FK Nizhny Novgorod vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2024-25

FK Nizhny Novgorod

1 – 2

Full Time

FK Orenburg

Fri 4 Apr 2025 · 16:00 UTC Stadion Nizhny Novgorod 10,603 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 24' Artem Kasimov

0–2 45+1' Brian Mansilla

Thiago Vecino pen 45+7' 1–2

Y 47' Aleksey Tataev

Vyacheslav Grulev 53' Y

R 90' Saeid Saharkhizan

Overview

Match Preview

FK Nizhny Novgorod vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Stadion Nizhny Novgorod.

FK Nizhny Novgorod 30 games · 23 pts (2025/26)
FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2025/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	30	68
2	FK Krasnodar	30	66
3	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	30	53
4	FK Spartak Moskva	30	52
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	30	51
6	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	30	46
7	FK Dinamo Moskva	30	45
8	FK Rubin Kazan	30	43
9	RFK Akhmat Grozny	30	37
10	FK Rostov	30	33
11	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	30	32
12	FK Orenburg	30	29
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	30	27
14	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	30	26
15	FK Nizhny Novgorod	30	23
16	PFK Sochi	30	22

Head-to-Head

FK Nizhny Novgorod 8 games · Avg 3.0 goals FK Orenburg

Last 5 meetings

2025-04-04 FK Nizhny Novgorod 1–2 FK Orenburg 2024-09-27 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Nizhny Novgorod 2024-04-14 FK Orenburg 3–1 FK Nizhny Novgorod 2023-09-24 FK Nizhny Novgorod 3–1 FK Orenburg 2023-04-30 FK Orenburg 1–0 FK Nizhny Novgorod

Recent Form

FK Nizhny Novgorod

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Apr	FK Orenburg	H	1–2	L
29 Mar	FK Khimki	A	0–2	L
16 Mar	FK Rubin Kazan	A	0–1	L
07 Mar	FK Krasnodar	H	0–3	L
01 Mar	FK Akron Tolyatti	H	2–1	W
07 Dec	FK Spartak Moskva	A	0–3	L

FK Orenburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Apr	FK Nizhny Novgorod	A	2–1	W
29 Mar	FK Dinamo Moskva	A	1–5	L
15 Mar	FK Fakel Voronezh	H	1–0	W
08 Mar	FK Rostov	H	1–2	L
02 Mar	FK Spartak Moskva	A	0–2	L
08 Dec	RFK Akhmat Grozny	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

FK Nizhny Novgorod		FK Orenburg
#15	Position	#12
23	Points	29
30	Played	30
6 / 5 / 19	W / D / L	7 / 8 / 15
26	Scored	29
50	Conceded	44
-24	GD	-15
0.77	PPG	0.97
20%	Win %	23%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

17% Clean Sheets
FK Nizhny Novgorod this season

20% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

FK Nizhny Novgorod are 15th (23 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Nizhny Novgorod

0-15

1/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/1

46-60

–/4

61-75

2/1

76+

1/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FK Orenburg

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/–

31-45

1/4

46-60

1/–

61-75

2/4

76+

3/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! FK Nizhny Novgorod welcome FK Orenburg for this crunch clash at Stadion Nizhny Novgorod.
5' FK Orenburg looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Alexandre Jesus scoring 2 goals.
10' Saeid Saharkhizan has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 342 appearances.
15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
20' FK Orenburg are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
24' What composure from Artem Kasimov! The Russia international strokes it home. 0-1.
29' Nikita Kakkoev is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FK Orenburg so far.
34' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
37' Yaroslav Mikhailov is ready to make an impact after coming on for Artem Kasimov at the 37 minute mark.
42' Feyttullah Gurluk needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
45' Fresh legs for FK Nizhny Novgorod! Konstantin Maradishvili comes on to replace Luka Ticic.
46' Another substitution for FK Orenburg to replace Feyttullah Gurluk by Jimmy Marin on 46 minute.
46' The Argentina Brian Mansilla breaks the deadlock on 45 minutes. 0-2!
47' The referee has no hesitation. Aleksey Tataev is booked for FK Orenburg — card on 47.
52' A stunning finish from Thiago Vecino — that came from absolutely nowhere!
53' Vyacheslav Grulev picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
58' Juan Castillo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Vyacheslav Grulev at the 58 minute mark.
63' The travelling FK Orenburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
68' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
73' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
75' Time for substitution for FK Nizhny Novgorod. Valeriy Tsarukyan is replaced by Nikita Kakkoev.
80' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FK Nizhny Novgorod and FK Orenburg are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
85' The crowd applauds Brian Mansilla as he leaves the pitch. Atsamaz Revazov steps in for FK Orenburg.
90' FK Orenburg make a change. Maksim Savelyev trudges off to be replaced by Saeid Saharkhizan on 90 minutes.
90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Saeid Saharkhizan.
FK Nizhny Novgorod will have plenty to reflect on. FK Orenburg were simply the better side today.

Lineups

FK Nizhny Novgorod Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

30
Nikita Medvedev
27
Vyacheslav Grulev ↓ Juan Castillo 58'
25
Sven Karic
99
Stanislav Magkeev
20
Juan Boselli
10
Aleksandr Troshechkin ↓ Nikita Ermakov 58'
15
Aleksandr Ektov
2
Viktor Alexandrov
9
Thiago Vecino ↓ Aleksandr Koksharov 46'
80
Valeriy Tsarukyan ↓ Nikita Kakkoev 75'
29
Luka Ticic ↓ Konstantin Maradishvili 45'

Bench

Coach Viktor Goncharenko

FK Orenburg Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

20
Dmitrii Rybchinskii
5
Aleksey Tataev
87
Danila Prokhin
8
Ivan Basic
35
Kazimcan Karatas
9
Brian Mansilla ↓ Atsamaz Revazov 85'
7
Feyttullah Gurluk ↓ Jimmy Marin 46'
81
Maksim Sidorov
38
Artem Kasimov ↓ Yaroslav Mikhailov 37'
1
Bogdan Moskvichev
90
Maksim Savelyev ↓ Saeid Saharkhizan 90'

Bench

Coach Vladimir Sliskovic

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Juan Boselli	2
Timur Ayupov	2
Alexandre Jesus	2
Ze Turbo	1
Edgar Sevikyan	1
Jimmy Marin	1
Vladimir Obukhov	1
Arsen Adamov	1

Head to Head

FK Nizhny Novgorod Form

2025-04-04 FK Nizhny Novgorod 1–2 FK Orenburg L 2025-03-29 FK Khimki 2–0 FK Nizhny Novgorod L 2025-03-16 FK Rubin Kazan 1–0 FK Nizhny Novgorod L 2025-03-07 FK Nizhny Novgorod 0–3 FK Krasnodar L 2025-03-01 FK Nizhny Novgorod 2–1 FK Akron Tolyatti W 2024-12-07 FK Spartak Moskva 3–0 FK Nizhny Novgorod L

FK Orenburg Form

2025-04-04 FK Nizhny Novgorod 1–2 FK Orenburg W 2025-03-29 FK Dinamo Moskva 5–1 FK Orenburg L 2025-03-15 FK Orenburg 1–0 FK Fakel Voronezh W 2025-03-08 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Rostov L 2025-03-02 FK Spartak Moskva 2–0 FK Orenburg L 2024-12-08 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–0 FK Orenburg L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.39 FK Nizhny Novgorod xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.41 FK Orenburg xG

I would bet for: FK Nizhny Novgorod or FK Orenburg 71% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FK Nizhny Novgorod35% Draw29% FK Orenburg36%

Actual: FK Orenburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes57% 0% No43%

Avg goals/match: 2.8

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	77%	23%
± 2.5	53%	47%
± 3.5	31%	69%
± 4.5	16%	84%

Double Chance

FK Nizhny Novgorod or Draw

64%

Draw or FK Orenburg

65%

FK Nizhny Novgorod or FK Orenburg

71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FK Nizhny Novgorod27% Draw46% FK Orenburg27%

Actual: FK Orenburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.8%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

0 – 0

7.9%

0 – 1

7.6%

1 – 0

7.5%

0 – 2

5.9%

2 – 0

5.8%

2 – 2

5.7%

1 – 3

3.8%

3 – 1

3.7%

0 – 3

2.8%

Asian Handicap — FK Nizhny Novgorod

Handicap	FK Nizhny Novgorod covers	Push	FK Orenburg covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	11%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	19%	64%
-0.5	36%	—	64%
+0.5	63%	—	37%
+1	63%	19%	18%
+1.5	82%	—	18%
+2	82%	11%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

FK Nizhny Novgorod keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.