Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 at Parc des Princes.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC 10 games · 23 pts (2026/27)
- Toulouse FC 10 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Eric Wattellier
- Assistant 1 Cedric Favre
- Assistant 2 Florian Goncalves de Araujo (France)
7 games this season
🟨 3.3/game
⚽ 14.9 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | Lille OSC | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 10 | 20 |
| 4 | Olympique de Marseille | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | Olympique Lyonnais | 10 | 17 |
| 6 | OGC Nice | 10 | 17 |
| 7 | AS Monaco FC | 10 | 16 |
| 8 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 10 | 16 |
| 9 | Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Lorient | 10 | 15 |
| 11 | Racing Club de Lens | 10 | 13 |
| 12 | Toulouse FC | 10 | 13 |
| 13 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 10 | 10 |
| 14 | AJ Auxerre | 10 | 10 |
| 15 | Le Mans FC | 10 | 8 |
| 16 | Angers SCO | 10 | 8 |
| 17 | ES Troyes AC | 10 | 8 |
| 18 | Le Havre AC | 10 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr | Toulouse FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Mar | OGC Nice | A | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Mar | Chelsea FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Mar | Chelsea FC | H | 5–2 | W |
| 06 Mar | AS Monaco FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 28 Feb | Le Havre AC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr | Paris Saint-Germain FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Mar | FC Lorient | H | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | FC Metz | A | 4–3 | W |
| 07 Mar | Olympique de Marseille | H | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Feb | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Feb | Paris FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Paris Saint-Germain FC | Toulouse FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #12 |
| 23 | Points | 13 |
| 10 | Played | 10 |
| 7 / 2 / 1 | W / D / L | 3 / 4 / 3 |
| 22 | Scored | 15 |
| 10 | Conceded | 14 |
| +12 | GD | +1 |
| 2.30 | PPG | 1.30 |
| 70% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
30%
Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season
20%
Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
Toulouse FC this season
Paris Saint-Germain FC are 1st (23 pts). Toulouse FC are 12th (13 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Paris Saint-Germain FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/2
76+
7/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toulouse FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
8/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Paris Saint-Germain FC
| Ferran Torres | 4 G | 1 A |
| Achraf Hakimi | 3 G | 2 A |
| Marquinhos | 3 G | |
| Mika Godts | 2 G | 1 A |
| Senny Mayulu | 2 G | 1 A |
Toulouse FC
| Casper Tengstedt | 5 G | 1 A |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jacen Russell-Rowe | 2 G | |
| Christ Tape | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: toulouse fc gets underway.
- 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Carles Martínez might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 15' A quiet spell here at Parc des Princes. toulouse fc seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 20' Dayann Methalie needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 23' Ousmane Dembele puts Paris Saint-Germain FC on the lead.
- 27' The deadlock is broken! Rasmus Nicolaisen gets on the scoresheet on 27 minutes.
- 32' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 33' A stunning finish from Ousmane Dembele — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 36' That looks like a foul for a card for Cristian Casseres Jr..
- 41' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 46' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Carles Martínez will be considering his options from the bench.
- 51' Achraf Hakimi has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
- 56' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 59' Kang-in Lee makes way for Joao Neves at the 59 minute mark. A tactical switch from Paris Saint-Germain FC.
- 64' Over 64 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 67' A tactical swap from Toulouse FC — Warren Kamanzi on, Dayann Methalie off on 67 minutes.
- 68' A tactical swap from Paris Saint-Germain FC — Nuno Mendes on, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia off on 68 minutes.
- 73' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 78' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ilyas Azizi made 428 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 83' It is a substitution in Toulouse FC team. Cristian Casseres Jr. is replaced by Mario Sauer on 83 minute.
- 87' It is a substitution in Paris Saint-Germain FC team. Desire Doue is replaced by Goncalo Ramos on 87 minute.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. paris saint-germain fc take all three points.
Lineups
Paris Saint-Germain FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2
- 21
- 10
- 39
- 7
- 6
-
4
Lucas Beraldo ↓ Vitinha 67'
- 51
-
14
Desire Doue ↓ Goncalo Ramos 87'
- 33
-
19
Kang-in Lee ↓ Joao Neves 59'
Bench
- 5
-
9
Goncalo Ramos ↑ 87'
-
25
Nuno Mendes ↑ 68'
- 30
-
17
Vitinha ↑ 67'
-
87
Joao Neves ↑ 59'
- 89
- 49
- 27
Coach
Luis Enrique
Toulouse FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
19
Djibril Sidibe ↓ Ilyas Azizi 83'
- 10
- 23
- 3
- 2
-
20
Emersonn ↓ Jacen Russell-Rowe 83'
- 1
- 18
- 15
- 24
- 35
Bench
-
13
Jacen Russell-Rowe ↑ 83'
- 16
-
12
Warren Kamanzi ↑ 67'
-
77
Mario Sauer ↑ 83'
- 45
- 40
-
37
Ilyas Azizi ↑ 83'
- 7
- 44
Coach
Carles Martínez
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kylian Mbappe | 4 |
| Maxim Choupo-Moting | 2 |
| Neymar | 2 |
| Ousmane Dembele | 2 |
| Edinson Cavani | 1 |
| Yann Gboho | 1 |
| Thijs Dallinga | 1 |
| Marquinhos | 1 |
Head to Head
Paris Saint-Germain FC Form
2026-04-03
Paris Saint-Germain FC
3–1
Toulouse FC
W
2026-03-21
OGC Nice
0–4
Paris Saint-Germain FC
W
2026-03-17
Chelsea FC
0–3
Paris Saint-Germain FC
W
2026-03-11
Paris Saint-Germain FC
5–2
Chelsea FC
W
2026-03-06
Paris Saint-Germain FC
1–3
AS Monaco FC
L
2026-02-28
Le Havre AC
0–1
Paris Saint-Germain FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.66
Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33
Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.99
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 4.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
Double Chance
Paris Saint-Germain FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Toulouse FC
36%
Paris Saint-Germain FC or Toulouse FC
81%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.5%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
7.3%
2 – 0
6.7%
3 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
5.6%
4 – 1
4.9%
3 – 2
4.9%
1 – 0
4.7%
1 – 2
4.3%
4 – 0
3.8%
4 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Paris Saint-Germain FC
| Handicap | Paris Saint-Germain FC covers | Push | Toulouse FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -2 | 26% | 18% | 56% |
| -1.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| -1 | 44% | 20% | 36% |
| -0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

