Sunday , 16 August 2026

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs FC Lorient, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
Sat 2 May 2026 · 15:00 UTC Parc des Princes HT 45' · FT 45'
Ibrahim M'Baye 6' 1–0
1–1 12' Pablo Pagis
Warren Zaire-Emery 62' 2–1
2–2 78' Aiyegun Tosin

Overview

Match Preview

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs FC LorientLigue 1 at Parc des Princes.

Match Details

  • Referee Bastien Dechepy
  • Assistant 1 Julien Haulbert
  • Assistant 2 Gwenael Pasqualotti

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May FC Lorient H 2–2 D
28 Apr FC Bayern München H 5–4 W
25 Apr Angers SCO A 3–0 W
22 Apr FC Nantes H 3–0 W
19 Apr Olympique Lyonnais H 1–2 L
14 Apr Liverpool FC A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May Paris Saint-Germain FC A 2–2 D
26 Apr RC Strasbourg Alsace H 2–3 L
18 Apr Olympique de Marseille H 2–0 W
12 Apr Olympique Lyonnais A 0–2 L
05 Apr Paris FC H 1–1 D
21 Mar Toulouse FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Paris Saint-Germain FC FC Lorient
#3 Position #12
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Paris Saint-Germain FC are 3rd (0 pts). FC Lorient are 12th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Paris Saint-Germain FC and FC Lorient get this one started.
  • 5' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 6' Goal! Ibrahim M'Baye scores his 4 goal in 520 matches.
  • 11' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 12' Pablo Pagis does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Lorient surge ahead!
  • 17' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Luis Enrique will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 22' France international Lucas Hernandez has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 27' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Abdoulaye Faye made 62 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 32' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 37' William Pacho needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 42' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Paris Saint-Germain FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 47' A meaty challenge results in booking for Lucas Hernandez on 47.
  • 52' Bradley Barcola has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
  • 57' Fabian Ruiz has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
  • 62' Sensational shot from Warren Zaire-Emery. Paris Saint-Germain FC is back in the lead.
  • 67' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 67 minutes.
  • 72' The home supporters are growing impatient. Paris Saint-Germain FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 77' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 78' Aiyegun Tosin has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 78 minutes.
  • 83' Paris Saint-Germain FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Lorient backline.
  • 88' It is a cagey affair so far. Paris Saint-Germain FC in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past FC Lorient's compact 3-4-2-1.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Darlin Yongwa. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • The final score is 2-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.06 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78 FC Lorient xG
I would bet for: Paris Saint-Germain FC or Draw 76% + Under 2.5 goals 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Paris Saint-Germain FC44% Draw32% FC Lorient24%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 1.84
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 55%
45%
± 2.5 28%
72%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Paris Saint-Germain FC or Draw
76%
Draw or FC Lorient
56%
Paris Saint-Germain FC or FC Lorient
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Paris Saint-Germain FC26% Draw57% FC Lorient17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18.4%
1 – 0
15.5%
1 – 1
14%
0 – 1
10.9%
2 – 0
8.5%
2 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 0
3%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
2.5%
1 – 3
1.3%

Asian Handicap — Paris Saint-Germain FC

Handicap Paris Saint-Germain FC covers Push FC Lorient covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 24% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 17% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
47%
FC Lorient keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.