Sunday , 16 August 2026

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Aston Villa FC, Champions League 2024-25 QUARTER FINALS

Wed 9 Apr 2025 · 19:00 UTC Parc des Princes 47,681 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 35' Morgan Rogers
Desire Doue 39' 1–1
Nuno Mendes 90+2' 3–1
Y 17' Matty Cash

Overview

Match Preview

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Aston Villa FCChampions League at Parc des Princes.

Match Details

  • Referee Maurizio Mariani
  • Assistant 1 Daniele Bindoni
  • Assistant 2 Alberto Tegoni
11 games this season 🟨 1.4/game 5.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
1
Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals Aston Villa FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Apr Aston Villa FC H 3–1 W
05 Apr Angers SCO H 1–0 W
29 Mar AS Saint-Étienne A 6–1 W
16 Mar Olympique de Marseille H 3–1 W
11 Mar Liverpool FC A 5–1 W
08 Mar Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Apr Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–3 L
05 Apr Nottingham Forest FC H 2–1 W
02 Apr Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 3–0 W
30 Mar Preston North End FC A 3–0 W
12 Mar Club Brugge KV H 3–0 W
08 Mar Brentford FC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
35% Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Paris Saint-Germain FC
0-15
2/
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/
61-75
2/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Paris Saint-Germain FC
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 10 G 6 A
Ousmane Dembele 8 G 2 A
Vitinha 6 G 1 A
Desire Doue 5 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Paris Saint-Germain FC to score. At the same time, Aston Villa FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Axel Disasi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Morgan Rogers made 377 appearances and scored 31 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 17' Aston Villa FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 17.
  • 22' Over 22 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 27' It looks surprising Paris Saint-Germain FC does not make any changes. Pau Torres has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 32' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 35' What a moment for Morgan Rogers! That strike on 35 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 39' Magnificent from Desire Doue! That is 25 goals in 422 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 44' Paris Saint-Germain FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Aston Villa FC backline.
  • 46' The Aston Villa FC manager makes a substitution. Matty Cash departs to be replaced by Axel Disasi.
  • 49' Sensational shot from Khvicha Kvaratskhelia. Paris Saint-Germain FC is back in the lead.
  • 54' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lucas Digne, as he is very good at scoring at Parc des Princes with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 59' Aston Villa FC make a change. Jacob Ramsey trudges off to be replaced by Marco Asensio on 59 minutes.
  • 64' The home supporters are growing impatient. Paris Saint-Germain FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 69' It’s high time Luis Enrique made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 72' Paris Saint-Germain FC ring the changes. Fabian Ruiz has done his job and it is now time for Warren Zaire-Emery to step up.
  • 77' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 79' The Aston Villa FC bench stirs into life. Marcus Rashford is withdrawn and Ollie Watkins gets his opportunity.
  • 80' Youri Tielemans makes way for Ian Maatsen at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Aston Villa FC.
  • 85' Lucas Beraldo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 90' Paris Saint-Germain FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Goncalo Ramos is hanging Khvicha Kvaratskhelia on the field on 90 minute.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Paris Saint-Germain FC 3-1 Aston Villa FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.79 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Paris Saint-Germain FC52% Draw25% Aston Villa FC23%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.94
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Paris Saint-Germain FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
48%
Paris Saint-Germain FC or Aston Villa FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Paris Saint-Germain FC37% Draw44% Aston Villa FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 0
8.7%
2 – 0
8.4%
0 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
5.4%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 0
4.9%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Paris Saint-Germain FC

Handicap Paris Saint-Germain FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 22% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
32%
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.