FK Orenburg vs PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2023-24

FK Orenburg

2 – 1

Full Time

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

Sat 4 May 2024 · 14:00 UTC Stadion Gazovik HT 45' · FT 45'

Mohammad Ghorbani 11' Y

Y 56' Franco Orozco

Y 90' Nikolai Rasskazov

Overview

Match Preview

FK Orenburg vs PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.

FK Orenburg 9 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 9 games · 11 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Krasnodar	9	21
2	FK Dinamo Moskva	9	19
3	PFC CSKA Moskva	9	19
4	FK Spartak Moskva	9	19
5	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	9	18
6	FK Rubin Kazan	9	12
7	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	9	12
8	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	9	11
9	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	9	11
10	RFK Akhmat Grozny	9	10
11	FK Orenburg	9	9
12	FK Akron Tolyatti	9	8
13	FK Rostov	9	8
14	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	9	7
15	FK Rodina Moskva	9	5
16	FK Fakel Voronezh	9	3

Head-to-Head

FK Orenburg 12 games · Avg 2.7 goals PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

Last 5 meetings

2024-05-04 FK Orenburg 2–1 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 2023-10-28 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 1–1 FK Orenburg 2023-04-02 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 1–1 FK Orenburg 2022-07-16 FK Orenburg 2–4 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 2020-02-28 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 1–1 FK Orenburg

Recent Form

FK Orenburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 May	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	H	2–1	W
29 Apr	FK Rostov	A	1–2	L
24 Apr	FK Dinamo Moskva	H	1–2	L
21 Apr	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	A	0–1	L
14 Apr	FK Nizhny Novgorod	H	3–1	W
08 Apr	FK Rubin Kazan	H	3–0	W

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 May	FK Orenburg	A	1–2	L
29 Apr	FK Krasnodar	H	0–0	D
25 Apr	FK Fakel Voronezh	A	1–0	W
20 Apr	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	A	1–2	L
14 Apr	FK Rubin Kazan	H	2–0	W
06 Apr	FK Ural	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

FK Orenburg		PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
#11	Position	#9
9	Points	11
9	Played	9
1 / 6 / 2	W / D / L	2 / 5 / 2
7	Scored	13
10	Conceded	14
-3	GD	-1
1.00	PPG	1.22
11%	Win %	22%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

25% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

0% Clean Sheets
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara this season

FK Orenburg are 11th (9 pts). PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara are 9th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Orenburg

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

1/1

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/2

46-60

1/3

61-75

3/–

76+

2/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FK Orenburg

Ruslan Kul	3 G
Andrey Kasadzhikov	1 G	1 A

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

Ivan Oleynikov	3 G	3 A
Martin Kramaric	2 G	1 A
Nikita Chernov	2 G
Amar Rahmanovic	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: FK Orenburg gets underway.
5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
10' Sergey Babkin has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 356 appearances.
11' Mohammad Ghorbani was booked on 11.
16' Vladimir Sychevoy needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
21' The 22-year-old Jordhy Thompson has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
24' A stunning finish from Matias Perez — that came from absolutely nowhere!
29' FK Orenburg are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
34' FK Orenburg currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
39' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
44' It looks surprising PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara does not make any changes. Dmitry Vorobyev has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
49' The energy levels are beginning to show. Igor Osinkin might look to freshen things up shortly.
53' Amar Rahmanovic doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
56' Controversy at the stadium! Franco Orozco argues furiously but the card stands.
61' A quiet spell here at Stadion Gazovik. PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
62' Lucas Vera is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mohammad Ghorbani at the 62 minute mark.
67' Assisted by Leo Goglichidze with the perfectly-timed delivery and Dmitry Vorobyev makes no mistake. 2-1!
70' A tactical swap from FK Orenburg — Stepan Oganesyan on, Brian Mansilla off on 70 minutes.
71' It is a substitution in PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara team. Sergey Babkin is replaced by Kirill Pechenin on 71 minute.
75' PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara ring the changes. Vladislav Shitov has done his job and it is now time for Vladimir Sychevoy to step up.
80' FK Orenburg is showing some good football. However, FK Orenburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
82' A tactical swap from FK Orenburg — Danila Prokhin on, Cesar Florentin off on 82 minutes.
87' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Nikolai Rasskazov.
FK Orenburg celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

FK Orenburg Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach David Deogracia

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara Lineups

Starting XI

15
Nikolai Rasskazov
95
Ilya Gaponov
20
Amar Rahmanovic
1
Ivan Lomaev
4
Aleksandr Soldatenkov
5
Yurii Gorshkov
–
Franco Orozco ↓ Benjamin Garre 70'
6
Sergey Babkin ↓ Kirill Pechenin 71'
22
Fernando Costanza
73
Vladislav Shitov ↓ Vladimir Sychevoy 75'
–
Nikita Saltykov

Bench

Coach Igor Osinkin

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Maksim Glushenkov	3
Dmitrii Tsypchenko	3
Andrei Kozlov	2
Ivan Sergeev	2
Denis Yakuba	2
Andrei Kozlov	2
Dmitri Vorobyov	2
Jimmy Marin	2

Head to Head

FK Orenburg Form

2024-05-04 FK Orenburg 2–1 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara W 2024-04-29 FK Rostov 2–1 FK Orenburg L 2024-04-24 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Dinamo Moskva L 2024-04-21 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Orenburg L 2024-04-14 FK Orenburg 3–1 FK Nizhny Novgorod W 2024-04-08 FK Orenburg 3–0 FK Rubin Kazan W

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara Form

2024-05-04 FK Orenburg 2–1 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara L 2024-04-29 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 0–0 FK Krasnodar D 2024-04-25 FK Fakel Voronezh 0–1 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara W 2024-04-20 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 2–1 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara L 2024-04-14 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 2–0 FK Rubin Kazan W 2024-04-06 FK Ural 1–2 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.33 FK Orenburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.24 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara xG

I would bet for: FK Orenburg or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FK Orenburg41% Draw28% PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara31%

Actual: FK Orenburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes53% 0% No47%

Avg goals/match: 2.57

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	47%	53%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw

69%

Draw or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

59%

FK Orenburg or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FK Orenburg27% Draw48% PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara25%

Actual: FK Orenburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.5%

0 – 0

9.7%

1 – 0

9.1%

0 – 1

8.4%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

7.5%

2 – 0

6.6%

0 – 2

5.7%

2 – 2

5.1%

3 – 1

3.6%

1 – 3

3.1%

3 – 0

2.9%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap	FK Orenburg covers	Push	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	11%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	20%	63%
-0.5	37%	—	63%
+0.5	67%	—	33%
+1	67%	18%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	10%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.