Thursday , 2 July 2026

FK Orenburg vs PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2024-25
Sun 20 Oct 2024 · 13:30 UTC Stadion Gazovik 4,312 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 11' Ivan Sergeev
0–2 31' Kirill Pechenin
Jimmy Marin pen 73' 1–2
Jimmy Marin 90+3' 2–2

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Oct PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara H 2–2 D
05 Oct FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg A 0–1 L
27 Sep FK Nizhny Novgorod H 1–2 L
22 Sep FK Khimki A 0–0 D
14 Sep FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 2–4 L
01 Sep FK Dinamo Moskva H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Oct FK Orenburg A 2–2 D
06 Oct FK Lokomotiv Moskva A 0–1 L
29 Sep FK Khimki H 0–0 D
23 Sep RFK Akhmat Grozny A 1–1 D
13 Sep FK Rubin Kazan A 2–0 W
01 Sep FK Dinamo Makhachkala H 0–1 L

Season Stats

FK Orenburg PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
#12 Position #11
29 Points 32
30 Played 30
7 / 8 / 15 W / D / L 8 / 8 / 14
29 Scored 35
44 Conceded 50
-15 GD -15
0.97 PPG 1.07
23% Win % 27%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
20% Clean Sheets
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara this season

FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara are 11th (32 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Orenburg
0-15
/1
16-30
1/
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
3/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.51 FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara xG
I would bet for: FK Orenburg or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 73% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FK Orenburg37% Draw27% PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.1
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw
64%
Draw or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
63%
FK Orenburg or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Orenburg27% Draw44% PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara29%
Actual: PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.9%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
6.2%
1 – 0
6%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap FK Orenburg covers Push PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 18% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 19% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
21%
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.