Thursday , 2 July 2026

FK Dinamo Moskva vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2024-25
FK Dinamo Moskva
5 – 1
Full Time
FK Orenburg
Sat 29 Mar 2025 · 11:00 UTC VTB Arena 11,225 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jorge Carrascal 38' 1–0
Jorge Carrascal 41' 2–0
Bitelo 60' 3–0
Luis Chavez 67' 4–0
4–1 77' Saeid Saharkhizan
Viktor Okishor 90+1' 5–1
Roberto Fernandez 20' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FK Dinamo Moskva vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at VTB Arena.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 30 68
2 FK Krasnodar 30 66
3 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 30 53
4 FK Spartak Moskva 30 52
5 PFC CSKA Moskva 30 51
6 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 30 46
7 FK Dinamo Moskva 30 45
8 FK Rubin Kazan 30 43
9 RFK Akhmat Grozny 30 37
10 FK Rostov 30 33
11 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 30 32
12 FK Orenburg 30 29
13 FK Akron Tolyatti 30 27
14 FK Dinamo Makhachkala 30 26
15 FK Nizhny Novgorod 30 23
16 PFK Sochi 30 22

Head-to-Head

7
4
5
FK Dinamo Moskva 16 games · Avg 3.2 goals FK Orenburg
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-29 FK Dinamo Moskva 5–1 FK Orenburg 2024-09-01 FK Orenburg 2–2 FK Dinamo Moskva 2024-04-24 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Dinamo Moskva 2023-11-12 FK Dinamo Moskva 2–0 FK Orenburg 2023-06-03 FK Orenburg 3–0 FK Dinamo Moskva

Recent Form

FK Dinamo Moskva
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar FK Orenburg H 5–1 W
15 Mar FK Lokomotiv Moskva A 1–2 L
08 Mar FK Dinamo Makhachkala H 4–0 W
02 Mar FK Rostov A 1–1 D
08 Dec FK Khimki H 4–1 W
02 Dec RFK Akhmat Grozny A 1–1 D
FK Orenburg
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar FK Dinamo Moskva A 1–5 L
15 Mar FK Fakel Voronezh H 1–0 W
08 Mar FK Rostov H 1–2 L
02 Mar FK Spartak Moskva A 0–2 L
08 Dec RFK Akhmat Grozny A 0–1 L
30 Nov FK Akron Tolyatti A 0–1 L

Season Stats

FK Dinamo Moskva FK Orenburg
#7 Position #12
45 Points 29
30 Played 30
12 / 9 / 9 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 15
51 Scored 29
40 Conceded 44
+11 GD -15
1.50 PPG 0.97
40% Win % 23%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
FK Dinamo Moskva this season
20% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

FK Dinamo Moskva are 7th (45 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Dinamo Moskva
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at VTB Arena. FK Dinamo Moskva are looking to make home advantage count against FK Orenburg.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Danil Glebov made 221 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 15' FK Dinamo Moskva has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 20' Poor challenge from Roberto Fernandez. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 25' FK Dinamo Moskva are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against FK Orenburg's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 30' Dmitrii Rybchinskii has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 35' It’s high time Vladimir Sliskovic made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 38' What a moment for Jorge Carrascal! That strike on 38 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 41' A goal from the Colombia international Jorge Carrascal! He fires home on 41 to make it 2-0!
  • 46' FK Dinamo Moskva ring the changes. Roberto Fernandez has done his job and it is now time for Nicolas Marichal to step up.
  • 51' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 56' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 56 minutes.
  • 58' Aleksandr Kovalenko has so much to prove this time. He replaces Danila Prokhin on 58 minute.
  • 60' Bitelo is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
  • 65' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FK Dinamo Moskva side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 66' Jorge Carrascal makes way for Denis Makarov at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Dinamo Moskva.
  • 67' Luis Chavez makes no mistake. The score reads 4-0 and FK Dinamo Moskva are in front.
  • 72' Bogdan Moskvichev, a Russia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 77' Saeid Saharkhizan is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 77' The whistle greets Bitelo as he departs to be replaced by Dmitriy Aleksandrov.
  • 82' Time for substitution for FK Orenburg. Brian Mansilla is replaced by Atsamaz Revazov.
  • 87' Kazimcan Karatas has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 12 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FK Orenburg.

Lineups

FK Dinamo Moskva Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marcel Licka

FK Orenburg Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Vladimir Sliskovic

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Konstantin Tyukavin 3
Jorge Carrascal 2
Brian Mansilla 2
Du Queiroz 2
Bitelo 2
Vladimir Sychevoi 2
Luis Chavez 2
Saeid Saharkhizan 2

Head to Head

2025-03-29 FK Dinamo Moskva 5–1 FK Orenburg 2024-09-01 FK Orenburg 2–2 FK Dinamo Moskva 2024-04-24 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Dinamo Moskva 2023-11-12 FK Dinamo Moskva 2–0 FK Orenburg 2023-06-03 FK Orenburg 3–0 FK Dinamo Moskva

FK Dinamo Moskva Form

2025-03-29 FK Dinamo Moskva 5–1 FK Orenburg W 2025-03-15 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 2–1 FK Dinamo Moskva L 2025-03-08 FK Dinamo Moskva 4–0 FK Dinamo Makhachkala W 2025-03-02 FK Rostov 1–1 FK Dinamo Moskva D 2024-12-08 FK Dinamo Moskva 4–1 FK Khimki W 2024-12-02 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–1 FK Dinamo Moskva D

FK Orenburg Form

2025-03-29 FK Dinamo Moskva 5–1 FK Orenburg L 2025-03-15 FK Orenburg 1–0 FK Fakel Voronezh W 2025-03-08 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Rostov L 2025-03-02 FK Spartak Moskva 2–0 FK Orenburg L 2024-12-08 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–0 FK Orenburg L 2024-11-30 FK Akron Tolyatti 1–0 FK Orenburg L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.72 FK Dinamo Moskva xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for: FK Dinamo Moskva to win 71% + Over 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Dinamo Moskva71% Draw17% FK Orenburg12%
Actual: FK Dinamo Moskva win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.66
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

FK Dinamo Moskva or Draw
88%
Draw or FK Orenburg
29%
FK Dinamo Moskva or FK Orenburg
83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FK Dinamo Moskva55% Draw35% FK Orenburg10%
Actual: FK Dinamo Moskva win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
8.7%
3 – 0
8.5%
3 – 1
7.8%
1 – 1
7.3%
1 – 0
6.9%
4 – 0
5.7%
4 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
3.7%
5 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — FK Dinamo Moskva

Handicap FK Dinamo Moskva covers Push FK Orenburg covers
-2.5 33% — 67%
-2 33% 21% 47%
-1.5 53% — 47%
-1 53% 20% 27%
-0.5 73% — 27%
+0.5 90% — 10%
+1 90% 7% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

FK Dinamo Moskva keeps clean sheet
40% ✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.