Thursday , 2 July 2026

AFC Ajax vs Olympique de Marseille, Europe 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2023-24
Thu 21 Sep 2023 · 19:00 UTC Johan Cruijff Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs Olympique de MarseilleEurope at Johan Cruijff Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Maurizio Mariani
14 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 4.4 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Head-to-Head

1
2
AFC Ajax 3 games · Avg 5.7 goals Olympique de Marseille

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep Olympique de Marseille H 3–3 D
17 Sep FC Twente '65 A 1–3 L
03 Sep Fortuna Sittard A 0–0 D
31 Aug PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad H 0–1 L
24 Aug PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad A 4–1 W
19 Aug SBV Excelsior A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep AFC Ajax A 3–3 D
17 Sep Toulouse FC H 0–0 D
01 Sep FC Nantes A 1–1 D
26 Aug Stade Brestois 29 H 2–0 W
18 Aug FC Metz A 2–2 D
15 Aug Panathinaikos AO H 3–5 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.88 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.82 Olympique de Marseille xG
I would bet for: AFC Ajax or Olympique de Marseille 76% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Ajax41% Draw24% Olympique de Marseille35%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 3.7
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
65%
Draw or Olympique de Marseille
59%
AFC Ajax or Olympique de Marseille
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax31% Draw40% Olympique de Marseille29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
4.8%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 0
4.4%
3 – 2
4.3%
2 – 3
4.2%
0 – 2
4.2%
1 – 0
4.1%
0 – 1
4%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push Olympique de Marseille covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 12% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 18% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 17% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 11% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
17%
Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.