Thursday , 2 July 2026

FK Orenburg vs FK Fakel Voronezh, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2024-25
FK Orenburg
1 – 0
Full Time
FK Fakel Voronezh
Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 09:00 UTC Stadion Gazovik 2,731 HT 45' · FT 45'
Sergey Bozhin og 90+4' 1–0
Ivan Basic 21' Y
Y 44' Andrey Ivlev
R 53' Dylan Mertens
Y 67' Irakli Kvekveskiri
Aleksey Tataev 69' Y
Maksim Savelyev 89' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FK Orenburg vs FK Fakel Voronezh — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 30 68
2 FK Krasnodar 30 66
3 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 30 53
4 FK Spartak Moskva 30 52
5 PFC CSKA Moskva 30 51
6 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 30 46
7 FK Dinamo Moskva 30 45
8 FK Rubin Kazan 30 43
9 RFK Akhmat Grozny 30 37
10 FK Rostov 30 33
11 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 30 32
12 FK Orenburg 30 29
13 FK Akron Tolyatti 30 27
14 FK Dinamo Makhachkala 30 26
15 FK Nizhny Novgorod 30 23
16 PFK Sochi 30 22

Head-to-Head

3
1
2
FK Orenburg 6 games · Avg 2.3 goals FK Fakel Voronezh
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-15 FK Orenburg 1–0 FK Fakel Voronezh 2024-08-24 FK Fakel Voronezh 1–0 FK Orenburg 2024-03-31 FK Fakel Voronezh 0–0 FK Orenburg 2023-10-21 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Fakel Voronezh 2023-04-22 FK Fakel Voronezh 1–3 FK Orenburg

Recent Form

FK Orenburg
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar FK Fakel Voronezh H 1–0 W
08 Mar FK Rostov H 1–2 L
02 Mar FK Spartak Moskva A 0–2 L
08 Dec RFK Akhmat Grozny A 0–1 L
30 Nov FK Akron Tolyatti A 0–1 L
23 Nov FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg H 0–1 L
FK Fakel Voronezh
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar FK Orenburg A 0–1 L
08 Mar FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg H 0–2 L
02 Mar FK Khimki A 0–1 L
08 Dec PFC CSKA Moskva H 0–1 L
01 Dec FK Dinamo Makhachkala A 0–0 D
24 Nov FK Dinamo Moskva H 1–1 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Orenburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Stadion Gazovik will turn into a battlefield for FK Orenburg and FK Fakel Voronezh.
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FK Fakel Voronezh needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' FK Orenburg seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 21' Ivan Basic is having his name booked by the referee on 21.
  • 26' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yaroslav Mikhailov suffering a number of foals already.
  • 31' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 36' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 41' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Vyacheslav Yakimov made 266 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 44' Andrey Ivlev is having his name booked by the referee on 44.
  • 46' The whistle greets Andrey Ivlev as he departs to be replaced by Dylan Mertens.
  • 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Sergey Bozhin, as he is very good at scoring at Stadion Gazovik with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 53' Dylan Mertens is having his name booked by the referee on 53.
  • 58' The supporters are chanting for Mohamed Brahimi. He replaces Nichita Motpan on 58 minute.
  • 60' Maksim Savelyev has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ivan Basic on 60 minute.
  • 65' Mikhail Shchetinin has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 30 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 67' FK Fakel Voronezh player sees a card in front of him.
  • 69' That looks like a foul for a card for Aleksey Tataev.
  • 74' Another change for FK Orenburg made on 74 minute. Saeid Saharkhizan leaves to be changed by Feyttullah Gurluk.
  • 79' FK Orenburg started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 79.
  • 83' The supporters are chanting for Ilnur Alshin. He replaces Igor Kalinin on 83 minute.
  • 88' FK Fakel Voronezh is showing some good football. However, FK Fakel Voronezh are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 89' The referee shows FK Orenburg player a card on 89.
  • 90' Mikhail Shchetinin has so much to prove this time. He replaces Aleksandr Lomovitskiy on 90 minute.
  • With this win, FK Orenburg is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

FK Orenburg Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Vladimir Sliskovic

FK Fakel Voronezh Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Dmitry Pyatibratov

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Jimmy Marin 3
Cesar Florentin 2
Braian Mansilla 2
Maksim Maksimov 1
Kirill Kaplenko 1
Aleksandr Ektov 1
Khyzyr Appaev 1
Georgy Gongadze 1

Head to Head

2025-03-15 FK Orenburg 1–0 FK Fakel Voronezh 2024-08-24 FK Fakel Voronezh 1–0 FK Orenburg 2024-03-31 FK Fakel Voronezh 0–0 FK Orenburg 2023-10-21 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Fakel Voronezh 2023-04-22 FK Fakel Voronezh 1–3 FK Orenburg

FK Orenburg Form

2025-03-15 FK Orenburg 1–0 FK Fakel Voronezh W 2025-03-08 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Rostov L 2025-03-02 FK Spartak Moskva 2–0 FK Orenburg L 2024-12-08 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–0 FK Orenburg L 2024-11-30 FK Akron Tolyatti 1–0 FK Orenburg L 2024-11-23 FK Orenburg 0–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg L

FK Fakel Voronezh Form

2025-03-15 FK Orenburg 1–0 FK Fakel Voronezh L 2025-03-08 FK Fakel Voronezh 0–2 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg L 2025-03-02 FK Khimki 1–0 FK Fakel Voronezh L 2024-12-08 FK Fakel Voronezh 0–1 PFC CSKA Moskva L 2024-12-01 FK Dinamo Makhachkala 0–0 FK Fakel Voronezh D 2024-11-24 FK Fakel Voronezh 1–1 FK Dinamo Moskva D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.1 FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84 FK Fakel Voronezh xG
I would bet for: FK Orenburg or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Orenburg43% Draw31% FK Fakel Voronezh26%
Actual: FK Orenburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 1.94
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 58%
42%
± 2.5 31%
69%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw
75%
Draw or FK Fakel Voronezh
57%
FK Orenburg or FK Fakel Voronezh
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FK Orenburg26% Draw55% FK Fakel Voronezh19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.9%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 1
10.7%
2 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
3.1%
3 – 0
3%
3 – 1
2.7%
1 – 3
1.5%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap FK Orenburg covers Push FK Fakel Voronezh covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 23% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 17% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
44% ✗
FK Fakel Voronezh keeps clean sheet
34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.