Sunday , 16 August 2026

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2024-25
Sun 27 Apr 2025 · 11:00 UTC Cosmos Arena 9,603 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ivan Sergeev pen 83' 1–0
Dmitrii Tsypchenko 87' 2–0

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr FK Orenburg H 2–0 W
20 Apr PFC CSKA Moskva A 1–1 D
13 Apr FK Khimki A 3–1 W
05 Apr FK Rubin Kazan H 1–1 D
28 Mar FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 5–1 W
15 Mar FK Dinamo Makhachkala A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara A 0–2 L
19 Apr FK Dinamo Makhachkala H 2–1 W
12 Apr PFC CSKA Moskva H 0–2 L
04 Apr FK Nizhny Novgorod A 2–1 W
29 Mar FK Dinamo Moskva A 1–5 L
15 Mar FK Fakel Voronezh H 1–0 W

Season Stats

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara FK Orenburg
#11 Position #12
32 Points 29
30 Played 30
8 / 8 / 14 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 15
35 Scored 29
50 Conceded 44
-15 GD -15
1.07 PPG 0.97
27% Win % 23%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara are 11th (32 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara get us underway at Cosmos Arena.
  • 5' PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against FK Orenburg's 4-1-4-1 shape.
  • 10' PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' Saeid Saharkhizan has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 342 appearances.
  • 20' The home supporters are growing impatient. PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Atsamaz Revazov made 342 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 30' Both keepers have barely been tested. PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara and FK Orenburg are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 35' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 40' PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara have won 256 goals from 210 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 45' Amar Rahmanovic has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 14 cards already picked up this season.
  • 50' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara and FK Orenburg are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 55' FK Orenburg come into this ranked 15 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 60' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 65' Saeid Saharkhizan is ready to make an impact after coming on for Maksim Savelyev at the 65 minute mark.
  • 70' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Anton Zinkovskiy suffering a number of foals already.
  • 73' FK Orenburg player sees a card in front of him.
  • 78' It looks surprising PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara does not make any changes. Sergey Babkin has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 83' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ivan Sergeev makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 87' Dmitrii Tsypchenko has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 87 minutes.
  • 88' Time for substitution for FK Orenburg. Brian Mansilla is replaced by Atsamaz Revazov.
  • 89' The supporters are chanting for Thomas Galdames. He replaces Nikolai Rasskazov on 89 minute.
  • 90' Another substitution for PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara to replace Ivan Sergeev by Amar Rahmanovic on 90 minute.
  • With this win, PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.84 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara54% Draw24% FK Orenburg22%
Actual: PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.91
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara or Draw
79%
Draw or FK Orenburg
46%
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara or FK Orenburg
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara39% Draw44% FK Orenburg17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
9.3%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
5.8%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 1
5%
3 – 2
3.2%
0 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

Handicap PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara covers Push FK Orenburg covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 23% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara keeps clean sheet
35%
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.