FK Orenburg vs PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2024-25

FK Orenburg

2 – 2

Full Time

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

Sun 20 Oct 2024 · 13:30 UTC Stadion Gazovik 4,312 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 11' Ivan Sergeev

0–2 31' Kirill Pechenin

Jimmy Marin pen 73' 1–2

Jimmy Marin 90+3' 2–2

Y 34' Roman Ezhov

Matias Perez 56' Y

R 68' Fernando Costanza

Y 72' Nikolai Rasskazov

Justin Cuero 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FK Orenburg vs PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.

FK Orenburg 14 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 14 games · 18 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	14	31
2	FK Dinamo Moskva	14	31
3	FK Spartak Moskva	14	29
4	FK Krasnodar	14	26
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	14	26
6	FK Rostov	14	19
7	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	14	18
8	FK Rubin Kazan	14	18
9	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	14	17
10	FK Orenburg	14	17
11	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	14	16
12	RFK Akhmat Grozny	14	14
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	14	12
14	FK Rodina Moskva	14	12
15	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	14	11
16	FK Fakel Voronezh	14	6

Head-to-Head

FK Orenburg 13 games · Avg 2.6 goals PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

Last 5 meetings

2024-10-20 FK Orenburg 2–2 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 2024-05-04 FK Orenburg 2–1 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 2023-10-28 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 1–1 FK Orenburg 2023-04-02 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 1–1 FK Orenburg 2022-07-16 FK Orenburg 2–4 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

Recent Form

FK Orenburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Oct	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	H	2–2	D
05 Oct	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	A	0–1	L
27 Sep	FK Nizhny Novgorod	H	1–2	L
22 Sep	FK Khimki	A	0–0	D
14 Sep	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	H	2–4	L
01 Sep	FK Dinamo Moskva	H	2–2	D

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Oct	FK Orenburg	A	2–2	D
06 Oct	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	A	0–1	L
29 Sep	FK Khimki	H	0–0	D
23 Sep	RFK Akhmat Grozny	A	1–1	D
13 Sep	FK Rubin Kazan	A	2–0	W
01 Sep	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	H	0–1	L

Season Stats

FK Orenburg		PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
#10	Position	#7
17	Points	18
14	Played	14
3 / 8 / 3	W / D / L	4 / 6 / 4
14	Scored	19
14	Conceded	20
+0	GD	-1
1.21	PPG	1.29
21%	Win %	29%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

44% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

22% Clean Sheets
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara this season

FK Orenburg are 10th (17 pts). PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara are 7th (18 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Orenburg

0-15

–/2

16-30

2/–

31-45

3/–

46-60

1/–

61-75

3/2

76+

1/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

0-15

2/1

16-30

1/3

31-45

1/2

46-60

1/3

61-75

5/3

76+

4/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FK Orenburg

Jordhy Thompson	3 G	3 A
Gedeon Guzina	3 G	1 A
Ruslan Kul	3 G	1 A
Andrey Kasadzhikov	1 G	1 A

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

Martin Kramaric	4 G	1 A
Amar Rahmanovic	4 G
Ivan Oleynikov	3 G	4 A
Nikita Chernov	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara get us underway at Stadion Gazovik.
5' FK Orenburg have won 217 goals from 350 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
10' It’s high time Igor Osinkin made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
11' Ivan Sergeev does the damage! The net is bulging and PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara surge ahead!
16' FK Orenburg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara backline.
21' Kirill Pechenin is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FK Orenburg so far.
26' Matias Perez has been relatively quiet despite scoring 12 goals in his last 193 appearances.
31' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Kirill Pechenin makes it 0-2.
34' The referee has no hesitation. Roman Ezhov is booked for PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara — card on 34.
39' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara that had 218 games and scored 268 goals.
44' The home supporters are growing impatient. FK Orenburg must find a spark to ignite this game.
46' A tactical swap from FK Orenburg — Brian Mansilla on, Stepan Oganesyan off on 46 minutes.
51' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
56' A meaty challenge results in booking for Matias Perez on 56.
61' PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
65' The FK Orenburg bench stirs into life. Yaroslav Mikhailov is withdrawn and Justin Cuero gets his opportunity.
68' A moment of madness from Fernando Costanza on 68 minutes earns him a card. PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara will be frustrated.
72' A meaty challenge results in booking for Nikolai Rasskazov on 72.
73' Jimmy Marin has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 73 minutes.
77' The whistle greets Benjamin Garre as he departs to be replaced by Victor Mendez.
82' Fernando Costanza needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
87' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
89' It is a substitution in FK Orenburg team. Saeid Saharkhizan is replaced by Feyttullah Gurluk on 89 minute.
90' That looks like a foul for a card for Justin Cuero.
90' The supporters are chanting for Vladislav Shitov. He replaces Ivan Sergeev on 90 minute.
celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

FK Orenburg Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

80
Jimmy Marin
87
Danila Prokhin
22
Matias Perez
11
Stepan Oganesyan ↓ Brian Mansilla 46'
14
Yaroslav Mikhailov ↓ Justin Cuero 65'
18
Aleksandr Kovalenko ↓ Ivan Basic 46'
35
Kazimcan Karatas
16
Jordhy Thompson ↓ Mohammad Ghorbani 46'
81
Maksim Sidorov
1
Bogdan Moskvichev
10
Saeid Saharkhizan ↓ Feyttullah Gurluk 89'

Bench

Coach Vladimir Sliskovic

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Igor Osinkin

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Maksim Glushenkov	3
Dmitrii Tsypchenko	3
Jimmy Marin	2
Andrei Kozlov	2
Ivan Sergeev	2
Denis Yakuba	2
Andrei Kozlov	2
Dmitri Vorobyov	2

Head to Head

FK Orenburg Form

2024-10-20 FK Orenburg 2–2 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara D 2024-10-05 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Orenburg L 2024-09-27 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Nizhny Novgorod L 2024-09-22 FK Khimki 0–0 FK Orenburg D 2024-09-14 FK Orenburg 2–4 FK Lokomotiv Moskva L 2024-09-01 FK Orenburg 2–2 FK Dinamo Moskva D

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara Form

2024-10-20 FK Orenburg 2–2 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara D 2024-10-06 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 1–0 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara L 2024-09-29 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 0–0 FK Khimki D 2024-09-23 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–1 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara D 2024-09-13 FK Rubin Kazan 0–2 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara W 2024-09-01 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 0–1 FK Dinamo Makhachkala L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.39 FK Orenburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.42 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara xG

I would bet for: FK Orenburg or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 72% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FK Orenburg37% Draw28% PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara35%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes57% 0% No43%

Avg goals/match: 2.81

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	77%	23%
± 2.5	52%	48%
± 3.5	31%	69%
± 4.5	16%	84%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw

65%

Draw or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

63%

FK Orenburg or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FK Orenburg27% Draw46% PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara27%

Actual: PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.8%

1 – 2

8.1%

0 – 0

7.9%

2 – 1

7.9%

0 – 1

7.6%

1 – 0

7.4%

0 – 2

2 – 0

5.7%

2 – 2

Actual

1 – 3

3.9%

3 – 1

3.7%

0 – 3

2.8%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap	FK Orenburg covers	Push	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	11%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	19%	65%
-0.5	35%	—	65%
+0.5	63%	—	37%
+1	63%	19%	18%
+1.5	82%	—	18%
+2	82%	11%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.