Thursday , 2 July 2026

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Chelsea FC, Champions League 2025-26 LAST 16

UEFA Champions League · 2025-26
Paris Saint-Germain FC
5 – 2
Full Time
Chelsea FC
Wed 11 Mar 2026 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Chelsea FC — Champions League .

Match Details

  • Referee Alejandro Hernandez Hernandez (Spain)
12 games this season 🟨 1.5/game ⚽ 5.9 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Arsenal FC 8 24
2 FC Bayern München 8 21
3 Liverpool FC 8 18
4 Tottenham Hotspur FC 8 17
5 FC Barcelona 8 16
6 Chelsea FC 8 16
7 Sporting Clube de Portugal 8 16
8 Manchester City FC 8 16
9 Real Madrid CF 8 15
10 FC Internazionale Milano 8 15
11 Paris Saint-Germain FC 8 14
12 Newcastle United FC 8 14
13 Juventus FC 8 13
14 Club Atletico de Madrid 8 13
15 Atalanta BC 8 13
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8 12
17 Borussia Dortmund 8 11
18 PAE Olympiakos SFP 8 11
19 Club Brugge KV 8 10
20 Galatasaray SK 8 10
21 AS Monaco FC 8 10
22 Qarabag Agdam FK 8 10
23 FK Bodø/Glimt 8 9
24 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 8 9
25 Olympique de Marseille 8 9
26 Paphos FC 8 9
27 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 8 9
28 PSV 8 8
29 Athletic Club 8 8
30 SSC Napoli 8 8
31 FC København 8 8
32 AFC Ajax 8 6
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 4
34 SK Slavia Praha 8 3
35 Villarreal CF 8 1
36 FK Kairat 8 1

Head-to-Head

2
1
Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 games · Avg 4.3 goals Chelsea FC
Last 5 meetings
2026-03-11 Paris Saint-Germain FC 5–2 Chelsea FC 2025-07-13 Chelsea FC 3–0 Paris Saint-Germain FC

Recent Form

Paris Saint-Germain FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Mar Chelsea FC H 5–2 W
06 Mar AS Monaco FC H 1–3 L
28 Feb Le Havre AC A 1–0 W
25 Feb AS Monaco FC H 2–2 D
21 Feb FC Metz H 3–0 W
17 Feb AS Monaco FC A 3–2 W
Chelsea FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Mar Paris Saint-Germain FC A 2–5 L
07 Mar Wrexham AFC A 4–2 W
04 Mar Aston Villa FC A 4–1 W
01 Mar Arsenal FC A 1–2 L
21 Feb Burnley FC H 1–1 D
13 Feb Hull City AFC A 4–0 W

Season Stats

Paris Saint-Germain FC Chelsea FC
#11 Position #6
14 Points 16
8 Played 8
4 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 5 / 1 / 2
21 Scored 17
11 Conceded 10
+10 GD +7
1.75 PPG 2.00
50% Win % 63%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
35% Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season
30% Clean Sheets
Chelsea FC this season

Paris Saint-Germain FC are 11th (14 pts). Chelsea FC are 6th (16 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Paris Saint-Germain FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/–
61-75
2/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Chelsea FC gets underway.
  • The final score is 5-2.

Lineups

Paris Saint-Germain FC Lineups

Chelsea FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Cole Palmer 2
Joao Pedro 1

Head to Head

2026-03-11 Paris Saint-Germain FC 5–2 Chelsea FC 2025-07-13 Chelsea FC 3–0 Paris Saint-Germain FC

Paris Saint-Germain FC Form

2026-03-11 Paris Saint-Germain FC 5–2 Chelsea FC W 2026-03-06 Paris Saint-Germain FC 1–3 AS Monaco FC L 2026-02-28 Le Havre AC 0–1 Paris Saint-Germain FC W 2026-02-25 Paris Saint-Germain FC 2–2 AS Monaco FC D 2026-02-21 Paris Saint-Germain FC 3–0 FC Metz W 2026-02-17 AS Monaco FC 2–3 Paris Saint-Germain FC W

Chelsea FC Form

2026-03-11 Paris Saint-Germain FC 5–2 Chelsea FC L 2026-03-07 Wrexham AFC 2–4 Chelsea FC W 2026-03-04 Aston Villa FC 1–4 Chelsea FC W 2026-03-01 Arsenal FC 2–1 Chelsea FC L 2026-02-21 Chelsea FC 1–1 Burnley FC D 2026-02-13 Hull City AFC 0–4 Chelsea FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.46 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.11 Chelsea FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Paris Saint-Germain FC48% Draw21% Chelsea FC31%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes79% 0% No21%
Avg goals/match: 4.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 82%
18%
± 3.5 65%
35%
± 4.5 47%
53%

Double Chance

Paris Saint-Germain FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Chelsea FC
52%
Paris Saint-Germain FC or Chelsea FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Paris Saint-Germain FC36% Draw35% Chelsea FC29%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–2 not predicted
5 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.5%
1 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
5.3%
2 – 3
4.7%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 3
3.8%
4 – 2
3.4%
2 – 0
3.3%
4 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Paris Saint-Germain FC

Handicap Paris Saint-Germain FC covers Push Chelsea FC covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 13% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 18% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 15% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 10% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓
Chelsea FC keeps clean sheet
9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.