Thursday , 2 July 2026

Chelsea FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC, Champions League 2025-26 LAST 16

Tue 17 Mar 2026 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Mar Paris Saint-Germain FC H 0–3 L
14 Mar Newcastle United FC H 0–1 L
11 Mar Paris Saint-Germain FC A 2–5 L
07 Mar Wrexham AFC A 4–2 W
04 Mar Aston Villa FC A 4–1 W
01 Mar Arsenal FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Mar Chelsea FC A 3–0 W
11 Mar Chelsea FC H 5–2 W
06 Mar AS Monaco FC H 1–3 L
28 Feb Le Havre AC A 1–0 W
25 Feb AS Monaco FC H 2–2 D
21 Feb FC Metz H 3–0 W

Season Stats

Chelsea FC Paris Saint-Germain FC
#6 Position #11
16 Points 14
8 Played 8
5 / 1 / 2 W / D / L 4 / 2 / 2
17 Scored 21
10 Conceded 11
+7 GD +10
2.00 PPG 1.75
63% Win % 50%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
30% Clean Sheets
Chelsea FC this season
35% Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season

Chelsea FC are 6th (16 pts). Paris Saint-Germain FC are 11th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Paris Saint-Germain FC
0-15
2/
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/
61-75
2/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Chelsea FC Lineups

Paris Saint-Germain FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.33 Chelsea FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.15 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Chelsea FC25% Draw24% Paris Saint-Germain FC51%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.48
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Chelsea FC or Draw
49%
Draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC
75%
Chelsea FC or Paris Saint-Germain FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Chelsea FC19% Draw40% Paris Saint-Germain FC41%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.6%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 2
7.1%
1 – 3
6.5%
0 – 1
6.1%
2 – 2
6%
2 – 1
5.7%
0 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
4.5%
2 – 3
4.4%
1 – 4
3.5%
1 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Chelsea FC

Handicap Chelsea FC covers Push Paris Saint-Germain FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 13% 78%
-0.5 22% 78%
+0.5 45% 55%
+1 45% 21% 34%
+1.5 66% 34%
+2 66% 17% 17%
+2.5 83% 17%

Clean Sheet

Chelsea FC keeps clean sheet
13%
Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.