PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara vs FK Lokomotiv Moskva, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2024-25

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

5 – 1

Full Time

FK Lokomotiv Moskva

Fri 28 Mar 2025 · 15:30 UTC Cosmos Arena 9,057 HT 45' · FT 45'

Dominik Oroz 2' 1–0

Ivan Sergeev 4' 2–0

Ivan Oleynikov 32' 3–0

Glenn Bijl 40' 4–0

Ivan Sergeev 49' 5–0

5–1 62' Glenn Bijl og

Y 31' Artem Karpukas

Y 43' Lucas Fasson

Fernando Costanza 75' Y

Overview

Match Preview

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara vs FK Lokomotiv Moskva — RFPL at Cosmos Arena.

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 30 games · 32 pts (2026/27)
FK Lokomotiv Moskva 30 games · 53 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	30	68
2	FK Krasnodar	30	66
3	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	30	53
4	FK Spartak Moskva	30	52
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	30	51
6	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	30	46
7	FK Dinamo Moskva	30	45
8	FK Rubin Kazan	30	43
9	RFK Akhmat Grozny	30	37
10	FK Rostov	30	33
11	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	30	32
12	FK Orenburg	30	29
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	30	27
14	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	30	26
15	FK Nizhny Novgorod	30	23
16	PFK Sochi	30	22

Head-to-Head

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 14 games · Avg 2.7 goals FK Lokomotiv Moskva

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-28 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 5–1 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 2024-10-06 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 1–0 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 2023-11-25 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 3–3 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 2023-08-12 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 1–1 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 2023-05-14 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 1–1 FK Lokomotiv Moskva

Recent Form

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Mar	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	H	5–1	W
15 Mar	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	A	0–4	L
09 Mar	FK Akron Tolyatti	H	0–2	L
01 Mar	FK Krasnodar	A	1–1	D
07 Dec	FK Rostov	A	1–3	L
01 Dec	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	A	3–2	W

FK Lokomotiv Moskva

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Mar	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	A	1–5	L
15 Mar	FK Dinamo Moskva	H	2–1	W
07 Mar	RFK Akhmat Grozny	H	1–1	D
28 Feb	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	A	1–1	D
08 Dec	FK Krasnodar	A	0–0	D
01 Dec	FK Khimki	H	1–3	L

Season Stats

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara		FK Lokomotiv Moskva
#11	Position	#3
32	Points	53
30	Played	30
8 / 8 / 14	W / D / L	14 / 11 / 5
35	Scored	54
50	Conceded	39
-15	GD	+15
1.07	PPG	1.77
27%	Win %	47%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

36% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara are 11th (32 pts). FK Lokomotiv Moskva are 3rd (53 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara get us underway at Cosmos Arena.
2' Goal! Dominik Oroz scores his 15 goal in 282 matches.
4' What a moment for Ivan Sergeev! That strike on 4 puts his side firmly in control.
9' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
14' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FK Lokomotiv Moskva needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
19' It looks surprising FK Lokomotiv Moskva does not make any changes. Nair Tiknizyan has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
24' The travelling FK Lokomotiv Moskva supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
29' FK Lokomotiv Moskva is showing some good football. However, FK Lokomotiv Moskva are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
31' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Artem Karpukas.
32' What a strike from Ivan Oleynikov! The score is 3-0.
37' Cameroon international Gerzino Nyamsi has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
40' A goal from the Netherlands international Glenn Bijl! He fires home on 40 to make it 4-0!
43' Lucas Fasson catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 43.
46' A change in the FK Lokomotiv Moskva ranks — Maksim Nenakhov exits the field as Vadim Rakov enters on 46.
49' Ivan Sergeev does the damage! The net is bulging and PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara surge ahead!
54' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Lokomotiv Moskva that had 355 games and scored 378 goals.
59' It is a substitution in FK Lokomotiv Moskva team. Artiom Timofeev is replaced by Danila Godyaev on 59 minute.
62' Glenn Bijl does the damage! The net is bulging and PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara surge ahead!
67' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Maksim Nenakhov suffering a number of foals already.
72' Luka Gagnidze has so much to prove this time. He replaces Sergey Babkin on 72 minute.
75' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Fernando Costanza on 75 minutes.
78' PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara ring the changes. Thomas Galdames has done his job and it is now time for Kirill Pechenin to step up.
83' Both keepers have barely been tested. PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara and FK Lokomotiv Moskva are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
84' The PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara manager makes a substitution. Ivan Oleynikov departs to be replaced by Ulvi Babaev.
89' It is a cagey affair so far. PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past FK Lokomotiv Moskva's compact 4-2-3-1.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara players.

Lineups

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

23
Glenn Bijl
15
Nikolai Rasskazov ↓ Vladislav Shitov 72'
30
Sergey Pesyakov
4
Aleksandr Soldatenkov
11
Roman Ezhov ↓ Anton Zinkovskiy 78'
13
Ivan Sergeev
5
Dominik Oroz
6
Sergey Babkin ↓ Luka Gagnidze 72'
22
Fernando Costanza
3
Thomas Galdames ↓ Kirill Pechenin 78'
19
Ivan Oleynikov ↓ Ulvi Babaev 84'

Bench

Coach Igor Osinkin

FK Lokomotiv Moskva Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

5
Gerzino Nyamsi
71
Nair Tiknizyan ↓ Vladislav Sarveli 46'
10
Dmitry Vorobyev ↓ Edgar Sevikyan 59'
3
Lucas Fasson
24
Maksim Nenakhov ↓ Vadim Rakov 46'
77
Ilya Samoshnikov
45
Aleksandr Silyanov
22
Ilya Lantratov
93
Artem Karpukas ↓ Timur Suleimanov 46'
94
Artiom Timofeev ↓ Danila Godyaev 59'
83
Aleksey Batrakov

Bench

Coach Mikhail Galaktionov

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Rifat Zhemaletdinov	4
Anton Miranchuk	3
Francois Kamano	2
Grzegorz Krychowiak	2
Dmitrii Tsypchenko	2
Ivan Sergeev	2
Ivan Oleynikov	2
Fedor Smolov	1

Head to Head

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara Form

2025-03-28 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 5–1 FK Lokomotiv Moskva W 2025-03-15 FK Dinamo Makhachkala 4–0 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara L 2025-03-09 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 0–2 FK Akron Tolyatti L 2025-03-01 FK Krasnodar 1–1 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara D 2024-12-07 FK Rostov 3–1 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara L 2024-12-01 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2–3 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara W

FK Lokomotiv Moskva Form

2025-03-28 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 5–1 FK Lokomotiv Moskva L 2025-03-15 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 2–1 FK Dinamo Moskva W 2025-03-07 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 1–1 RFK Akhmat Grozny D 2025-02-28 FK Dinamo Makhachkala 1–1 FK Lokomotiv Moskva D 2024-12-08 FK Krasnodar 0–0 FK Lokomotiv Moskva D 2024-12-01 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 1–3 FK Khimki L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.96 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.76 FK Lokomotiv Moskva xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 71% + Over 2.5 goals 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara45% Draw23% FK Lokomotiv Moskva32%

Actual: PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes71% 0% No29%

Avg goals/match: 3.72

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	71%	29%
± 3.5	50%	50%
± 4.5	32%	68%

Double Chance

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara or Draw

68%

Draw or FK Lokomotiv Moskva

55%

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara or FK Lokomotiv Moskva

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara33% Draw39% FK Lokomotiv Moskva28%

Actual: PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted

5 – 1

Actual

1 – 1

9.2%

2 – 1

7.9%

1 – 2

7.1%

2 – 2

6.9%

3 – 1

5.1%

2 – 0

4.7%

3 – 2

4.5%

1 – 0

4.2%

1 – 3

4.2%

2 – 3

4.1%

0 – 2

3.8%

0 – 1

3.7%

Asian Handicap — PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

Handicap	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara covers	Push	FK Lokomotiv Moskva covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	13%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	18%	58%
-0.5	42%	—	58%
+0.5	65%	—	35%
+1	65%	16%	18%
+1.5	82%	—	18%
+2	82%	10%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

FK Lokomotiv Moskva keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.