FK Orenburg vs PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Orenburg vs PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
- PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 30 games · 32 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Apr | FK Rostov | A | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Apr | FK Dinamo Moskva | H | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Apr | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Apr | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 3–1 | W |
| 08 Apr | FK Rubin Kazan | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May | FK Orenburg | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | FK Krasnodar | H | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Apr | FK Fakel Voronezh | A | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | A | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Apr | FK Rubin Kazan | H | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | FK Ural | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FK Orenburg | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #11 |
| 29 | Points | 32 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 7 / 8 / 15 | W / D / L | 8 / 8 / 14 |
| 29 | Scored | 35 |
| 44 | Conceded | 50 |
| -15 | GD | -15 |
| 0.97 | PPG | 1.07 |
| 23% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
20%
Clean Sheets
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara this season
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara this season
FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara are 11th (32 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
3/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Stadion Gazovik as FK Orenburg face off against PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' FK Orenburg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara backline.
- 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 11' Mohammad Ghorbani picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 16' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 21' Both keepers have barely been tested. FK Orenburg and PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 24' Matias Perez does the damage! The net is bulging and FK Orenburg surge ahead!
- 29' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 34' PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 34.
- 39' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 44' Supporters expect more eagerness from Danila Khotulev, as he is very good at scoring at Stadion Gazovik with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 49' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 53' What an equalizer from Amar Rahmanovic!
- 56' PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara player sees a card in front of him.
- 61' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 62' Another substitution for FK Orenburg to replace Mohammad Ghorbani by Lucas Vera on 62 minute.
- 67' Dmitry Vorobyev has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 67 minutes.
- 70' Stepan Oganesyan has so much to prove this time. He replaces Brian Mansilla on 70 minute.
- 71' The supporters are chanting for Kirill Pechenin. He replaces Sergey Babkin on 71 minute.
- 75' Vladimir Sychevoy is ready to make an impact after coming on for Vladislav Shitov at the 75 minute mark.
- 80' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nikolai Rasskazov suffering a number of foals already.
- 82' A tactical swap from FK Orenburg — Danila Prokhin on, Cesar Florentin off on 82 minutes.
- 87' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 87 minutes.
- 90' Nikolai Rasskazov picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- Another three points for FK Orenburg.
Lineups
FK Orenburg Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 99
- 5
- 10
- 22
-
6
Arsen Adamov ↓ Andrey Malykh 82'
- 8
- 4
-
66
Mohammad Ghorbani ↓ Lucas Vera 62'
- 9
-
–
Jordhy Thompson ↓ Jimmy Marin 70'
Bench
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↑ 70'
- 2
- 90
-
–
Danila Prokhin ↑ 82'
-
11
Stepan Oganesyan ↑ 70'
- 14
-
23
Lucas Vera ↑ 62'
- 24
- 3
-
12
Andrey Malykh ↑ 82'
- 81
- 19
Coach
David Deogracia
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara Lineups
Starting XI
- 15
- 95
- 20
- 1
- 4
- 5
-
–
Franco Orozco ↓ Benjamin Garre 70'
-
6
Sergey Babkin ↓ Kirill Pechenin 71'
- 22
- 73
- –
Bench
- 24
- 31
-
10
Benjamin Garre ↑ 70'
- 30
- 39
- 21
-
–
Kirill Pechenin ↑ 71'
-
77
Vladimir Sychevoy ↑ 75'
- –
Coach
Igor Osinkin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Maksim Glushenkov | 3 |
| Dmitrii Tsypchenko | 3 |
| Jimmy Marin | 2 |
| Andrei Kozlov | 2 |
| Ivan Sergeev | 2 |
| Denis Yakuba | 2 |
| Andrei Kozlov | 2 |
| Dmitri Vorobyov | 2 |
Head to Head
FK Orenburg Form
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara Form
2024-05-04
FK Orenburg
2–1
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
L
2024-04-29
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
0–0
FK Krasnodar
D
2024-04-25
FK Fakel Voronezh
0–1
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
W
2024-04-20
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
2–1
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
L
2024-04-14
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
2–0
FK Rubin Kazan
W
2024-04-06
FK Ural
1–2
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.56
FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara xG
I would bet for:
FK Orenburg or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 74% + Both teams to score 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Orenburg win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
FK Orenburg or Draw
70%
Draw or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
56%
FK Orenburg or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Orenburg win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
7.8%
0 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg
| Handicap | FK Orenburg covers | Push | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 20% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 17% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.