Thursday , 2 July 2026

Palermo FC vs Padova Calcio, Serie B 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2025-26
Palermo FC
1 – 0
Full Time
Padova Calcio
Sat 27 Dec 2025 · 16:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Palermo FC vs Padova Calcio — Serie B .

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Piccinini
11 games this season 🟨 1.1/game ⚽ 6.5 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Venezia FC 38 82
2 Frosinone Calcio 38 81
3 AC Monza 38 76
4 Palermo FC 38 72
5 US Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena FC 2018 38 55
7 SS Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Calcio Avellino SSD 38 49
9 Mantova 1911 SSD 38 46
10 Padova Calcio 38 46
11 AC Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Calcio 38 44
13 UC Sampdoria 38 44
14 ACD Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli FC 38 41
16 FC Sudtirol 38 41
17 SSC Bari 38 40
18 AC Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Calcio 38 35
20 Delfino Pescara 1936 38 35

Head-to-Head

2
Palermo FC 2 games · Avg 1.0 goals Padova Calcio
Last 5 meetings
2025-12-27 Palermo FC 1–0 Padova Calcio

Recent Form

Palermo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Dec Padova Calcio H 1–0 W
20 Dec Calcio Avellino SSD A 2–2 D
12 Dec UC Sampdoria H 1–0 W
07 Dec Empoli FC A 3–1 W
29 Nov Carrarese Calcio H 5–0 W
22 Nov ACD Virtus Entella A 1–1 D
Padova Calcio
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Dec Palermo FC A 0–1 L
20 Dec UC Sampdoria H 1–1 D
13 Dec AC Reggiana A 2–1 W
08 Dec AC Cesena H 1–1 D
29 Nov Delfino Pescara 1936 A 1–0 W
22 Nov Venezia FC H 0–2 L

Season Stats

Palermo FC Padova Calcio
#4 Position #10
72 Points 46
38 Played 38
20 / 12 / 6 W / D / L 12 / 10 / 16
61 Scored 39
33 Conceded 49
+28 GD -10
1.89 PPG 1.21
53% Win % 32%

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
45% Clean Sheets
Palermo FC this season
24% Clean Sheets
Padova Calcio this season

Palermo FC are 4th (72 pts). Padova Calcio are 10th (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Palermo FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Padova Calcio
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Palermo FC Lineups

Padova Calcio Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.57 Palermo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.48 Padova Calcio xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 69% + Under 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Palermo FC62% Draw26% Padova Calcio12%
Actual: Palermo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes31% 0% No69%
Avg goals/match: 2.05
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Palermo FC or Draw
87%
Draw or Padova Calcio
38%
Palermo FC or Padova Calcio
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Palermo FC41% Draw51% Padova Calcio8%
Actual: Palermo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
15.3%
0 – 0
15.1%
1 – 1
10.2%
3 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
7.5%
0 – 1
5.1%
3 – 1
4%
4 – 0
3.1%
1 – 2
2.2%
2 – 2
1.8%
4 – 1
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Palermo FC

Handicap Palermo FC covers Push Padova Calcio covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 20% 65%
-1.5 35% — 65%
-1 35% 28% 37%
-0.5 63% — 37%
+0.5 90% — 10%
+1 90% 8% 2%
+1.5 98% — 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

Palermo FC keeps clean sheet
62% ✓
Padova Calcio keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.