Toulouse FC vs Paris FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Ligue 1 · 2025-26

Toulouse FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Paris FC

Sat 21 Feb 2026 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs Paris FC — Ligue 1 .

Toulouse FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Paris FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Benoit Millot

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Nantes	34	24
2	FC Metz	34	17
3	Paris Saint-Germain FC	0	0
4	Racing Club de Lens	0	0
5	Lille OSC	0	0
6	Olympique Lyonnais	0	0
7	Olympique de Marseille	0	0
8	Stade Rennais FC 1901	0	0
9	AS Monaco FC	0	0
10	RC Strasbourg Alsace	0	0
11	Toulouse FC	0	0
12	FC Lorient	0	0
13	Paris FC	0	0
14	Stade Brestois 29	0	0
15	ES Troyes AC	0	0
16	Angers SCO	0	0
17	Le Mans FC	0	0
18	Le Havre AC	0	0
19	AJ Auxerre	0	0
20	OGC Nice	0	0

Head-to-Head

Toulouse FC 6 games · Avg 2.8 goals Paris FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-21 Toulouse FC 1–1 Paris FC 2025-12-13 Paris FC 0–3 Toulouse FC 2022-04-02 Toulouse FC 2–1 Paris FC 2021-10-23 Paris FC 2–2 Toulouse FC 2021-05-01 Paris FC 3–1 Toulouse FC

Recent Form

Toulouse FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Feb	Paris FC	H	1–1	D
15 Feb	Le Havre AC	A	1–2	L
08 Feb	Angers SCO	A	0–1	L
01 Feb	AJ Auxerre	H	0–0	D
25 Jan	Stade Brestois 29	A	2–0	W
17 Jan	OGC Nice	H	5–1	W

Paris FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Feb	Toulouse FC	A	1–1	D
14 Feb	Racing Club de Lens	H	0–5	L
08 Feb	AJ Auxerre	A	0–0	D
31 Jan	Olympique de Marseille	H	2–2	D
25 Jan	Angers SCO	H	0–0	D
18 Jan	FC Nantes	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

Toulouse FC		Paris FC
#11	Position	#13
0	Points	0
0	Played	0
0 / 0 / 0	W / D / L	0 / 0 / 0
0	Scored	0
0	Conceded	0
+0	GD	+0
–	PPG	–
–	Win %	–

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Toulouse FC are 11th (0 pts). Paris FC are 13th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

Paris FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Rhys Healey	2
Bafode Diakite	2
Vakoun Issouf Bayo	2
Morgan Guilavogui	1
Warren Caddy	1
Julien Lopez Baila	1
Stijn Spierings	1
Florian Martin	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

0.72 Toulouse FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.53 Paris FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 86% + Toulouse FC or Draw 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Toulouse FC38% Draw39% Paris FC23%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes23% 0% No77%

Avg goals/match: 1.25

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	69%	31%
± 1.5	36%	64%
± 2.5	14%	86%
± 3.5	5%	95%
± 4.5	1%	99%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw

77%

Draw or Paris FC

62%

Toulouse FC or Paris FC

61%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Toulouse FC20% Draw67% Paris FC13%

Actual: Paris FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

31.3%

1 – 0

18.9%

0 – 1

13.4%

1 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

6.8%

2 – 1

4.2%

0 – 2

3.6%

1 – 2

3 – 0

1.6%

2 – 2

1.3%

3 – 1

1.1%

0 – 3

0.6%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap	Toulouse FC covers	Push	Paris FC covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	8%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	23%	66%
-0.5	34%	—	66%
+0.5	78%	—	22%
+1	78%	17%	5%
+1.5	95%	—	5%
+2	95%	4%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet

59% ✗

Paris FC keeps clean sheet

49% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.