FK Dinamo Moskva vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Dinamo Moskva vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at VTB Arena.
- FK Dinamo Moskva 30 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar | FK Orenburg | H | 5–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Mar | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | H | 4–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | FK Rostov | A | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Dec | FK Khimki | H | 4–1 | W |
| 02 Dec | RFK Akhmat Grozny | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 1–5 | L |
| 15 Mar | FK Fakel Voronezh | H | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Mar | FK Rostov | H | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Mar | FK Spartak Moskva | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Dec | RFK Akhmat Grozny | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Nov | FK Akron Tolyatti | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| FK Dinamo Moskva | FK Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #12 |
| 45 | Points | 29 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 12 / 9 / 9 | W / D / L | 7 / 8 / 15 |
| 51 | Scored | 29 |
| 40 | Conceded | 44 |
| +11 | GD | -15 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 0.97 |
| 40% | Win % | 23% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FK Dinamo Moskva are 7th (45 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: FK Orenburg gets underway.
- 5' Roberto Fernandez has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 3 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' A quiet spell here at VTB Arena. FK Orenburg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Viktor Okishor made 363 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 20' Roberto Fernandez catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 20.
- 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 30' With 0 assists to his name this season, Aleksandr Kutitskiy is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FK Orenburg.
- 35' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 38' What composure from Jorge Carrascal! The Colombia international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 41' Magnificent from Jorge Carrascal! That is 22 goals in 185 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 46' The FK Dinamo Moskva manager makes a substitution. Roberto Fernandez departs to be replaced by Nicolas Marichal.
- 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 56' FK Dinamo Moskva started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 56.
- 58' The FK Orenburg manager makes a substitution. Danila Prokhin departs to be replaced by Aleksandr Kovalenko.
- 60' Goal! Bitelo scores his 16 goal in 328 matches.
- 65' FK Orenburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 66' Denis Makarov has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jorge Carrascal on 66 minute.
- 67' Luis Chavez has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 67 minutes.
- 72' Dmitrii Rybchinskii has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 30 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 77' Saeid Saharkhizan doubles the advantage! 4-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 77' The supporters are chanting for Dmitriy Aleksandrov. He replaces Bitelo on 77 minute.
- 82' FK Orenburg ring the changes. Brian Mansilla has done his job and it is now time for Atsamaz Revazov to step up.
- 87' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- Game over. The scoreline of 5-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
FK Dinamo Moskva Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 7
- 1
- 15
- 2
-
8
Jorge Carrascal ↓ Denis Makarov 66'
- 74
- 50
- 91
- 6
-
24
Luis Chavez ↓ Viktor Okishor 77'
-
10
Bitelo ↓ Dmitriy Aleksandrov 77'
Bench
- 93
- 31
-
77
Denis Makarov ↑ 66'
- 4
-
18
Nicolas Marichal ↑ 46'
-
13
Nicolas Moumi Ngamaleu ↑ 66'
- 47
- 52
-
88
Viktor Okishor ↑ 77'
- 93
- 14
-
30
Dmitriy Aleksandrov ↑ 77'
Coach
Marcel Licka
FK Orenburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 20
- 5
- 87
- 14
- 35
- 9
-
7
Feyttullah Gurluk ↓ Jimmy Marin 66'
- 81
- 38
- 1
- 90
Bench
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↑ 66'
- 31
- 4
- 24
- 12
-
18
Aleksandr Kovalenko ↑ 58'
- 59
- 96
-
10
Saeid Saharkhizan ↑ 66'
- 50
- 85
-
77
Atsamaz Revazov ↑ 82'
Coach
Vladimir Sliskovic
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Konstantin Tyukavin | 3 |
| Bitelo | 2 |
| Vladimir Sychevoi | 2 |
| Luis Chavez | 2 |
| Saeid Saharkhizan | 2 |
| Jorge Carrascal | 2 |
| Brian Mansilla | 2 |
| Du Queiroz | 2 |
Head to Head
FK Dinamo Moskva Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.72
FK Dinamo Moskva xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94
FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for:
FK Dinamo Moskva to win 71% + Over 2.5 goals 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Dinamo Moskva win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.66
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 3.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 4.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
Double Chance
FK Dinamo Moskva or Draw
88%
Draw or FK Orenburg
29%
FK Dinamo Moskva or FK Orenburg
83%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Dinamo Moskva win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–1 not predicted5 – 1Actual
2 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
8.7%
3 – 0
8.5%
3 – 1
7.8%
1 – 1
7.3%
1 – 0
6.9%
4 – 0
5.7%
4 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
3.7%
5 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — FK Dinamo Moskva
| Handicap | FK Dinamo Moskva covers | Push | FK Orenburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -2 | 33% | 21% | 47% |
| -1.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| -1 | 53% | 20% | 27% |
| -0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +0.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +1 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
FK Dinamo Moskva keeps clean sheet
40%
✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.