PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara vs FK Lokomotiv Moskva, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2024-25

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

5 – 1

Full Time

FK Lokomotiv Moskva

Fri 28 Mar 2025 · 15:30 UTC Cosmos Arena 9,057 HT 45' · FT 45'

Dominik Oroz 2' 1–0

Ivan Sergeev 4' 2–0

Ivan Oleynikov 32' 3–0

Glenn Bijl 40' 4–0

Ivan Sergeev 49' 5–0

5–1 62' Glenn Bijl og

Y 31' Artem Karpukas

Y 43' Lucas Fasson

Fernando Costanza 75' Y

Overview

Match Preview

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara vs FK Lokomotiv Moskva — RFPL at Cosmos Arena.

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 30 games · 32 pts (2025/26)
FK Lokomotiv Moskva 30 games · 53 pts (2025/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	30	68
2	FK Krasnodar	30	66
3	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	30	53
4	FK Spartak Moskva	30	52
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	30	51
6	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	30	46
7	FK Dinamo Moskva	30	45
8	FK Rubin Kazan	30	43
9	RFK Akhmat Grozny	30	37
10	FK Rostov	30	33
11	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	30	32
12	FK Orenburg	30	29
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	30	27
14	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	30	26
15	FK Nizhny Novgorod	30	23
16	PFK Sochi	30	22

Head-to-Head

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 14 games · Avg 2.7 goals FK Lokomotiv Moskva

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-28 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 5–1 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 2024-10-06 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 1–0 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 2023-11-25 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 3–3 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 2023-08-12 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 1–1 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 2023-05-14 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 1–1 FK Lokomotiv Moskva

Recent Form

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Mar	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	H	5–1	W
15 Mar	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	A	0–4	L
09 Mar	FK Akron Tolyatti	H	0–2	L
01 Mar	FK Krasnodar	A	1–1	D
07 Dec	FK Rostov	A	1–3	L
01 Dec	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	A	3–2	W

FK Lokomotiv Moskva

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Mar	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	A	1–5	L
15 Mar	FK Dinamo Moskva	H	2–1	W
07 Mar	RFK Akhmat Grozny	H	1–1	D
28 Feb	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	A	1–1	D
08 Dec	FK Krasnodar	A	0–0	D
01 Dec	FK Khimki	H	1–3	L

Season Stats

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara		FK Lokomotiv Moskva
#11	Position	#3
32	Points	53
30	Played	30
8 / 8 / 14	W / D / L	14 / 11 / 5
35	Scored	54
50	Conceded	39
-15	GD	+15
1.07	PPG	1.77
27%	Win %	47%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

36% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara this season

23% Clean Sheets
FK Lokomotiv Moskva this season

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara are 11th (32 pts). FK Lokomotiv Moskva are 3rd (53 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

0-15

3/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

4/1

46-60

1/3

61-75

3/1

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FK Lokomotiv Moskva

0-15

1/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

–/2

46-60

1/2

61-75

2/2

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. FK Lokomotiv Moskva kicks off things out of here…
2' GOAL! Dominik Oroz fires home to make it 1-0!
4' Goal! Ivan Sergeev scores his 41 goal in 210 matches.
9' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Mikhail Galaktionov will be considering his options from the bench.
14' PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
19' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
24' The home supporters are growing impatient. PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara must find a spark to ignite this game.
29' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
31' Artem Karpukas catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 31.
32' Ivan Oleynikov is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 3 goals this season for the .
37' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
40' What a strike from Glenn Bijl! The score is 4-0.
43' Lucas Fasson has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 43.
46' A change in the FK Lokomotiv Moskva ranks — Maksim Nenakhov exits the field as Vadim Rakov enters on 46.
49' The deadlock is broken! Ivan Sergeev gets on the scoresheet on 49 minutes.
54' Aleksey Batrakov, a Russia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
59' The whistle greets Artiom Timofeev as he departs to be replaced by Danila Godyaev.
62' Magnificent from Glenn Bijl! That is 15 goals in 129 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
67' Supporters expect more eagerness from Aleksandr Silyanov, as he is very good at scoring at Cosmos Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
72' It is a substitution in PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara team. Sergey Babkin is replaced by Luka Gagnidze on 72 minute.
75' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Fernando Costanza.
78' Another change for PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara made on 78 minute. Thomas Galdames leaves to be changed by Kirill Pechenin.
83' A quiet spell here at Cosmos Arena. FK Lokomotiv Moskva seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
84' It is a substitution in PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara team. Ivan Oleynikov is replaced by Ulvi Babaev on 84 minute.
89' It’s high time Igor Osinkin made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
It finishes all square. PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara and FK Lokomotiv Moskva share the spoils 5-1.

Lineups

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

23
Glenn Bijl
15
Nikolai Rasskazov ↓ Vladislav Shitov 72'
30
Sergey Pesyakov
4
Aleksandr Soldatenkov
11
Roman Ezhov ↓ Anton Zinkovskiy 78'
13
Ivan Sergeev
5
Dominik Oroz
6
Sergey Babkin ↓ Luka Gagnidze 72'
22
Fernando Costanza
3
Thomas Galdames ↓ Kirill Pechenin 78'
19
Ivan Oleynikov ↓ Ulvi Babaev 84'

Bench

Coach Igor Osinkin

FK Lokomotiv Moskva Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

5
Gerzino Nyamsi
71
Nair Tiknizyan ↓ Vladislav Sarveli 46'
10
Dmitry Vorobyev ↓ Edgar Sevikyan 59'
3
Lucas Fasson
24
Maksim Nenakhov ↓ Vadim Rakov 46'
77
Ilya Samoshnikov
45
Aleksandr Silyanov
22
Ilya Lantratov
93
Artem Karpukas ↓ Timur Suleimanov 46'
94
Artiom Timofeev ↓ Danila Godyaev 59'
83
Aleksey Batrakov

Bench

Coach Mikhail Galaktionov

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Rifat Zhemaletdinov	4
Anton Miranchuk	3
Dmitrii Tsypchenko	2
Ivan Sergeev	2
Ivan Oleynikov	2
Francois Kamano	2
Grzegorz Krychowiak	2
Glenn Bijl	1

Head to Head

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara Form

2025-03-28 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 5–1 FK Lokomotiv Moskva W 2025-03-15 FK Dinamo Makhachkala 4–0 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara L 2025-03-09 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 0–2 FK Akron Tolyatti L 2025-03-01 FK Krasnodar 1–1 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara D 2024-12-07 FK Rostov 3–1 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara L 2024-12-01 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2–3 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara W

FK Lokomotiv Moskva Form

2025-03-28 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 5–1 FK Lokomotiv Moskva L 2025-03-15 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 2–1 FK Dinamo Moskva W 2025-03-07 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 1–1 RFK Akhmat Grozny D 2025-02-28 FK Dinamo Makhachkala 1–1 FK Lokomotiv Moskva D 2024-12-08 FK Krasnodar 0–0 FK Lokomotiv Moskva D 2024-12-01 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 1–3 FK Khimki L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.96 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.76 FK Lokomotiv Moskva xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 71% + Over 2.5 goals 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara45% Draw23% FK Lokomotiv Moskva32%

Actual: PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes71% 0% No29%

Avg goals/match: 3.72

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	71%	29%
± 3.5	50%	50%
± 4.5	32%	68%

Double Chance

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara or Draw

68%

Draw or FK Lokomotiv Moskva

55%

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara or FK Lokomotiv Moskva

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara33% Draw39% FK Lokomotiv Moskva28%

Actual: PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted

5 – 1

Actual

1 – 1

9.2%

2 – 1

7.9%

1 – 2

7.1%

2 – 2

6.9%

3 – 1

5.1%

2 – 0

4.7%

3 – 2

4.5%

1 – 0

4.2%

1 – 3

4.2%

2 – 3

4.1%

0 – 2

3.8%

0 – 1

3.7%

Asian Handicap — PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

Handicap	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara covers	Push	FK Lokomotiv Moskva covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	13%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	18%	58%
-0.5	42%	—	58%
+0.5	65%	—	35%
+1	65%	16%	18%
+1.5	82%	—	18%
+2	82%	10%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

FK Lokomotiv Moskva keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.