Saturday , 14 November 2026

Toulouse FC vs Paris FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
1 – 1
Full Time
Sat 21 Feb 2026 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs Paris FC — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Benoit Millot
7 games this season 🟨 4.7/game ⚽ 14.1 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb Paris FC H 1–1 D
15 Feb Le Havre AC A 1–2 L
08 Feb Angers SCO A 0–1 L
01 Feb AJ Auxerre H 0–0 D
25 Jan Stade Brestois 29 A 2–0 W
17 Jan OGC Nice H 5–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb Toulouse FC A 1–1 D
14 Feb Racing Club de Lens H 0–5 L
08 Feb AJ Auxerre A 0–0 D
31 Jan Olympique de Marseille H 2–2 D
25 Jan Angers SCO H 0–0 D
18 Jan FC Nantes A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Toulouse FC Paris FC
#12 Position #3
13 Points 20
10 Played 10
3 / 4 / 3 W / D / L 6 / 2 / 2
15 Scored 17
14 Conceded 10
+1 GD +7
1.30 PPG 2.00
30% Win % 60%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
40% Clean Sheets
Paris FC this season

Toulouse FC are 12th (13 pts). Paris FC are 3rd (20 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toulouse FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
8/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Paris FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/4
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toulouse FC
Casper Tengstedt 5 G 1 A
Thomas Jorgensen 3 G 1 A
Jacen Russell-Rowe 2 G
Christ Tape 1 G
Paris FC
Lassine Sinayoko 9 G 5 A
Pablo Pagis 2 G 2 A
Maxime Lopez 2 G 1 A
Vincent Marchetti 1 G
Samir Chergui 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at . toulouse fc are looking to make home advantage count against paris fc.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

Paris FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.31 Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31 Paris FC xG
I would bet for: Toulouse FC or Paris FC 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Toulouse FC40% Draw28% Paris FC32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Paris FC
60%
Toulouse FC or Paris FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toulouse FC26% Draw48% Paris FC26%
Actual: Paris FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.4%
1 – 0
8.5%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 0
6.1%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 0
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap Toulouse FC covers Push Paris FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 19% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Paris FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.