Thursday , 2 July 2026

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg vs PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
Sat 4 Apr 2026 · 12:15 UTC Gazprom Arena 30,315 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jhonatan 49' 1–0
Aleksandr Sobolev 55' 2–0
2–1 75' Sergey Babkin

Overview

Match Preview

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg vs PFK Krylya Sovetov SamaraRFPL at Gazprom Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Rafael Shafeev (Russia)
  • Assistant 1 Adlan Khatuev
  • Assistant 2 Denis Petrov (Russia)
6 games this season 🟨 2.3/game 5.7 goals/game

Recent Form

Season Stats

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
#1 Position #11
68 Points 32
30 Played 30
20 / 8 / 2 W / D / L 8 / 8 / 14
53 Scored 35
19 Conceded 50
+34 GD -15
2.27 PPG 1.07
67% Win % 27%

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg this season
20% Clean Sheets
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara this season

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg are 1st (68 pts). PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara are 11th (32 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/
31-45
/1
46-60
5/
61-75
/2
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
3/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.45 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.64 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara xG
I would bet for: FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg to win 72% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg72% Draw18% PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara10%
Actual: FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg or Draw
90%
Draw or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
28%
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
82%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg55% Draw37% PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara8%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
13.6%
1 – 0
11%
3 – 0
10.8%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
7.7%
3 – 1
6.9%
4 – 0
6.6%
0 – 0
6%
4 – 1
4.3%
5 – 0
3.3%
2 – 2
2.7%
0 – 1
2.4%

Asian Handicap — FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Handicap FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg covers Push PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara covers
-2.5 32% 68%
-2 32% 22% 46%
-1.5 54% 46%
-1 54% 22% 24%
-0.5 76% 24%
+0.5 93% 7%
+1 93% 5% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg keeps clean sheet
53%
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.