Thursday , 2 July 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs AFC Ajax, Europe 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2023-24
Thu 30 Nov 2023 · 20:00 UTC Orange Velodrome HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs AFC AjaxEurope at Orange Velodrome.

Match Details

  • Referee Simone Sozza
10 games this season 🟨 1.2/game 4.9 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
1
Olympique de Marseille 3 games · Avg 5.7 goals AFC Ajax

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov AFC Ajax H 4–3 W
25 Nov RC Strasbourg Alsace A 1–1 D
12 Nov Racing Club de Lens A 0–1 L
09 Nov PAE AEK A 2–0 W
04 Nov Lille OSC H 0–0 D
26 Oct PAE AEK H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov Olympique de Marseille A 3–4 L
25 Nov SBV Vitesse H 5–0 W
12 Nov Almere City FC A 2–2 D
09 Nov Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 0–2 L
05 Nov SC Heerenveen H 4–1 W
02 Nov FC Volendam H 2–0 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. AFC Ajax kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' AFC Ajax fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 9' Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 10' Magnificent from Brian Brobbey! That is 60 goals in 480 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Olympique de Marseille that had 465 games and scored 515 goals.
  • 20' Olympique de Marseille is showing some good football. However, Olympique de Marseille are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
  • 26' A goal from the Congo DR international Chancel Mbemba! He fires home on 26 to make it 2-1!
  • 30' What composure from Brian Brobbey! The Netherlands international strokes it home. 2-2.
  • 35' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 40' Olympique de Marseille has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 45' AFC Ajax have won 817 goals from 480 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 46' The AFC Ajax bench stirs into life. Carlos Forbs is withdrawn and Kristian Hlynsson gets his opportunity.
  • 47' Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 52' Over 52 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 57' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Carlos Forbs suffering a number of foals already.
  • 62' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 63' AFC Ajax player sees a card in front of him.
  • 66' Iliman Ndiaye has so much to prove this time. He replaces Joaquin Correa on 66 minute.
  • 69' It’s gonna be a card for Renan Lodi.
  • 71' It’s gonna be a card for Kenneth Taylor.
  • 76' It’s gonna be a card for Kristian Hlynsson.
  • 77' Another change for AFC Ajax made on 77 minute. Kenneth Taylor leaves to be changed by Chuba Akpom.
  • 79' Chuba Akpom makes no mistake. The score reads 3-3 and AFC Ajax are in front.
  • 84' The 22-year-old Kristian Hlynsson has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 87' The crowd applauds Renan Lodi as he leaves the pitch. Michael Murillo steps in for Olympique de Marseille.
  • 90' Ismaila Sarr catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • 90' The AFC Ajax manager makes a substitution. Brian Brobbey departs to be replaced by Jaydon Banel.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for AFC Ajax.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.28 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.81 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille50% Draw22% AFC Ajax28%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes74% 0% No26%
Avg goals/match: 4.09
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 76%
24%
± 3.5 57%
43%
± 4.5 39%
61%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
72%
Draw or AFC Ajax
50%
Olympique de Marseille or AFC Ajax
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille37% Draw37% AFC Ajax26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–3 not predicted
4 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
7.7%
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
5.7%
3 – 2
5.2%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
4.1%
1 – 3
3.7%
1 – 0
3.4%
4 – 1
3.3%
3 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 14% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 19% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 15% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 9% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
17%
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.