Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Le Havre AC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
Sat 28 Feb 2026 · 20:05 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Le Havre AC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Marc Bollengier

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb Paris Saint-Germain FC H 0–1 L
22 Feb FC Nantes A 0–2 L
15 Feb Toulouse FC H 2–1 W
08 Feb RC Strasbourg Alsace H 2–1 W
30 Jan Racing Club de Lens A 0–1 L
24 Jan AS Monaco FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb Le Havre AC A 1–0 W
25 Feb AS Monaco FC H 2–2 D
21 Feb FC Metz H 3–0 W
17 Feb AS Monaco FC A 3–2 W
13 Feb Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 1–3 L
08 Feb Olympique de Marseille H 5–0 W

Season Stats

Le Havre AC Paris Saint-Germain FC
#18 Position #6
2 Points 8
5 Played 5
0 / 2 / 3 W / D / L 2 / 2 / 1
4 Scored 8
7 Conceded 7
-3 GD +1
0.40 PPG 1.60
0% Win % 40%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Le Havre AC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season

Le Havre AC are 18th (2 pts). Paris Saint-Germain FC are 6th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Le Havre AC
0-15
–/2
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/–
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Paris Saint-Germain FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/2
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Le Havre AC
Mbwana Samatta 2 G
Paris Saint-Germain FC
Ferran Torres 4 G
Marquinhos 3 G
Vitinha 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Le Havre AC Lineups

Paris Saint-Germain FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.02 Le Havre AC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.66 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Le Havre AC24% Draw27% Paris Saint-Germain FC49%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Le Havre AC or Draw
51%
Draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC
76%
Le Havre AC or Paris Saint-Germain FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Le Havre AC18% Draw46% Paris Saint-Germain FC36%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
9.2%
0 – 0
8.8%
1 – 0
6%
2 – 1
5.7%
1 – 3
5.2%
0 – 3
5%
2 – 2
4.8%
2 – 0
3.5%
2 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Le Havre AC

Handicap Le Havre AC covers Push Paris Saint-Germain FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 14% 78%
-0.5 22% — 78%
+0.5 49% — 51%
+1 49% 23% 28%
+1.5 72% — 28%
+2 72% 16% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

Le Havre AC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.