FK Nizhny Novgorod vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2024-25

FK Nizhny Novgorod

1 – 2

Full Time

FK Orenburg

Fri 4 Apr 2025 · 16:00 UTC Stadion Nizhny Novgorod 10,603 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 24' Artem Kasimov

0–2 45+1' Brian Mansilla

Thiago Vecino pen 45+7' 1–2

Y 47' Aleksey Tataev

Vyacheslav Grulev 53' Y

R 90' Saeid Saharkhizan

Overview

Match Preview

FK Nizhny Novgorod vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Stadion Nizhny Novgorod.

FK Nizhny Novgorod 30 games · 23 pts (2026/27)
FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	30	68
2	FK Krasnodar	30	66
3	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	30	53
4	FK Spartak Moskva	30	52
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	30	51
6	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	30	46
7	FK Dinamo Moskva	30	45
8	FK Rubin Kazan	30	43
9	RFK Akhmat Grozny	30	37
10	FK Rostov	30	33
11	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	30	32
12	FK Orenburg	30	29
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	30	27
14	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	30	26
15	FK Nizhny Novgorod	30	23
16	PFK Sochi	30	22

Head-to-Head

FK Nizhny Novgorod 8 games · Avg 3.0 goals FK Orenburg

Last 5 meetings

2025-04-04 FK Nizhny Novgorod 1–2 FK Orenburg 2024-09-27 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Nizhny Novgorod 2024-04-14 FK Orenburg 3–1 FK Nizhny Novgorod 2023-09-24 FK Nizhny Novgorod 3–1 FK Orenburg 2023-04-30 FK Orenburg 1–0 FK Nizhny Novgorod

Recent Form

FK Nizhny Novgorod

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Apr	FK Orenburg	H	1–2	L
29 Mar	FK Khimki	A	0–2	L
16 Mar	FK Rubin Kazan	A	0–1	L
07 Mar	FK Krasnodar	H	0–3	L
01 Mar	FK Akron Tolyatti	H	2–1	W
07 Dec	FK Spartak Moskva	A	0–3	L

FK Orenburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Apr	FK Nizhny Novgorod	A	2–1	W
29 Mar	FK Dinamo Moskva	A	1–5	L
15 Mar	FK Fakel Voronezh	H	1–0	W
08 Mar	FK Rostov	H	1–2	L
02 Mar	FK Spartak Moskva	A	0–2	L
08 Dec	RFK Akhmat Grozny	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

FK Nizhny Novgorod		FK Orenburg
#15	Position	#12
23	Points	29
30	Played	30
6 / 5 / 19	W / D / L	7 / 8 / 15
26	Scored	29
50	Conceded	44
-24	GD	-15
0.77	PPG	0.97
20%	Win %	23%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FK Nizhny Novgorod are 15th (23 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and FK Nizhny Novgorod launch into their encounter with FK Orenburg.
5' named a 3-4-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
10' It looks surprising FK Nizhny Novgorod does not make any changes. Yaroslav Mikhailov has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Nizhny Novgorod that had 149 games and scored 135 goals.
20' Russia international Bogdan Moskvichev has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
24' Artem Kasimov doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
29' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
34' FK Nizhny Novgorod are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
37' A change in the FK Orenburg ranks — Artem Kasimov exits the field as Yaroslav Mikhailov enters on 37.
42' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
45' Another substitution for FK Nizhny Novgorod to replace Luka Ticic by Konstantin Maradishvili on 45 minute.
46' The FK Orenburg manager makes a substitution. Feyttullah Gurluk departs to be replaced by Jimmy Marin.
46' Brian Mansilla is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
47' Poor challenge from Aleksey Tataev. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
52' Thiago Vecino adds to his 0 season tally! FK Nizhny Novgorod lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
53' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Vyacheslav Grulev.
58' The FK Nizhny Novgorod manager makes a substitution. Vyacheslav Grulev departs to be replaced by Juan Castillo.
63' Juan Boselli needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
68' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Vladimir Sliskovic will be considering his options from the bench.
73' A quiet spell here at Stadion Nizhny Novgorod. FK Nizhny Novgorod seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
75' Nikita Kakkoev gets the nod from FK Nizhny Novgorod. He replaces Valeriy Tsarukyan and will look to change the dynamic.
80' With 0 assists to his name this season, Kazimcan Karatas is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FK Nizhny Novgorod.
85' It is a substitution in FK Orenburg team. Brian Mansilla is replaced by Atsamaz Revazov on 85 minute.
90' Saeid Saharkhizan has so much to prove this time. He replaces Maksim Savelyev on 90 minute.
90' The referee shows FK Orenburg player a card on 90.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FK Nizhny Novgorod.

Lineups

FK Nizhny Novgorod Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

30
Nikita Medvedev
27
Vyacheslav Grulev ↓ Juan Castillo 58'
25
Sven Karic
99
Stanislav Magkeev
20
Juan Boselli
10
Aleksandr Troshechkin ↓ Nikita Ermakov 58'
15
Aleksandr Ektov
2
Viktor Alexandrov
9
Thiago Vecino ↓ Aleksandr Koksharov 46'
80
Valeriy Tsarukyan ↓ Nikita Kakkoev 75'
29
Luka Ticic ↓ Konstantin Maradishvili 45'

Bench

Coach Viktor Goncharenko

FK Orenburg Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

20
Dmitrii Rybchinskii
5
Aleksey Tataev
87
Danila Prokhin
8
Ivan Basic
35
Kazimcan Karatas
9
Brian Mansilla ↓ Atsamaz Revazov 85'
7
Feyttullah Gurluk ↓ Jimmy Marin 46'
81
Maksim Sidorov
38
Artem Kasimov ↓ Yaroslav Mikhailov 37'
1
Bogdan Moskvichev
90
Maksim Savelyev ↓ Saeid Saharkhizan 90'

Bench

Coach Vladimir Sliskovic

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Timur Ayupov	2
Alexandre Jesus	2
Juan Boselli	2
Jimmy Marin	1
Vladimir Obukhov	1
Arsen Adamov	1
Aleksandr Ektov	1
Ivan Basic	1

Head to Head

FK Nizhny Novgorod Form

2025-04-04 FK Nizhny Novgorod 1–2 FK Orenburg L 2025-03-29 FK Khimki 2–0 FK Nizhny Novgorod L 2025-03-16 FK Rubin Kazan 1–0 FK Nizhny Novgorod L 2025-03-07 FK Nizhny Novgorod 0–3 FK Krasnodar L 2025-03-01 FK Nizhny Novgorod 2–1 FK Akron Tolyatti W 2024-12-07 FK Spartak Moskva 3–0 FK Nizhny Novgorod L

FK Orenburg Form

2025-04-04 FK Nizhny Novgorod 1–2 FK Orenburg W 2025-03-29 FK Dinamo Moskva 5–1 FK Orenburg L 2025-03-15 FK Orenburg 1–0 FK Fakel Voronezh W 2025-03-08 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Rostov L 2025-03-02 FK Spartak Moskva 2–0 FK Orenburg L 2024-12-08 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–0 FK Orenburg L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.39 FK Nizhny Novgorod xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.41 FK Orenburg xG

I would bet for: FK Nizhny Novgorod or FK Orenburg 71% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FK Nizhny Novgorod35% Draw29% FK Orenburg36%

Actual: FK Orenburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes57% 0% No43%

Avg goals/match: 2.8

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	77%	23%
± 2.5	53%	47%
± 3.5	31%	69%
± 4.5	16%	84%

Double Chance

FK Nizhny Novgorod or Draw

64%

Draw or FK Orenburg

65%

FK Nizhny Novgorod or FK Orenburg

71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FK Nizhny Novgorod27% Draw46% FK Orenburg27%

Actual: FK Orenburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.8%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

0 – 0

7.9%

0 – 1

7.6%

1 – 0

7.5%

0 – 2

5.9%

2 – 0

5.8%

2 – 2

5.7%

1 – 3

3.8%

3 – 1

3.7%

0 – 3

2.8%

Asian Handicap — FK Nizhny Novgorod

Handicap	FK Nizhny Novgorod covers	Push	FK Orenburg covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	11%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	19%	64%
-0.5	36%	—	64%
+0.5	63%	—	37%
+1	63%	19%	18%
+1.5	82%	—	18%
+2	82%	11%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

FK Nizhny Novgorod keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.