FK Orenburg vs PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Orenburg vs PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
- PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 30 games · 32 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Oct | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Sep | FK Khimki | A | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Sep | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | H | 2–4 | L |
| 01 Sep | FK Dinamo Moskva | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct | FK Orenburg | A | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Oct | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Sep | FK Khimki | H | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Sep | RFK Akhmat Grozny | A | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | FK Rubin Kazan | A | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Sep | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| FK Orenburg | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #11 |
| 29 | Points | 32 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 7 / 8 / 15 | W / D / L | 8 / 8 / 14 |
| 29 | Scored | 35 |
| 44 | Conceded | 50 |
| -15 | GD | -15 |
| 0.97 | PPG | 1.07 |
| 23% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
20%
Clean Sheets
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara this season
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara this season
FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara are 11th (32 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
3/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FK Orenburg is hosting PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara for another epic battle.
- 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FK Orenburg side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Igor Osinkin will be considering his options from the bench.
- 11' Ivan Sergeev does the damage! The net is bulging and PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara surge ahead!
- 16' It’s high time Vladimir Sliskovic made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 21' Yaroslav Mikhailov, a Russia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 26' FK Orenburg currently sit 15 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 31' Magnificent from Kirill Pechenin! That is 2 goals in 342 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 34' The referee shows PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara player a card on 34.
- 39' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 44' FK Orenburg are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara's 4-4-2 shape.
- 46' The whistle greets Stepan Oganesyan as he departs to be replaced by Brian Mansilla.
- 51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Orenburg that had 342 games and scored 207 goals.
- 56' FK Orenburg receives a card for a hard tackle on 56.
- 61' Over 61 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 65' The FK Orenburg manager makes a substitution. Yaroslav Mikhailov departs to be replaced by Justin Cuero.
- 68' Fernando Costanza picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 72' The referee has no hesitation. Nikolai Rasskazov is booked for PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara — card on 72.
- 73' Jimmy Marin is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 77' The PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara manager makes a substitution. Benjamin Garre departs to be replaced by Victor Mendez.
- 82' FK Orenburg are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 87' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 89' A change in the FK Orenburg ranks — Saeid Saharkhizan exits the field as Feyttullah Gurluk enters on 89.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Justin Cuero.
- 90' The PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara bench stirs into life. Ivan Sergeev is withdrawn and Vladislav Shitov gets his opportunity.
- It finishes all square. FK Orenburg and PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara share the spoils 2-2.
Lineups
FK Orenburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 80
- 87
- 22
- 11
- 14
- 18
- 35
- 16
- 81
- 1
- 10
Bench
- 31
- 20
- 13
- 99
-
8
Ivan Basic ↑ 46'
-
6
Mohammad Ghorbani ↑ 46'
-
9
Brian Mansilla ↑ 46'
-
7
Feyttullah Gurluk ↑ 89'
-
19
Justin Cuero ↑ 65'
- 59
- 38
- 96
Coach
Vladimir Sliskovic
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 24
- 15
-
10
Benjamin Garre ↓ Victor Mendez 77'
- 1
- 4
- 11
-
13
Ivan Sergeev ↓ Vladislav Shitov 90'
- 6
- 22
- 25
-
19
Ivan Oleynikov ↓ Ilya Gaponov 77'
Bench
-
95
Ilya Gaponov ↑ 77'
- 81
- 32
-
73
Vladislav Shitov ↑ 90'
-
34
Victor Mendez ↑ 77'
- 3
- 39
-
21
Dmitriy Ivanisenya ↑ 90'
- 17
- 28
- 65
- 92
Coach
Igor Osinkin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Maksim Glushenkov | 3 |
| Dmitrii Tsypchenko | 3 |
| Jimmy Marin | 2 |
| Andrei Kozlov | 2 |
| Ivan Sergeev | 2 |
| Denis Yakuba | 2 |
| Andrei Kozlov | 2 |
| Dmitri Vorobyov | 2 |
Head to Head
FK Orenburg Form
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara Form
2024-10-20
FK Orenburg
2–2
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
D
2024-10-06
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
1–0
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
L
2024-09-29
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
0–0
FK Khimki
D
2024-09-23
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–1
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
D
2024-09-13
FK Rubin Kazan
0–2
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
W
2024-09-01
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
0–1
FK Dinamo Makhachkala
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.51
FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara xG
I would bet for:
FK Orenburg or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 73% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.1
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
FK Orenburg or Draw
64%
Draw or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
63%
FK Orenburg or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.9%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
6.2%
1 – 0
6%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 3
3.4%
Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg
| Handicap | FK Orenburg covers | Push | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 18% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 19% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

