Thursday , 2 July 2026

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs RCD Mallorca, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Sun 11 Jan 2026 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs RCD MallorcaLa Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Juan Martinez Munuera (Spain)
6 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 2.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan RCD Mallorca H 2–1 W
02 Jan Getafe CF H 1–1 D
21 Dec Elche CF A 0–4 L
15 Dec Real Betis Balompie H 0–0 D
07 Dec RCD Espanyol de Barcelona A 0–1 L
01 Dec Valencia CF H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 1–2 L
04 Jan Girona FC H 1–2 L
19 Dec Valencia CF A 1–1 D
13 Dec Elche CF H 3–1 W
05 Dec Real Oviedo A 0–0 D
29 Nov CA Osasuna H 2–2 D

Season Stats

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid RCD Mallorca
#8 Position #17
50 Points 42
38 Played 38
12 / 14 / 12 W / D / L 11 / 9 / 18
41 Scored 47
44 Conceded 57
-3 GD -10
1.32 PPG 1.11
32% Win % 29%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 8th (50 pts). RCD Mallorca are 17th (42 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Lineups

RCD Mallorca Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.26 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 RCD Mallorca xG
I would bet for: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid43% Draw30% RCD Mallorca27%
Actual: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.26
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Draw
73%
Draw or RCD Mallorca
57%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or RCD Mallorca
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid28% Draw51% RCD Mallorca21%
Actual: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
12.7%
1 – 0
12%
0 – 1
9.2%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3.4%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Handicap Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers Push RCD Mallorca covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 22% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
37%
RCD Mallorca keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.