	10%	86%
-0.5	14%	—	86%
+0.5	41%	—	59%
+1	41%	26%	33%
+1.5	67%	—	33%
+2	67%	18%	15%
+2.5	85%	—	15%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg keeps clean sheet

50% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.