Wednesday , 30 September 2026

RCD Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Sun 12 Apr 2026 · 14:15 UTC Estadi Mallorca Son Moix 16,323 HT 45' · FT 45'
Vedat Muriqi 36' 1–0
Vedat Muriqi 40' 2–0
Jan Virgili 65' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

RCD Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid — La Liga at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix.

Match Details

  • Referee Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Angel Nevado Rodriguez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Javier Martinez Nicolas (Spain)
5 games this season 🟨 5.6/game ⚽ 13.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 3–0 W
04 Apr Real Madrid CF H 2–1 W
21 Mar Elche CF A 1–2 L
15 Mar RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 2–1 W
07 Mar CA Osasuna A 2–2 D
28 Feb Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr RCD Mallorca A 0–3 L
03 Apr Elche CF H 1–0 W
22 Mar FC Barcelona A 0–1 L
16 Mar Levante UD H 1–1 D
08 Mar Sevilla FC A 1–1 D
04 Mar Real Oviedo H 3–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/5
31-45
1/1
46-60
5/2
61-75
–/1
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Sergio Camello 7 G 1 A
Alvaro Garcia 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.55 RCD Mallorca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 59% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RCD Mallorca55% Draw27% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid18%
Actual: RCD Mallorca win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.34
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

RCD Mallorca or Draw
81%
Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
45%
RCD Mallorca or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RCD Mallorca37% Draw49% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid14%
Actual: RCD Mallorca win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.9%
1 – 1
12.6%
0 – 0
11.7%
2 – 0
11.2%
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
6.5%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
4.7%
1 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
2.9%
4 – 0
2.2%

Asian Handicap — RCD Mallorca

Handicap RCD Mallorca covers Push Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 17% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 25% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

RCD Mallorca keeps clean sheet
46% ✗
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.