Wednesday , 7 October 2026

Palermo FC vs Padova Calcio, Serie B 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2025-26
Palermo FC
1 – 0
Full Time
Padova Calcio
Sat 27 Dec 2025 · 16:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Palermo FC vs Padova Calcio — Serie B .

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Piccinini

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Palermo FC 5 13
2 FC Sudtirol 5 11
3 Mantova 1911 SSD 5 11
4 Modena FC 2018 5 10
5 Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC 5 10
6 Padova Calcio 5 7
7 Benevento Calcio 5 7
8 Hellas Verona FC 5 7
9 AC Cesena 5 7
10 Calcio Avellino SSD 5 7
11 AC Pisa 1909 5 7
12 SS Arezzo 5 6
13 Empoli FC 5 6
14 ACD Virtus Entella 5 5
15 L.R. Vicenza Virtus 5 5
16 US Cremonese 5 5
17 UC Sampdoria 5 4
18 SS Juve Stabia 5 3
19 US Catanzaro 5 3
20 Carrarese Calcio 5 1

Head-to-Head

3
Palermo FC 3 games · Avg 1.7 goals Padova Calcio
Last 5 meetings
2025-12-27 Palermo FC 1–0 Padova Calcio

Recent Form

Palermo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Dec Padova Calcio H 1–0 W
20 Dec Calcio Avellino SSD A 2–2 D
12 Dec UC Sampdoria H 1–0 W
07 Dec Empoli FC A 3–1 W
29 Nov Carrarese Calcio H 5–0 W
22 Nov ACD Virtus Entella A 1–1 D
Padova Calcio
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Dec Palermo FC A 0–1 L
20 Dec UC Sampdoria H 1–1 D
13 Dec AC Reggiana A 2–1 W
08 Dec AC Cesena H 1–1 D
29 Nov Delfino Pescara 1936 A 1–0 W
22 Nov Venezia FC H 0–2 L

Season Stats

Palermo FC Padova Calcio
#1 Position #6
13 Points 7
5 Played 5
4 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 2
10 Scored 5
5 Conceded 6
+5 GD -1
2.60 PPG 1.40
80% Win % 40%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Palermo FC this season
40% Clean Sheets
Padova Calcio this season

Palermo FC are 1st (13 pts). Padova Calcio are 6th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Palermo FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/2
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Padova Calcio
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/1
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Palermo FC
Dennis Johnsen 3 G 4 A
Dominic Vavassori 2 G
Tommaso Augello 1 G 1 A
Filippo Ranocchia 1 G
Padova Calcio
Pietro Fusi 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Palermo FC Lineups

Padova Calcio Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.68 Palermo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.51 Padova Calcio xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 67% + Palermo FC to win 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Palermo FC63% Draw24% Padova Calcio13%
Actual: Palermo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes33% 0% No67%
Avg goals/match: 2.19
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Palermo FC or Draw
88%
Draw or Padova Calcio
37%
Palermo FC or Padova Calcio
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Palermo FC43% Draw49% Padova Calcio8%
Actual: Palermo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
15.4%
0 – 0
13.3%
1 – 1
10.1%
3 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
7.8%
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 1
4.5%
4 – 0
3.6%
1 – 2
2.3%
2 – 2
2%
4 – 1
2%

Asian Handicap — Palermo FC

Handicap Palermo FC covers Push Padova Calcio covers
-2.5 17% — 83%
-2 17% 21% 62%
-1.5 38% — 62%
-1 38% 27% 35%
-0.5 65% — 35%
+0.5 91% — 9%
+1 91% 7% 2%
+1.5 98% — 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

Palermo FC keeps clean sheet
61% ✓
Padova Calcio keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.