Thursday , 2 July 2026

FK Lokomotiv Moskva vs RFK Akhmat Grozny, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
Mon 9 Mar 2026 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FK Lokomotiv Moskva vs RFK Akhmat GroznyRFPL .

Match Details

  • Referee Pavel Kukuyan

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar RFK Akhmat Grozny H 2–2 D
28 Feb FK Nizhny Novgorod H 2–1 W
07 Dec PFK Sochi A 4–2 W
30 Nov FK Rostov A 3–1 W
23 Nov FK Krasnodar H 1–1 D
09 Nov FK Orenburg H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar FK Lokomotiv Moskva A 2–2 D
01 Mar PFC CSKA Moskva H 1–0 W
05 Dec FK Orenburg H 1–0 W
30 Nov FK Dinamo Moskva H 2–1 W
22 Nov FK Rubin Kazan A 0–1 L
09 Nov FK Spartak Moskva H 1–2 L

Season Stats

FK Lokomotiv Moskva RFK Akhmat Grozny
#3 Position #9
53 Points 37
30 Played 30
14 / 11 / 5 W / D / L 9 / 10 / 11
54 Scored 35
39 Conceded 39
+15 GD -4
1.77 PPG 1.23
47% Win % 30%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
FK Lokomotiv Moskva this season
20% Clean Sheets
RFK Akhmat Grozny this season

FK Lokomotiv Moskva are 3rd (53 pts). RFK Akhmat Grozny are 9th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Lokomotiv Moskva
0-15
1/
16-30
1/1
31-45
/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RFK Akhmat Grozny
0-15
1/3
16-30
/2
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FK Lokomotiv Moskva Lineups

RFK Akhmat Grozny Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.03 FK Lokomotiv Moskva xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 RFK Akhmat Grozny xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 60% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FK Lokomotiv Moskva56% Draw23% RFK Akhmat Grozny21%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.16
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

FK Lokomotiv Moskva or Draw
79%
Draw or RFK Akhmat Grozny
44%
FK Lokomotiv Moskva or RFK Akhmat Grozny
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Lokomotiv Moskva41% Draw42% RFK Akhmat Grozny17%
Actual: RFK Akhmat Grozny win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
8%
3 – 1
6.4%
0 – 0
5.8%
3 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
5.3%
0 – 1
4.1%
3 – 2
3.7%
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — FK Lokomotiv Moskva

Handicap FK Lokomotiv Moskva covers Push RFK Akhmat Grozny covers
-2.5 17% 83%
-2 17% 17% 65%
-1.5 35% 65%
-1 35% 22% 43%
-0.5 57% 43%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 12% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

FK Lokomotiv Moskva keeps clean sheet
33%
RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.