Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Toulouse FC vs Paris FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
Toulouse FC
1 – 1
Full Time
Paris FC
Sat 21 Feb 2026 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs Paris FC — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Benoit Millot
4 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 9.0 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 AS Monaco FC 5 13
2 Olympique Lyonnais 5 11
3 Paris FC 5 11
4 Lille OSC 5 10
5 Stade Rennais FC 1901 5 10
6 Paris Saint-Germain FC 5 8
7 Angers SCO 5 7
8 RC Strasbourg Alsace 5 7
9 Le Mans FC 5 6
10 AJ Auxerre 5 6
11 Stade Brestois 29 5 5
12 FC Lorient 5 5
13 Toulouse FC 5 5
14 OGC Nice 5 5
15 Racing Club de Lens 5 4
16 ES Troyes AC 5 4
17 Olympique de Marseille 5 3
18 Le Havre AC 5 2

Head-to-Head

3
2
1
Toulouse FC 6 games · Avg 2.8 goals Paris FC
Last 5 meetings
2026-02-21 Toulouse FC 1–1 Paris FC 2025-12-13 Paris FC 0–3 Toulouse FC 2022-04-02 Toulouse FC 2–1 Paris FC 2021-10-23 Paris FC 2–2 Toulouse FC 2021-05-01 Paris FC 3–1 Toulouse FC

Recent Form

Toulouse FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb Paris FC H 1–1 D
15 Feb Le Havre AC A 1–2 L
08 Feb Angers SCO A 0–1 L
01 Feb AJ Auxerre H 0–0 D
25 Jan Stade Brestois 29 A 2–0 W
17 Jan OGC Nice H 5–1 W
Paris FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb Toulouse FC A 1–1 D
14 Feb Racing Club de Lens H 0–5 L
08 Feb AJ Auxerre A 0–0 D
31 Jan Olympique de Marseille H 2–2 D
25 Jan Angers SCO H 0–0 D
18 Jan FC Nantes A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Toulouse FC Paris FC
#13 Position #3
5 Points 11
5 Played 5
1 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 0
7 Scored 8
9 Conceded 3
-2 GD +5
1.00 PPG 2.20
20% Win % 60%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
60% Clean Sheets
Paris FC this season

Toulouse FC are 13th (5 pts). Paris FC are 3rd (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toulouse FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/3
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Paris FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
–/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toulouse FC
Casper Tengstedt 3 G
Thomas Jorgensen 2 G 1 A
Jacen Russell-Rowe 1 G
Christ Tape 1 G
Paris FC
Lassine Sinayoko 4 G 1 A
Vincent Marchetti 1 G
Samir Chergui 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

Paris FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Rhys Healey 2
Bafode Diakite 2
Vakoun Issouf Bayo 2
Florian Martin 1
Said Arab 1
Moustapha Name 1
Morgan Guilavogui 1
Warren Caddy 1

Head to Head

2026-02-21 Toulouse FC 1–1 Paris FC 2025-12-13 Paris FC 0–3 Toulouse FC 2022-04-02 Toulouse FC 2–1 Paris FC 2021-10-23 Paris FC 2–2 Toulouse FC 2021-05-01 Paris FC 3–1 Toulouse FC

Toulouse FC Form

2026-02-21 Toulouse FC 1–1 Paris FC D 2026-02-15 Le Havre AC 2–1 Toulouse FC L 2026-02-08 Angers SCO 1–0 Toulouse FC L 2026-02-01 Toulouse FC 0–0 AJ Auxerre D 2026-01-25 Stade Brestois 29 0–2 Toulouse FC W 2026-01-17 Toulouse FC 5–1 OGC Nice W

Paris FC Form

2026-02-21 Toulouse FC 1–1 Paris FC D 2026-02-14 Paris FC 0–5 Racing Club de Lens L 2026-02-08 AJ Auxerre 0–0 Paris FC D 2026-01-31 Paris FC 2–2 Olympique de Marseille D 2026-01-25 Paris FC 0–0 Angers SCO D 2026-01-18 FC Nantes 1–2 Paris FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.06 Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5 Paris FC xG
I would bet for: Toulouse FC or Paris FC 73%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Toulouse FC33% Draw27% Paris FC40%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Paris FC
67%
Toulouse FC or Paris FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toulouse FC20% Draw48% Paris FC32%
Actual: Paris FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
10.6%
0 – 0
9.7%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
7.1%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 0
4.2%
0 – 3
4.2%
2 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap Toulouse FC covers Push Paris FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 15% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 54% — 46%
+1 54% 22% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 14% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
Paris FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.