Saturday , 14 November 2026

FK Orenburg vs FK Fakel Voronezh, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2024-25
Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 09:00 UTC Stadion Gazovik 2,731 HT 45' · FT 45'
Sergey Bozhin og 90+4' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

FK Orenburg vs FK Fakel Voronezh — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar FK Fakel Voronezh H 1–0 W
08 Mar FK Rostov H 1–2 L
02 Mar FK Spartak Moskva A 0–2 L
08 Dec RFK Akhmat Grozny A 0–1 L
30 Nov FK Akron Tolyatti A 0–1 L
23 Nov FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar FK Orenburg A 0–1 L
08 Mar FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg H 0–2 L
02 Mar FK Khimki A 0–1 L
08 Dec PFC CSKA Moskva H 0–1 L
01 Dec FK Dinamo Makhachkala A 0–0 D
24 Nov FK Dinamo Moskva H 1–1 D

Season Stats

FK Orenburg FK Fakel Voronezh
#10 Position #16
17 Points 6
14 Played 14
3 / 8 / 3 W / D / L 1 / 3 / 10
14 Scored 9
14 Conceded 23
+0 GD -14
1.21 PPG 0.43
21% Win % 7%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
44% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
0% Clean Sheets
FK Fakel Voronezh this season

FK Orenburg are 10th (17 pts). FK Fakel Voronezh are 16th (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Orenburg
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Fakel Voronezh
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/4
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FK Orenburg
Jordhy Thompson 3 G 3 A
Gedeon Guzina 3 G 1 A
Ruslan Kul 3 G 1 A
Andrey Kasadzhikov 1 G 1 A
FK Fakel Voronezh
Vyacheslav Yakimov 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' FK Orenburg have kicked off against FK Fakel Voronezh. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 15' Aleksandr Lomovitskiy needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 20' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 21' Ivan Basic has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 21.
  • 26' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 31' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Fakel Voronezh that had 97 games and scored 78 goals.
  • 36' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ilnur Alshin made 59 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 41' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FK Orenburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 44' FK Fakel Voronezh receives a card for a hard tackle on 44.
  • 46' FK Fakel Voronezh make a change. Andrey Ivlev trudges off to be replaced by Dylan Mertens on 46 minutes.
  • 51' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 53' FK Fakel Voronezh player sees a card in front of him.
  • 58' Another substitution for FK Fakel Voronezh to replace Nichita Motpan by Mohamed Brahimi on 58 minute.
  • 60' The crowd applauds Ivan Basic as he leaves the pitch. Maksim Savelyev steps in for FK Orenburg.
  • 65' Costa Rica international Jimmy Marin has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 67' FK Fakel Voronezh receives a card for a hard tackle on 67.
  • 69' Aleksey Tataev is having his name booked by the referee on 69.
  • 74' Feyttullah Gurluk is replacing Saeid Saharkhizan for the FK Orenburg side.
  • 79' FK Orenburg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FK Fakel Voronezh backline.
  • 83' FK Fakel Voronezh ring the changes. Igor Kalinin has done his job and it is now time for Ilnur Alshin to step up.
  • 88' It looks surprising FK Fakel Voronezh does not make any changes. Aleksey Kashtanov has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 89' The referee has no hesitation. Maksim Savelyev is booked for FK Orenburg — card on 89.
  • 90' Mikhail Shchetinin is ready to make an impact after coming on for Aleksandr Lomovitskiy at the 90 minute mark.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for FK Orenburg and FK Fakel Voronezh (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.15 FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.54 FK Fakel Voronezh xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 76% + Under — clean sheet likely 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Orenburg50% Draw32% FK Fakel Voronezh18%
Actual: FK Orenburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes30% 0% No70%
Avg goals/match: 1.69
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 79%
21%
± 1.5 50%
50%
± 2.5 24%
76%
± 3.5 10%
90%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw
82%
Draw or FK Fakel Voronezh
50%
FK Orenburg or FK Fakel Voronezh
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FK Orenburg31% Draw58% FK Fakel Voronezh11%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
21%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 0
11.6%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
6.6%
3 – 0
4.4%
1 – 2
3%
3 – 1
2.6%
0 – 2
2.4%
2 – 2
1.9%
4 – 0
1.3%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap FK Orenburg covers Push FK Fakel Voronezh covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 27% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 12% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
59% ✓
FK Fakel Voronezh keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.