Sunday , 16 August 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs AFC Ajax, Europe 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2023-24
Thu 30 Nov 2023 · 20:00 UTC Orange Velodrome HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs AFC AjaxEurope at Orange Velodrome.

Match Details

  • Referee Simone Sozza
4 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 2.8 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
1
Olympique de Marseille 3 games · Avg 5.7 goals AFC Ajax

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov AFC Ajax H 4–3 W
25 Nov RC Strasbourg Alsace A 1–1 D
12 Nov Racing Club de Lens A 0–1 L
09 Nov PAE AEK A 2–0 W
04 Nov Lille OSC H 0–0 D
26 Oct PAE AEK H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov Olympique de Marseille A 3–4 L
25 Nov SBV Vitesse H 5–0 W
12 Nov Almere City FC A 2–2 D
09 Nov Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 0–2 L
05 Nov SC Heerenveen H 4–1 W
02 Nov FC Volendam H 2–0 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.28 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.81 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille50% Draw22% AFC Ajax28%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes74% 0% No26%
Avg goals/match: 4.09
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 76%
24%
± 3.5 57%
43%
± 4.5 39%
61%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
72%
Draw or AFC Ajax
50%
Olympique de Marseille or AFC Ajax
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille37% Draw37% AFC Ajax26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–3 not predicted
4 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
7.7%
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
5.7%
3 – 2
5.2%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
4.1%
1 – 3
3.7%
1 – 0
3.4%
4 – 1
3.3%
3 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 14% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 19% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 15% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 9% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
17%
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.