Thursday , 2 July 2026

AS Saint-Étienne vs Paris Saint-Germain FC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sat 29 Mar 2025 · 18:00 UTC Stade Geoffroy Guichard 37,108 HT 45' · FT 45'
Lucas Stassin 9' 1–0
1–1 43' Goncalo Ramos pen
1–3 53' Desire Doue
1–4 62' Joao Neves
1–5 66' Desire Doue
1–6 90' Ibrahim M'Baye

Overview

Match Preview

AS Saint-Étienne vs Paris Saint-Germain FCLigue 1 at Stade Geoffroy Guichard.

Match Details

  • Referee Jeremy Stinat
  • Assistant 1 Hicham Zakrani
  • Assistant 2 Aurelien Berthomieu

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–6 L
09 Mar Le Havre AC A 1–1 D
01 Mar OGC Nice H 1–3 L
22 Feb Angers SCO H 3–3 D
15 Feb Olympique de Marseille A 1–5 L
08 Feb Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar AS Saint-Étienne A 6–1 W
16 Mar Olympique de Marseille H 3–1 W
11 Mar Liverpool FC A 5–1 W
08 Mar Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 4–1 W
05 Mar Liverpool FC H 0–1 L
01 Mar Lille OSC H 4–1 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
78% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: AS Saint-Etienne gets underway.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lucas Stassin, as he is very good at scoring at Stade Geoffroy Guichard with 8 goals in the last 7 games.
  • 9' What a strike from Lucas Stassin! The score is 1-0.
  • 14' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AS Saint-Etienne that had 427 games and scored 380 goals.
  • 19' Paris Saint-Germain FC is showing some good football. However, Paris Saint-Germain FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 24' It looks like no one’s ball. AS Saint-Etienne is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 26' The referee calls foul for Benjamin Bouchouari. He receives a card.
  • 31' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 36' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 41' It looks surprising Paris Saint-Germain FC does not make any changes. Gautier Larsonneur has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 43' What an equalizer from Goncalo Ramos!
  • 48' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 50' GOAL! Khvicha Kvaratskhelia scores on 50.
  • 53' Goal! Desire Doue scores his 24 goal in 422 matches.
  • 57' The whistle greets Warren Zaire-Emery as he departs to be replaced by Vitinha.
  • 62' What a strike from Joao Neves! The score is 1-4.
  • 63' Another substitution for AS Saint-Etienne to replace Florian Tardieu by Louis Mouton on 63 minute.
  • 64' The supporters are chanting for Nuno Mendes. He replaces William Pacho on 64 minute.
  • 66' What a strike from Desire Doue! The score is 1-5.
  • 68' Yvann Macon was booked on 68.
  • 73' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 78' Aimen Moueffek has so much to prove this time. He replaces Irvin Cardona on 78 minute.
  • 83' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 88' Bradley Barcola has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 90' What a strike from Ibrahim M'Baye! The score is 1-6.
  • 90' AS Saint-Etienne manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Dennis Appiah is hanging Yvann Macon on the field on 90 minute.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for AS Saint-Etienne.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.25 AS Saint-Étienne xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.65 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AS Saint-Étienne18% Draw20% Paris Saint-Germain FC62%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.9
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 54%
46%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

AS Saint-Étienne or Draw
38%
Draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC
82%
AS Saint-Étienne or Paris Saint-Germain FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AS Saint-Étienne15% Draw35% Paris Saint-Germain FC50%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–6 not predicted
1 – 6
Actual
1 – 2
8.7%
1 – 3
7.5%
1 – 1
7.5%
0 – 2
7.2%
0 – 3
6.2%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 1
5.1%
1 – 4
5%
2 – 3
4.7%
2 – 1
4.1%
0 – 4
4.1%
2 – 4
3.2%

Asian Handicap — AS Saint-Étienne

Handicap AS Saint-Étienne covers Push Paris Saint-Germain FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 9% 84%
-0.5 16% 84%
+0.5 34% 66%
+1 34% 20% 46%
+1.5 54% 46%
+2 54% 19% 27%
+2.5 73% 27%

Clean Sheet

AS Saint-Étienne keeps clean sheet
8%
Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.