Toulouse FC vs Paris FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toulouse FC vs Paris FC — Ligue 1 .
- Toulouse FC 10 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
- Paris FC 10 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Benoit Millot
7 games this season
🟨 4.7/game
⚽ 14.1 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | Lille OSC | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 10 | 20 |
| 4 | Olympique de Marseille | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | Olympique Lyonnais | 10 | 17 |
| 6 | OGC Nice | 10 | 17 |
| 7 | AS Monaco FC | 10 | 16 |
| 8 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 10 | 16 |
| 9 | Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Lorient | 10 | 15 |
| 11 | Racing Club de Lens | 10 | 13 |
| 12 | Toulouse FC | 10 | 13 |
| 13 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 10 | 10 |
| 14 | AJ Auxerre | 10 | 10 |
| 15 | Le Mans FC | 10 | 8 |
| 16 | Angers SCO | 10 | 8 |
| 17 | ES Troyes AC | 10 | 8 |
| 18 | Le Havre AC | 10 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb | Paris FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Feb | Le Havre AC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Feb | Angers SCO | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Feb | AJ Auxerre | H | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Jan | Stade Brestois 29 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Jan | OGC Nice | H | 5–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb | Toulouse FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Feb | Racing Club de Lens | H | 0–5 | L |
| 08 Feb | AJ Auxerre | A | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Jan | Olympique de Marseille | H | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Jan | Angers SCO | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Jan | FC Nantes | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Toulouse FC | Paris FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #3 |
| 13 | Points | 20 |
| 10 | Played | 10 |
| 3 / 4 / 3 | W / D / L | 6 / 2 / 2 |
| 15 | Scored | 17 |
| 14 | Conceded | 10 |
| +1 | GD | +7 |
| 1.30 | PPG | 2.00 |
| 30% | Win % | 60% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
Toulouse FC this season
40%
Clean Sheets
Paris FC this season
Paris FC this season
Toulouse FC are 12th (13 pts). Paris FC are 3rd (20 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toulouse FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
8/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Paris FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/4
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Toulouse FC
| Casper Tengstedt | 5 G | 1 A |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jacen Russell-Rowe | 2 G | |
| Christ Tape | 1 G |
Paris FC
| Lassine Sinayoko | 9 G | 5 A |
| Pablo Pagis | 2 G | 2 A |
| Maxime Lopez | 2 G | 1 A |
| Vincent Marchetti | 1 G | |
| Samir Chergui | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at . toulouse fc are looking to make home advantage count against paris fc.
- will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Toulouse FC Lineups
Paris FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rhys Healey | 2 |
| Bafode Diakite | 2 |
| Vakoun Issouf Bayo | 2 |
| Said Arab | 1 |
| Moustapha Name | 1 |
| Morgan Guilavogui | 1 |
| Warren Caddy | 1 |
| Julien Lopez Baila | 1 |
Head to Head
Toulouse FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.31
Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31
Paris FC xG
I would bet for:
Toulouse FC or Paris FC 72%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Toulouse FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Paris FC
60%
Toulouse FC or Paris FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Paris FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.4%
1 – 0
8.5%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 0
6.1%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 0
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC
| Handicap | Toulouse FC covers | Push | Paris FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 19% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 19% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Paris FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

