FK Orenburg vs PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Orenburg vs PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
- PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 30 games · 32 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Apr | FK Rostov | A | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Apr | FK Dinamo Moskva | H | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Apr | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Apr | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 3–1 | W |
| 08 Apr | FK Rubin Kazan | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May | FK Orenburg | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | FK Krasnodar | H | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Apr | FK Fakel Voronezh | A | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | A | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Apr | FK Rubin Kazan | H | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | FK Ural | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FK Orenburg | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #11 |
| 29 | Points | 32 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 7 / 8 / 15 | W / D / L | 8 / 8 / 14 |
| 29 | Scored | 35 |
| 44 | Conceded | 50 |
| -15 | GD | -15 |
| 0.97 | PPG | 1.07 |
| 23% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara are 11th (32 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and FK Orenburg launch into their encounter with PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara.
- 5' A quiet spell here at Stadion Gazovik. PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. FK Orenburg must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 11' Mohammad Ghorbani catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 11.
- 16' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FK Orenburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 21' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 24' Brilliant from the ! Matias Perez makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 24.
- 29' FK Orenburg are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 34' Nikolai Sysuev has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 39' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FK Orenburg and PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 44' Andrey Malykh is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara so far.
- 49' FK Orenburg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara backline.
- 53' Amar Rahmanovic doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 56' A moment of madness from Franco Orozco on 56 minutes earns him a card. PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara will be frustrated.
- 61' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Aleksandr Soldatenkov suffering a number of foals already.
- 62' A tactical swap from FK Orenburg — Lucas Vera on, Mohammad Ghorbani off on 62 minutes.
- 67' Dmitry Vorobyev is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 70' FK Orenburg make a change. Brian Mansilla trudges off to be replaced by Stepan Oganesyan on 70 minutes.
- 71' PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kirill Pechenin is hanging Sergey Babkin on the field on 71 minute.
- 75' The supporters are chanting for Vladimir Sychevoy. He replaces Vladislav Shitov on 75 minute.
- 80' It looks surprising PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara does not make any changes. Kirill Pechenin has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 82' FK Orenburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Danila Prokhin is hanging Cesar Florentin on the field on 82 minute.
- 87' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 87 minutes.
- 90' The referee shows PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara player a card on 90.
- The points are shared — FK Orenburg 2-1 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara. Honours even.
Lineups
FK Orenburg Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 99
- 5
- 10
- 22
-
6
Arsen Adamov ↓ Andrey Malykh 82'
- 8
- 4
-
66
Mohammad Ghorbani ↓ Lucas Vera 62'
- 9
-
–
Jordhy Thompson ↓ Jimmy Marin 70'
Bench
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↑ 70'
- 2
- 90
-
–
Danila Prokhin ↑ 82'
-
11
Stepan Oganesyan ↑ 70'
- 14
-
23
Lucas Vera ↑ 62'
- 24
- 3
-
12
Andrey Malykh ↑ 82'
- 81
- 19
Coach
David Deogracia
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara Lineups
Starting XI
- 15
- 95
- 20
- 1
- 4
- 5
-
–
Franco Orozco ↓ Benjamin Garre 70'
-
6
Sergey Babkin ↓ Kirill Pechenin 71'
- 22
- 73
- –
Bench
- 24
- 31
-
10
Benjamin Garre ↑ 70'
- 30
- 39
- 21
-
–
Kirill Pechenin ↑ 71'
-
77
Vladimir Sychevoy ↑ 75'
- –
Coach
Igor Osinkin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dmitrii Tsypchenko | 3 |
| Maksim Glushenkov | 3 |
| Ivan Sergeev | 2 |
| Denis Yakuba | 2 |
| Andrei Kozlov | 2 |
| Dmitri Vorobyov | 2 |
| Jimmy Marin | 2 |
| Andrei Kozlov | 2 |
Head to Head
FK Orenburg Form
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara Form
2024-05-04
FK Orenburg
2–1
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
L
2024-04-29
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
0–0
FK Krasnodar
D
2024-04-25
FK Fakel Voronezh
0–1
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
W
2024-04-20
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
2–1
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
L
2024-04-14
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
2–0
FK Rubin Kazan
W
2024-04-06
FK Ural
1–2
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.56
FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara xG
I would bet for:
FK Orenburg or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 74% + Both teams to score 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Orenburg win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
FK Orenburg or Draw
70%
Draw or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
56%
FK Orenburg or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Orenburg win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
7.8%
0 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg
| Handicap | FK Orenburg covers | Push | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 20% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 17% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.