Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Portsmouth FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 20 Dec 2025 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Portsmouth FCChampionship .

Match Details

  • Referee Farai Hallam (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Dec Portsmouth FC H 1–1 D
15 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC A 3–0 W
10 Dec Millwall FC H 1–1 D
06 Dec Leicester City FC H 1–3 L
29 Nov Middlesbrough FC A 1–2 L
25 Nov Swansea City AFC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Dec Derby County FC A 1–1 D
13 Dec Blackburn Rovers FC H 2–1 W
09 Dec Swansea City AFC A 0–1 L
29 Nov Bristol City FC H 0–1 L
26 Nov Sheffield United FC A 0–3 L
22 Nov Millwall FC H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Derby County FC Portsmouth FC
#8 Position #18
69 Points 55
46 Played 46
20 / 9 / 17 W / D / L 14 / 13 / 19
67 Scored 49
59 Conceded 64
+8 GD -15
1.50 PPG 1.20
43% Win % 30%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts). Portsmouth FC are 18th (55 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Derby County FC to score. At the same time, Portsmouth FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Portsmouth FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.69 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Portsmouth FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC50% Draw26% Portsmouth FC24%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Portsmouth FC
50%
Derby County FC or Portsmouth FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC36% Draw46% Portsmouth FC18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
9%
0 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
5.8%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Portsmouth FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 23% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
35%
Portsmouth FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.