Sunday , 16 August 2026

Portsmouth FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Tue 2 Apr 2024 · 19:00 UTC Fratton Park 20,129 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 23' Joe Ward
Abu Kamara 27' 1–1
1–2 35' Joe Ward
Owen Moxon 77' 2–2

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Apr Derby County FC H 2–2 D
29 Mar Wycombe Wanderers FC A 3–1 W
16 Mar Peterborough United FC A 1–0 W
12 Mar Burton Albion FC H 2–1 W
09 Mar Blackpool FC A 0–0 D
02 Mar Oxford United FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Apr Portsmouth FC A 2–2 D
29 Mar Blackpool FC H 1–0 W
23 Mar Northampton Town FC A 0–1 L
16 Mar Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–0 W
12 Mar Reading FC H 2–1 W
09 Mar Bristol Rovers FC A 3–0 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Fratton Park will turn into a battlefield for Portsmouth FC and Derby County FC.
  • 5' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 10' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Joe Rafferty has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 20' It’s a booking for Portsmouth FC player. Paddy Lane gets a card.
  • 23' Brilliant from the ! Joe Ward makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 23.
  • 27' Abu Kamara has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 27 minutes.
  • 32' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 35' Derby County FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Joe Ward on 35.
  • 40' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 40.
  • 43' Poor challenge from James Collins. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 48' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Christian Saydee suffering a number of foals already.
  • 53' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 58' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 59' Time for substitution for Portsmouth FC. Lee Evans is replaced by Owen Moxon.
  • 64' Wales international Lee Evans has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 69' Ebou Adams, a Gambia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 70' It is a substitution in Portsmouth FC team. Paddy Lane is replaced by Faustino Anjorin on 70 minute.
  • 71' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — Joe Ward exits the field as Liam Thompson enters on 71.
  • 72' A meaty challenge results in booking for Connor Ogilvie on 72.
  • 77' GOAL! Owen Moxon scores on 77. Assisted by Sean Raggett
  • 82' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Portsmouth FC and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 85' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Corey Blackett-Taylor is withdrawn and Conor Washington gets his opportunity.
  • 90' Fresh legs for Portsmouth FC! Gavin Whyte comes on to replace Abu Kamara.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.37 Portsmouth FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Portsmouth FC or Derby County FC 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Portsmouth FC42% Draw28% Derby County FC30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.58
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Portsmouth FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Derby County FC
58%
Portsmouth FC or Derby County FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Portsmouth FC28% Draw48% Derby County FC24%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
9.7%
1 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Portsmouth FC

Handicap Portsmouth FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 20% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 18% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Portsmouth FC keeps clean sheet
30%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.