Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FK Nizhny Novgorod vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2024-25
Fri 4 Apr 2025 · 16:00 UTC Stadion Nizhny Novgorod 10,603 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 24' Artem Kasimov
0–2 45+1' Brian Mansilla
Thiago Vecino pen 45+7' 1–2

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr FK Orenburg H 1–2 L
29 Mar FK Khimki A 0–2 L
16 Mar FK Rubin Kazan A 0–1 L
07 Mar FK Krasnodar H 0–3 L
01 Mar FK Akron Tolyatti H 2–1 W
07 Dec FK Spartak Moskva A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr FK Nizhny Novgorod A 2–1 W
29 Mar FK Dinamo Moskva A 1–5 L
15 Mar FK Fakel Voronezh H 1–0 W
08 Mar FK Rostov H 1–2 L
02 Mar FK Spartak Moskva A 0–2 L
08 Dec RFK Akhmat Grozny A 0–1 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Orenburg
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FK Orenburg
Ruslan Kul 3 G
Andrey Kasadzhikov 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between FK Nizhny Novgorod and FK Orenburg is underway.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FK Nizhny Novgorod and FK Orenburg are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 15' FK Orenburg seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 20' FK Nizhny Novgorod currently sit 14 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 24' Artem Kasimov has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 24 minutes.
  • 29' FK Orenburg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 34' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 37' Yaroslav Mikhailov is ready to make an impact after coming on for Artem Kasimov at the 37 minute mark.
  • 42' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 45' Fresh legs for FK Nizhny Novgorod! Konstantin Maradishvili comes on to replace Luka Ticic.
  • 46' The FK Orenburg manager makes a substitution. Feyttullah Gurluk departs to be replaced by Jimmy Marin.
  • 46' Brilliant from the ! Brian Mansilla makes it 0-2 with a superb finish on 45.
  • 47' It’s gonna be a card for Aleksey Tataev.
  • 52' Thiago Vecino makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and FK Nizhny Novgorod are in front.
  • 53' Controversy at the stadium! Vyacheslav Grulev argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 58' Another substitution for FK Nizhny Novgorod to replace Vyacheslav Grulev by Juan Castillo on 58 minute.
  • 63' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 68' FK Nizhny Novgorod are deployed in a 3-4-3 today, looking to exploit space against FK Orenburg's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 73' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Vyacheslav Grulev suffering a number of foals already.
  • 75' The FK Nizhny Novgorod bench stirs into life. Valeriy Tsarukyan is withdrawn and Nikita Kakkoev gets his opportunity.
  • 80' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 85' Fresh legs for FK Orenburg! Atsamaz Revazov comes on to replace Brian Mansilla.
  • 90' FK Orenburg make a change. Maksim Savelyev trudges off to be replaced by Saeid Saharkhizan on 90 minutes.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Saeid Saharkhizan. He receives a card.
  • It finishes all square. FK Nizhny Novgorod and FK Orenburg share the spoils 1-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.46 FK Nizhny Novgorod xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for: FK Nizhny Novgorod or FK Orenburg 71% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FK Nizhny Novgorod38% Draw29% FK Orenburg33%
Actual: FK Orenburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

FK Nizhny Novgorod or Draw
66%
Draw or FK Orenburg
62%
FK Nizhny Novgorod or FK Orenburg
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Nizhny Novgorod29% Draw46% FK Orenburg25%
Actual: FK Orenburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 0
8%
1 – 0
8%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
7.2%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.1%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — FK Nizhny Novgorod

Handicap FK Nizhny Novgorod covers Push FK Orenburg covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 20% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 18% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

FK Nizhny Novgorod keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.