Sunday , 16 August 2026

RCD Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Sun 12 Apr 2026 · 14:15 UTC Estadi Mallorca Son Moix 16,323 HT 45' · FT 45'
Vedat Muriqi 36' 1–0
Vedat Muriqi 40' 2–0
Jan Virgili 65' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

RCD Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano de MadridLa Liga at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix.

Match Details

  • Referee Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Angel Nevado Rodriguez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Javier Martinez Nicolas (Spain)
8 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 3.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 3–0 W
04 Apr Real Madrid CF H 2–1 W
21 Mar Elche CF A 1–2 L
15 Mar RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 2–1 W
07 Mar CA Osasuna A 2–2 D
28 Feb Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr RCD Mallorca A 0–3 L
03 Apr Elche CF H 1–0 W
22 Mar FC Barcelona A 0–1 L
16 Mar Levante UD H 1–1 D
08 Mar Sevilla FC A 1–1 D
04 Mar Real Oviedo H 3–0 W

Season Stats

RCD Mallorca Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
#1 Position #22
42 Points 0
38 Played 1
11 / 9 / 18 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 1
47 Scored 1
57 Conceded 2
-10 GD -1
1.11 PPG 0.00
29% Win % 0%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

RCD Mallorca are 1st (42 pts). Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 22nd (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/1
61-75
/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.52 RCD Mallorca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + RCD Mallorca to win 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RCD Mallorca64% Draw20% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid16%
Actual: RCD Mallorca win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.6
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

RCD Mallorca or Draw
84%
Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
36%
RCD Mallorca or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RCD Mallorca50% Draw37% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid13%
Actual: RCD Mallorca win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
8.7%
1 – 1
8.2%
3 – 1
7.5%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
4.9%
4 – 1
4.8%
4 – 0
4.4%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 0
4%
1 – 2
3.9%

Asian Handicap — RCD Mallorca

Handicap RCD Mallorca covers Push Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers
-2.5 27% 73%
-2 27% 20% 54%
-1.5 46% 54%
-1 46% 21% 33%
-0.5 67% 33%
+0.5 86% 14%
+1 86% 9% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

RCD Mallorca keeps clean sheet
34%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
9%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.