Thursday , 2 July 2026

RCD Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Sun 12 Apr 2026 · 14:15 UTC Estadi Mallorca Son Moix 16,323 HT 45' · FT 45'
Vedat Muriqi 36' 1–0
Vedat Muriqi 40' 2–0
Jan Virgili 65' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

RCD Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano de MadridLa Liga at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix.

Match Details

  • Referee Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Angel Nevado Rodriguez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Javier Martinez Nicolas (Spain)
8 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 3.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 3–0 W
04 Apr Real Madrid CF H 2–1 W
21 Mar Elche CF A 1–2 L
15 Mar RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 2–1 W
07 Mar CA Osasuna A 2–2 D
28 Feb Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr RCD Mallorca A 0–3 L
03 Apr Elche CF H 1–0 W
22 Mar FC Barcelona A 0–1 L
16 Mar Levante UD H 1–1 D
08 Mar Sevilla FC A 1–1 D
04 Mar Real Oviedo H 3–0 W

Season Stats

RCD Mallorca Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
#17 Position #8
42 Points 50
38 Played 38
11 / 9 / 18 W / D / L 12 / 14 / 12
47 Scored 41
57 Conceded 44
-10 GD -3
1.11 PPG 1.32
29% Win % 32%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

RCD Mallorca are 17th (42 pts). Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 8th (50 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.51 RCD Mallorca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RCD Mallorca53% Draw27% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid20%
Actual: RCD Mallorca win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.35
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

RCD Mallorca or Draw
80%
Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
47%
RCD Mallorca or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RCD Mallorca35% Draw49% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid16%
Actual: RCD Mallorca win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.3%
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 0
11.6%
2 – 0
10.5%
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
6.9%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
2%

Asian Handicap — RCD Mallorca

Handicap RCD Mallorca covers Push Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 25% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

RCD Mallorca keeps clean sheet
44%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.